Opinion

Alberta Election 2019 is shaping up to be the most anticipated election in decades.

The Alberta 2019 Election will probably be the most exciting election in decades.
If the forecasters are correct and we are back in the boom portion of our boom and bust economic cycle then the incumbent New Democratic Party government will be a contender. Simultaneously drawing from and decimating smaller parties like the Alberta Greens and the Alberta Liberal Party.
The recently created United Conservative Party after 2 years of media attention from creation, merger, and leadership votes is expected to be a strong contender. Splinter groups will likely appear from disgruntled ex-Wildrose and Progressive Conservatives which may grow faster in a fractious leadership race. The Alberta Advantage Party is in the works and should not be discarded.
Former Premier Jim Prentice found out the hard way that politics is fickle. Ending the Progressive Conservative reign, electing an New Democratic government with a Wildrose opposition. Alberta has been instrumental in creating parties like the Reform Party and Wildrose so these splinter parties should not be ignored.
The Alberta Advantage Party appears to be drawing some interest from former Wildrose, Progressive Conservatives, Alberta Reformers, and Social Credit voters. Depending upon funding and organizational abilities they may be contenders.
The Alberta Party seems to draw the attention of some Alberta Liberal members, some Progressive Conservatives, and some Greens but will they burst onto the scene like the hare or continue like the tortoise? Only time will tell.
The other wildcard is the urban vote. Will the urban vote rally around the current New Democratic government and will it be enough? The urbanization of the rural communities, the younger generation’s increased education, increased computer and internet access, the decline of local media, and the accelerating of the importance of technologies other than fossil fuel based technologies, altogether or individually, deem the policies of the United Conservative Party archaic even before their first election?
Elections Alberta shows about a dozen parties but I think in 2019 there will probably be only 3 or 4 serious contenders with the New Democrats and the United Conservatives being the top 2 to watch. The Alberta Party and the Alberta Advantage Party may prove to be contenders, only time will tell.
The 2015 election was supposed to be a slam dunk win for the Progressive Conservatives after former Premier Jim Prentice lured former Wildrose leader Danielle Smith and several MLAs over to his party. He then campaigned with his back turned to new leader of the Wildrose allowing the New Democrats to show their strength and win. So 2019 will be exciting.
Forecasters may be wrong, as they often are, and we may be in the bust portion of our boom and bust economic cycle so it may be a walk for an opposition party.
The 2019 Alberta Election will be the election to watch, Albertans do not shy away from a good fight. 2019 is shaping up to be a good fight.

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