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Alberta Campaign Roundup – Day 15

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From the Alberta Institute

Campaign Roundup – Day 15:

  • We’re halfway through the election campaign now! If you’re enjoying our daily campaign roundups, please consider making a one-off donation or signing up as a supporter of the Alberta Institute for just $10 a month so that we can keep you updated.
  • Polls continue to swing back and forth, with new polling from Janet Brown showing the UCP ahead by 51% to 40% province-wide. Crucially, her poll also shows the UCP leading in the key battleground of Calgary by 51% to 39%.
  • The weekend’s hot, dry conditions brought more wildfires and more evacuation orders. There are now almost 20,000 people who have been forced to flee their homes. New evacuation orders were issued for Rainbow Lake, parts of Leduc County, and Sturgeon Lake Cree Nation.
  • Rachel Notley clarified her position on ā€œsafe supplyā€, coming out in support of the programs that provide pharmaceutical replacements for opioids, but called claims that her party wants to provide hard drugs ā€œutterly ridiculousā€.
  • Rachel Notley made an announcement on her Twitter feed, promising to invest in the arts. The NDP, if elected, promised to provide 50% more funding for the Alberta Foundation for the Arts, an Arts Capital Grants Program, and a Live Entertainment Advisory Council.
  • The NDP also held a press conference promising to eliminate the small business tax (from its current 2% rate). She also promised that, if elected, her party would not raise personal income taxes, nor would they go down the road of a PST.
  • The UCP held a press conference announcing new measures to deal with the mental health and addiction crisis. If re-elected, the UCP would draft and pass the Compassionate Intervention Act, which would allow a family member, doctor, psychologist, or police officer to petition a judge to issue a treatment order.
  • Danielle Smith said that providing more drugs to people is not a way to address public safety, nor is it a compassionate way to treat people suffering from addiction. Instead, she promised to build a series of five mental wellness centres, each with 75 beds, as well as add 700 new addiction beds at 11 existing treatment centres.
  • Brian Jean, UCP Candidate for Fort McMurray – Lac La Biche, reminded Albertans of the anti-energy positions of some NDP candidates. He also filmed a video about Danielle Smith’s strong opposition to Justin Trudeau’s anti-energy policies and Rachel Notley’s silence.

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Alberta

Median workers in Alberta could receive 72% more under Alberta Pension Plan compared to Canada Pension Plan

Published on

From the Fraser Institute

By Tegan Hill and Joel Emes

Moving from the CPP to a provincial pension plan would generate savings for Albertans in the form of lower contribution rates (which could be used to increase private retirement savings while receiving the same pension benefits as the CPP under the new provincial pension), finds a new study published today by the Fraser Institute, an independent, non-partisan Canadian public policy think-tank.

ā€œDue to Alberta’s comparatively high rates of employment, higher average incomes, and younger population, Albertans would pay a lower contribution rate through a separate provincial pension plan while receiving the same benefits as under the CPP,ā€ said Tegan Hill, director of Alberta policy at the Fraser Institute and co-author of Illustrating the Potential of an Alberta Pension Plan.

Assuming Albertans invested the savings from moving to a provincial pension plan into a private retirement account, and assuming a contribution rate of 5.85 per cent, workers earning the median income in Alberta ($53,061 in 2025) could accrue a stream of retirement payments totalling $454,741 (pre-tax)—a 71.6 per cent increase from their stream of CPP payments ($264,968).

Put differently, under the CPP, a median worker receives a total of $264,968 in retirement income over their life. If an Alberta worker saved the difference between what they pay now into the CPP and what they would pay into a new provincial plan, the income they would receive in retirement increases. If the contribution rate for the new provincial plan was 5.85 per cent—the lower of the available estimates—the increase in retirement income would total $189,773 (or an increase of 71.6 per cent).

If the contribution rate for a new Alberta pension plan was 8.21 per cent—the higher of the available estimates—a median Alberta worker would still receive an additional $64,672 in retirement income over their life, a marked increase of 24.4 per cent compared to the CPP alone.

Put differently, assuming a contribution rate of 8.21 per cent, Albertan workers earning the median income could accrue a stream of retirement payments totaling $329,640 (pre-tax) under a provincial pension plan—a 24.4 per cent increase from their stream of CPP payments.

ā€œWhile the full costs and benefits of a provincial pension plan must be considered, its clear that Albertans could benefit from higher retirement payments under a provincial pension plan, compared to the CPP,ā€ Hill said.

Illustrating the Potential of an Alberta Pension Plan

  • Due to Alberta’s comparatively high rates of employment, higher average incomes, and younger population, Albertans would pay a lower contribution rate with a separate provincial pension plan, compared with the CPP, while receiving the same benefits as under the CPP.
  • Put differently, moving from the CPP to a provincial pension plan would generate savings for Albertans, which could be used to increase private retirement income. This essay assesses the potential savings for Albertans of moving to a provincial pension plan. It also estimates an Albertan’s potential increase in total retirement income, if those savings were invested in a private account.
  • Depending on the contribution rate used for an Alberta pension plan (APP), ranging from 5.85 to 8.2 percent, an individual earning the CPP’s yearly maximum pensionable earnings ($71,300 in 2025), would accrue a stream of retirement payments under the total APP (APP plus private retirement savings), yielding a total retirement income of between $429,524 and $584,235. This would be 22.9 to 67.1 percent higher, respectively, than their stream of CPP payments ($349,545).
  • An individual earning the median income in Alberta ($53,061 in 2025), would accrue a stream of retirement payments under the total APP (APP plus private retirement savings), yielding a total retirement income of between $329,640 and $454,741, which is between 24.4 percent to 71.6 percent higher, respectively, than their stream of CPP payments ($264,968).

 

Tegan Hill

Director, Alberta Policy, Fraser Institute
Joel Emes

Joel Emes

Senior Economist, Fraser Institute
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Alberta

Alberta ban on men in women’s sports doesn’t apply to athletes from other provinces

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From LifeSiteNews

By Clare Marie Merkowsky

Alberta’s Fairness and Safety in Sport Act bans transgender males from women’s sports within the province but cannot regulate out-of-province transgender athletes.

Alberta’s ban on gender-confused males competing in women’s sports will not apply to out-of-province athletes.

In an interview posted July 12 by theĀ Canadian Press, Alberta Tourism and Sport Minister Andrew Boitchenko revealed that Alberta does not have the jurisdiction to regulate out-of-province, gender-confused males from competing against female athletes.

ā€œWe don’t have authority to regulate athletes from different jurisdictions,ā€ he said in an interview.

Ministry spokeswoman Vanessa Gomez further explained that while Alberta passed legislation to protect women within their province, outside sporting organizations are bound by federal or international guidelines.

As a result, Albertan female athletes will be spared from competing against men during provincial competition but must face male competitors during inter-provincial events.

In December, AlbertaĀ passedĀ the Fairness and Safety in Sport ActĀ to prevent biological men who claim to be women from competing in women’s sports.Ā The legislation will take effect on September 1 and will apply to all school boards, universities, as well as provincial sports organizations.

The move comes after studies have repeatedly revealed what almost everyone already knew was true, namely, that males have a considerable advantage over women in athletics.

Indeed, a recent study published in Sports Medicine found that a year of ā€œtransgenderā€ hormone drugs results in ā€œvery modest changesā€ in the inherent strength advantages of men.

Additionally, male athletes competing in women’s sports are known to be violent, especially toward female athletes who oppose their dominance in women’s sports.

In February, AndresĀ rantedĀ about why men should be able to compete in women’s competitions, calling for ā€œthe Ontario lifterā€ who opposes this, apparently referring to powerlifterĀ April Hutchinson, to ā€œdie painfully.ā€

Interestingly, while Andres was suspended for six months for issuing death threats, Hutchinson wasĀ suspendedĀ for two years after publiclyĀ condemningĀ him for stealing victories from women and then mocking his female competitors on social media. Her suspension was later reduced to a year.

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