Bruce Dowbiggin
LIV & Let LIV: Phil Mickelson Gets His Revenge

Revenge, it is said, is a dish best served cold. If so, it’s appropriate that in the teeming rain, chilling winds and falling trees of Augusta National this weekend that Phil Mickelson got a measure of gotcha’ on the PGA Tour.
He could have staggered in the marathon of Sunday, as Masters organizers— who loath him— tried to catch up after weather delays, But from as low as even par on Sunday the 53-year-old ended tied for second behind Rahm at eight under. For a three-time winner of the green jacket that was probably not up to his expectations. But as a guy who could instead be playing the relaxed Champions Tour, just making the cut in the biblical storm conditions was an accomplishment.
Second? WTF? He set the record for the best finish by a golfer in his 50s or older. Where on Monday the golf world shunned him, by Sunday night they were eating from his hand again. But more than that for Mickelson— if it’s possible— he achieved the satisfaction of bringing his fellow LIV players into the heart of the PGA Tour’s belly and walking away tied for second with Brooks Koepka.

AUGUSTA, GEORGIA – APRIL 04: Talor Gooch of the United States, Dustin Johnson of the United States, Phil Mickelson of the United States, and Harold Varner III of the United States walk down the 11th fairway during a practice round prior to the 2023 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club on April 04, 2023 in Augusta, Georgia. (Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images)
For the entire week, the debate had been how the rebel players would be greeted by the stuffy culture of Augusta National and the panjandrums of the PGA Tour. Would they be ostracized? Would they be shunned? Would they be given the cold shoulder at the Champions Dinner?
On Golfchannel the discussion was about the preparation the players had had on the LIV Tour, with its 54-hole tournaments, limited schedule, raucous presentation. Had players like Koepka, Cam Smith, former Masters winner Patrick Reed, Joaquin Niemann, Harold Varner III, Abraham Ancer, Taylor Gooch and, yes, Mickelson had enough preparation for the diabolical examination of Augusta National. Were guys who jumped ship for the dough properly motivated now that they had financial security?
By Sunday night it was irrelevant. In all there were three LIV players (including Phil himself) inside the Top 16. Nine in the Top 40. Mickelson had been the face of the new league since it popped up last year, the focus of the wrath against it. Now he delivered. And so did his compatriots on the controversial rebel league.
Mickelson is never one to shy away from wearing the black hat. While Woods is now a “good guy” Phil has embellished his bad-boy reputation the past two years with inflammatory interviews, lawsuits, lost sponsors and prickly encounters with authority. Rumours of his financial peril and questionable personal behaviour were always in the background.
(In one Phil story he was playing a high-stakes money game with an NHL owner— who thought the round was a lark with the superstar. When the match ended with Mickelson winning a bundle, the owner thought Phil might just call it a wash. Uh, no. He insisted he be paid the entire amount— in cash. American dollars. The chastened owner had to send out for the money as Phil waited in the parking lot of the club.)
That will all be dismissed by the dominant performance of Mickelson and Koepka— who led virtually the whole way through storms, delays, wind and rain. While the liberal sports media still dismissed the LIV players for taking the evil Saudi petro dollars, the unity of the LIV crew at The Masters was underlined when those players on the grounds waited around to cheer their fellow LIV players on at the 18th green.
If the PGA Tour thought that this past weekend would drive fans away from LIV, the opposite is probably true. Seeing the quality of the players at Augusta will pique the interest of many fans. Seeing the PGA Tour’s biggest spokesmen in Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas both miss the cut also didn’t enhance the Tour’s invincibility.
Mickelson’s other revenge this past weekend came over his former rival Tiger Woods. For much of the quarter-century since they rose to prominence together Tiger was the athletic, trim superstar. The man with the steel-trap mind. The machine who churned out 15 majors.
Phil? Critics ripped him for denying his talent, his wavering inattention to fitness. They said he lacked seriousness. We will never forget being on PEI with Jack Nicklaus and Tom Watson as they ripped Mickelson’s mental game after he threw away the 2006 U.S. Open at Winged Foot on the 18th hole.
But Sunday showed that Mickelson still has plenty of tread on his tires when it comes to his fitness. Having lost about 20 pounds, he had little problem walking the sodden, hilly layout. As Brandel Chamblee suggested on Golfchannel maybe Phil didn’t maximize his physical prime, but he didn’t punish himself as so many now do in the gym. Chamblee suggested Woods won’t be the only golfer with a wrecked body from over-training.
That was underlined by the pathetic sight of Woods—five years younger than Phil — dragging his battered right leg around behind him as he fought the extreme conditions. In the end he couldn’t manage the pain of plantar fascinates, withdrawing Sunday morning when the leg would not respond to the hours of treatment he needs now to compete.
He looked a spent man. Yes, the leg injury was from his terrible car crash in Los Angeles in 2020. But even before that Woods’ body was failing him after years of punishing workouts. At one point he was doing Navy Seal training, emulating his father’s career. While Woods wouldn’t confirm it, his first serious knee injury was likely produced by this military conditioning. Next came back problems exacerbated by the stresses his bum leg caused.
Now, it appears that it’s all over for Woods as a competitive player if the Tour doesn’t allow him to ride in a cart. Mickelson— who has a lifetime Masters and U.S. Open exemption— will still find a way to match up with the young bucks of the Tour for a few more years. Other LIV stars will keep popping up— and perhaps winning— the majors under their exemptions. The PGA Tour will deny that LIV made them radically overhaul their business model. Sure.
It’s not a beautiful outcome. And Mickelson is hardly an Eagle Scout. But for four wet, miserable days in April he showed what hand is in the sports business. And that was worth the price of admission.
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Bruce Dowbiggin @dowbboy is the editor of Not The Public Broadcaster A two-time winner of the Gemini Award as Canada’s top television sports broadcaster, he’s a regular contributor to Sirius XM Canada Talks Ch. 167. Inexact Science: The Six Most Compelling Draft Years In NHL History, his new book with his son Evan, was voted the seventh-best professional hockey book of all time by bookauthority.org . His 2004 book Money Players was voted sixth best on the same list, and is available via http://brucedowbigginbooks.ca/book-personalaccount.aspx
Bruce Dowbiggin
All Bets Are Off: Why Prop Betting Scares Sports Leagues, Police

Sunday’s Super Bowl concluded another season of wagering on the sport made great by gambling. With billions wagered legally— and billions wagered illegally—the NFL is a Frankenstein of the betting industry. Everything is done to create parity while simultaneously promoting chaos. When other leagues talk about success they are talking about the NFL’s colossal gambling industry.
The penetration of betting has only increased with legalization in Canada (Ontario is the only “open” legal market at the moment) and the United States (38 states currently allow sports wagering). It has gotten to the point where sports bettors in Las Vegas, for decades the only legal spot for sports gambling, complain that Nevada is falling behind its neighbours. Some drive across state lines to wager on sports offerings not made in Vegas.
We could do a small book on all the new betting applications that have sprung up with sharps applying stock-market analytics and trading strategies to break down a football game. But for today we’ll concentrate on the device that has turbo-charged public betting in the past generation: Proposition bets. And the enormous risk they bring.
In the bad old days when gambling was underground, dominated by organized crime, football betting meant the money line (who will win), sides (by how many points) and totals (how many points would be scored in as game). The range of options within these parameters was limited. You could parlay (two bets), tease (two or more choices with alternate odds) or do future bets.
Then along came proposition bets (props). There are propositions on everything from how many yards player X will run for, how many interceptions Player Y will throw and how many touchdowns player Z will score. There are also team props. The range of props covers almost any result generated by a football game— and a few generated by halftime shows and coin flips.

When props first began to catch the public interest, they were a novelty. Snobs saw them as sucker bets for squares. In Vegas, books would stage a glitzy launch ten days before the game to announce their props. No more. The first props for SB LIX were out minutes after the conference final games were decided. The brushfire is now a conflagration.
The two weeks before SB LIX were saturated with experts breaking down the teams, their predilections and their models for predicting prop winners. In a game with no appreciable favourite this meant every microchip of data being examined. (We had at least a dozen props then added a couple more during the game to hedge against any losers.)
The great fallibility of prop betting is their individual nature. With totals and sides the results are determined by efforts of the 92 NFL players allowed to suit up each week. Outside of the QBs, kickers, coaches and perhaps the referees, no single person could determine a W or L. Not so with props.
A player can drop a pass or miss a tackle— affecting his prop— without anyone being the wiser. The NFL scrutinizes players for erratic patterns, but on a single basis anything is possible for a player who is being influenced by bettors. Integrity of the product is paramount for the NFL and its gambling partners. So a rogue player is like a communist in Joe McCarthy’s America.
There is also betting on non-football props concerning length of national anthem, colour of Gatorade used to douse the winning coach and clothing choices of the halftime performers. Here, bettors are truly on their own as the NFL has no control on Kendrick Lamar’s playlist. (Considering KL’s associates “in the hood” this a very Wild West way to lose money) own the colour of Gatorade used (yellow).
So far the NFL has avoided any public gambling scandal like the one that landed the personal translator for Dodgers’s star Hideki Ohtani in jail for tipping off gamblers. (So far MLB has managed to wall off Hideki from the crimes). But the possibilities are there in NFL and other sports where a player compromised by debts, drug issues or sexual activity can be leveraged for profit.

The league with the most visible prop problem is the NBA with its small rosters (15 players game day). For a reminder the NBA was forced to admit that there is a current police probe into player Terry Rozier, now of the Miami Heat. “In March 2023, the NBA was alerted to unusual betting activity related to Terry Rozier’s performance in a game between Charlotte and New Orleans,” NBA spokesman said. While the NBA has cleared Rozier police area not satisfied.
In the 2023 matchup between the Hornets and the New Orleans Rozier pulled himself from the game after just nine minutes. As a result Rozier finished well below his prop bet of 32.5 combined points, assists and rebounds. Bettors howled about the suspicious nature of Rozier’s exit with a foot problem.
What made cops suspicious was that the network of gamblers placing money on Rozier was the same network that had allegedly manipulated former Raptor Jontay Porter’s prop numbers. Porter has been banned for life over charges he shaved numbers for the nefarious characters cited in the rosier story. Police are still investigating him.
The NBA is still reverberating from the 2007 scandal of referee Tim Donaghy who used his knowledge of the NBA to bet on professional basketball games and tip off crimes figures. He was banned for life and sentenced to 15 months in prison. Now released from prison Donaghy continues to warn about the vulnerability of betting NBA games.
Then there is the risk associated with U.S. college athletics now that players are paid to attend a certain college. Money and temptation flow freely in the new portal system that allows players to transfer schools midway through their eligibility.
Sunday’s game produced a one-sided windfall for Eagles’ bettors and the usual controversial referee calls did not affect the outcome. But it should not be seen as a reason to be less vigilant, particularly with props.
Bruce Dowbiggin @dowbboy is the editor of Not The Public Broadcaster A two-time winner of the Gemini Award as Canada’s top television sports broadcaster. His new book Deal With It: The Trades That Stunned The NHL And Changed Hockey is now available on Amazon. Inexact Science: The Six Most Compelling Draft Years In NHL History, his previous book with his son Evan, was voted the seventh-best professional hockey book of all time by bookauthority.org. You can see all his books at brucedowbigginbooks.ca.
Bruce Dowbiggin
The Limping Loonie: Are Canada’s Pro Sports Team In Trouble Again?

With the Canada/ U.S. Tariff War going from talking conflict to hot trade war on Feb. 1 there are numerous predictions as to what might happen if the dispute drags on. As the sides in the Ukraine War will tell you very few of the outcomes so far were foreseen by the sides when the shooting started. That’s the nature of these conflicts.
One immediate byproduct seems to be the continued descent toward 60 cents by the Canadian dollar. If Trudeau and his anointed successor Mark Carney are true to character it will also involve billions in cheques going out the door— a la Covid— to those citizens “harmed” by the Liberals stumbling into a highly predictable and easily avoidable trade war. If past is prologue, vast amounts of that money will disappear as bad actors find a way to access the funds. While Canada’s GDP collapses some more.
For the moment, however, let us concentrate on what Justin Trudeau’s ineptitude might be costing Canadian professional sports teams in American-based leagues. On the purely trivial level it means that your beer at the park/ arena will be Canadian suds exclusively. Not cheaper or better. Just Canadian. Owners will stock luxury boxes with Canadian wine, etc. A road trip to see the Canucks in L.A. or the Canadiens in NYC will balloon, too.
But on a more serious level the showdown between Donald Trump and Trudeau could well return Canadian teams in the NHL to the bad-old days of the early 21st century. Despite efforts then to create a Canadian fund to save teams, two clubs— Winnipeg Jets and Quebec Nordiques— were forced to sell because of a dollar that bottomed out around 62 cents U.S. Winnipeg went to Phoenix/ Quebec City went to Colorado as a result
In Montreal the MLB Expos also moved— to Washington— after 37 years, because no one in Quebec would/ could pony up the money to make up for the declining dollar or repair the disastrous Olympic Stadium. Expos fans then had the cruel fate of watching Washington win the 2019 World Series after the Expos had never gotten that far. (Nordiques fans saw Colorado win two Stanley Cups after escaping Quebec.)
Why were these teams forced to move? Because while teams collect revenues locally in Canadian dollars almost all their payroll and other costs are paid in American dollars. So when you see the Toronto Blue Jays facing a possible US $500 million price tag to keep star Vladimir Guerrero you’re really talking about raising $750,000 million in CDN revenues to meet the demand. Multiply those jumps over a 25-man roster and you’re talking a huge jump in payroll— or being consigned to after-ran status.
While no one is about to hold a tag day for Toronto it will make the Jays’ job of competing in a division with the big-spending New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox that much harder. With a national market of almost 40 million now to exploit they still have resources. But will American players want to play in Canada during a hot trade war between the nations? Now that yahoos fed by a doltish CDN media have started booing the Star Spangled Banner in Ottawa and Vancouver before games do you think that will encourage American stars on teams there to stick around?

But the NHL is where the biggest losses will be seen. Already there have been concerns about the Jets.2 surviving in Winnipeg. Last week it was revealed that after years spent coming back from Covid revenue shortages, the NHL is going to raise its salary cap from today’s US $88 million to as much as an estimated US $115 million in three or four years. The news that players will no longer have escrow payments held back to compensate owners for revenue shortages was greeted with cheers by players and their agent.
The boost in the cap will likely mean that today’s US$14 million peak (Leon Draisaitl) will also advance to somewhere just beneath US$20 million a season. And while that figure is a few years off, teams will have to start negotiating today with their stars with that figure in mind if they wish to retain them.

The test case will be superstar Connor McDavid who is due for a new contract after 2025-26. For the small-market Edmonton Oilers that will mean creating a template that buys him out of estimated salary later by boosting his salary before the cap arrives at its peak. With Draisaitl already pulling down top dollar the Oilers’ resources will be stretched thin to accommodate McDavid— while still paying the rest of the roster.
Could the drop in the dollar produce another Gretzky-like trade for Edmonton when the Oilers were forced to dump the greatest scorer in NHL history to L.A. because his worth exceeded the Oilers’ ability to pay? We chronicle the trade in depth in our new book Deal With It: The Trades That Stunned The NHL & Changed Hockey.
The fate of hockey stars will be only a small piece of any future U.S. trade deals. But they will be highly visible to Canada’s hockey fans. Not being able to satisfy them is a political price no pelican wants to face. But given the current intransigence by Justin Trudeau scrambling to stay in office it is far from improbable.
Bruce Dowbiggin @dowbboy is the editor of Not The Public Broadcaster A two-time winner of the Gemini Award as Canada’s top television sports broadcaster. His new book Deal With It: The Trades That Stunned The NHL And Changed Hockey is now available on Amazon. Inexact Science: The Six Most Compelling Draft Years In NHL History, his previous book with his son Evan, was voted the seventh-best professional hockey book of all time by bookauthority.org. You can see all his books at brucedowbigginbooks.ca.
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