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Middle East War Shows No Signs Of Stopping One Year After Oct. 7 — And No Clear Path To Exit

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From the Daily Caller News Foundation 

 

By Jake Smith

The chaos of Hamas’ October 7, 2023, invasion of Israel is still being felt one year later as the broader region grapples with a conflict that has shown no signs of stopping.

Hamas Oct. 7 terrorist attacks caught Israel by surprise and resulted in the murder of approximately 1,200 people and the kidnapping of hundreds of others, including American citizens. Israel retaliated and launched a war against Hamas in Gaza, which a year later has not ended but instead spilled into the broader Middle East and drawn in other bad actors such as Hezbollah and Iran.

“We’re still stuck in Oct. 7, 2023, in one unending day of terror, of fear, of anger, of despair,” Yuval Baron, an Israeli citizen whose father-in-law is still being held by Hamas in Gaza, told Reuters.

Israeli forces have largely occupied Gaza and killed thousands of Hamas operatives, largely crippling the terrorist group’s capabilities, although it has come at great humanitarian cost to the enclave, according to Reuters. The conflict has displaced millions of Palestinians and wreaked havoc across Gaza, leaving many areas uninhabitable, Bloomberg reported.

The effort to build Gaza after the fighting ends — whenever that may be — will likely be an incredibly costly venture that could take years and require joint cooperation between several Arab states, according to Bloomberg. Millions of tons of debris will have to be cleared from the enclave while buildings are repaired or replaced.

“We thought it would be two months [of fighting] — at most,”  Mohammed Shakib Hassan, a Palestinian civil servant who fled his home after Israeli forces entered Gaza last year, told The New York Times. “Twelve months have passed in front of our eyes.”

Israel, with the help of the U.S., has on several occasions made offers for a ceasefire in Gaza conditioned on the release of the remaining hostages held by Hamas and the surrender of the terrorist group, but these proposals have been rejectedmultiple times. Yayha Sinwar, the leader of Hamas who has been hiding underground in Gaza, reportedly believes that he is not going to survive the war and has zero intention of reaching a ceasefire deal with Israel at this point in the conflict, according to U.S. intelligence assessments reviewed by The New York Times.

The Biden-Harris administration has spent months brokering negotiations between Israel and Hamas and working with regional mediators to try to reach a deal, but these efforts have largely been fruitless. Though President Biden has on several occasions predicted that a ceasefire could be reached in short order, his own officials now privately believe it will be near impossible to get a deal done between now and January, the end of Biden’s term.

“They’re probably not going to get one before the election, or before January either. But that’s not on them, per se. It speaks to the difficulty of how far apart [Israel and Hamas] are,” former State Department official Gabriel Noronha told the Daily Caller News Foundation in September.

There have been various roadblocks to getting a deal done. Specifically, Israel wants to leave troops along the Gaza-Egyptian border, arguing that it would stonewall Hamas from trafficking in weapons, but Hamas has rejected this term.

Though the prospects of a deal are unlikely at this point, Israel’s war with Hamas in Gaza has largely come to a close as the terrorist group’s capabilities have been vastly diminished.

“Hamas is a shadow of its former self. Israel is going to continue to try to eradicate them, but it’s sort of a guerilla campaign. Hamas is being starved and smoked out. I suspect that you’re going to see Hamas go underground somewhat — more figuratively than literally at this point,” Noronha told the DCNF last month.

Instead, Israel has shifted much of its forces and focus away from Gaza and toward Lebanon, which houses the Iranian-backed terrorist group Hezbollah. Hezbollah is Iran’s largest terrorist group in the Middle East and has engaged in cross-fire skirmishes with Israel since last October out of support for Hamas, displacing thousands of civilians near the Israel-Lebanon border, according to NPR.

Hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have reached a boiling point in recent weeks, as Israel has launched sweeping airstrikes against the terrorist group in southern Lebanon and killed the group’s leader in an airstrike in late September, according to The Washington Post. Israeli forces have begun ground raids against Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, in what could be the prelude to a much larger ground invasion.

The Biden-Harris Administration, along with other allies, also put forward on Sep. 26 a separate ceasefire proposal for Israel and Hezbollah, although it was seemingly ignored by both parties.

“It’s clear that Israel is determined to rid Lebanon of Hezbollah,” senior fellow at the Strauss Center and former Pentagon official Simone Ledeen told the DCNF. “They need Hezbollah to lay down their arms and surrender… the Israelis [are] really focused on getting to that objective.”

The multi-front Middle East conflict extends also to Iran, which — though it has helped orchestrate and fund the various terror attacks against Israel — made an unprecedented move in April and launched a sweeping missile strike against Israel from directly within Iran’s borders, according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Iran launched a similar attack against Israel last week in the form of roughly 180 missiles, most of which were intercepted by U.S. and Israeli forces.

Israel is expected to respond with an attack directly against Iran, although the timing and nature of the move is publicly unknown. The Biden-Harris administration is helping coordinate the attack with Israel, though it wants Israel to avoidgoing after the country’s nuclear facilities.

“The launch of over 180 ballistic missiles by Tehran requires a decisive reaction to prevent future attacks,” Israeli intelligence agent Avi Melamed said in a statement on Monday. “Currently, it seems that Israel is finalizing its operational plans while the U.S. prepares munitions to defensively counter any potential Iranian counterstrike.”

The conflict extends even further into Iraq, Syria and Yemen, all hotspots for other various Iranian-backed terrorist groups that have attacked U.S. and Israeli forces in the region since last October, according to Axios. Israeli forces have launched a series in those regions, too, in recent months.

Until the current Middle East conflict comes to an end, the possibility of regional peace may be too far out of reach, even as that remains a goal for other key Arab states and Western nations. Iran’s “axis of resistance” has taken severe blows since last October, according to Axios.

But Israeli forces are stretched across multiple fronts in a conflict with no clear end game, and the Israeli people seem to be growing more and more weary of the conflict; 23% of Israelis considered leaving the country in the last year, according to a recent poll cited by Axios.

“This war won’t end because nobody is willing to blink,” Thomas Nides, former U.S. ambassador to Israel, told the Times. “In the meantime, everyone is losing — hostages and their families, innocent Palestinians, Israelis displaced from northern Israel, Lebanese civilians. And it’s truly tragic.”

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Ukraine War may see breakthrough as Trump sets up Monday Morning call with Putin

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Quick Hit:

President Trump says he’ll speak with Vladimir Putin by phone Monday at 10 a.m. to stop the Ukraine “bloodbath,” calling for a ceasefire and an end to a war he says “should have never happened.”

Key Details:

  • On Saturday, Trump revealed his plans in a Truth Social post, writing: “THE SUBJECTS OF THE CALL WILL BE, STOPPING THE ‘BLOODBATH’ THAT IS KILLING, ON AVERAGE, MORE THAN 5000 RUSSIAN AND UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS A WEEK.”

  • Trump added that he also intends to reach out to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and NATO leaders. “HOPEFULLY IT WILL BE A PRODUCTIVE DAY.”

  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio held a round of discussions with Ukrainian and Russian delegations Thursday in Turkey, followed by a Saturday phone call with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. The talks produced an agreement for a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange.

Diving Deeper:

President Trump said Saturday he will hold a direct call with Vladimir Putin on Monday in an attempt to broker a cease-fire in Ukraine, which he described as a “very violent war” that “should have never happened.” His announcement came amid renewed international attention on negotiations after Putin refused to personally attend this week’s summit in Istanbul, opting instead to send a lower-level delegation led by former cultural minister Vladimir Medinsky.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who had hoped to meet Putin face-to-face, publicly criticized the move. “Russia once again demonstrated that it does not intend to end the war,” Zelensky said Thursday on X. “Such a Russian approach is a sign of disrespect—toward the world and all partners.”

As Kyiv pushes for a 30-day cease-fire, the Kremlin has made clear it wants Ukrainian forces to withdraw from Russian-occupied regions including Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson. Despite these tensions, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, acting on Trump’s behalf, managed to secure an agreement for a prisoner swap during Thursday’s talks. “President Trump’s call for an immediate ceasefire and an end to the violence” was the focus of follow-up communications, according to State Department spokeswoman Tammy Bruce.

Trump told Fox News host Bret Baier on Friday that Zelensky had “pissed away” billions of dollars in U.S. aid, while expressing optimism about halting the war. “We inherited this mess, but I think it’s going to get solved,” Trump said. “I think we’ll do it fast,” adding that Putin “is tired of this whole thing. He’s not looking good, and he wants to look good.”

In his Truth Social post, Trump emphasized both humanitarian and strategic goals for the Monday conversation. Alongside his effort to halt the fighting, Trump said trade would also be discussed during the 10:00 a.m. call with Putin. He reiterated his desire to quickly bring the conflict to an end and restore stability, ending: “GOD BLESS US ALL!!!”

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Trump: Billions sent to Ukraine were “pissed away”

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Quick Hit:

In a Friday interview with Fox News, President Donald Trump ripped Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for mismanaging billions in U.S. aid, accusing him of having “pissed away” the money.

Key Details:

  • Trump told Special Report host Bret Baier that Zelensky “pissed away” the aid money and claimed that $60 billion checks were cut “every time” the Ukrainian leader visited Washington.

  • “I think he’s the greatest salesman in the world. Far better than me,” Trump said, while sharply criticizing the lack of accountability in Kyiv’s use of U.S. funds.

  • Trump called out the Biden administration’s approach of sending “just checks” instead of equipment and argued that Ukraine has treated the U.S. “worse” than European allies.

Diving Deeper:

President Donald Trump delivered a pointed rebuke of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky during a sit-down interview Friday on Fox News, blasting Ukraine’s handling of U.S. financial support and questioning the integrity of how billions in aid have been used. Speaking with Special Report host Bret Baier, Trump didn’t mince words: “What bothered me—I hated to see the way it was, you know, excuse me, pissed away,” he said, referring to the Biden administration’s approach to sending unchecked funds to Kyiv.

Trump repeatedly pressed his concern about the lack of oversight, claiming that each time Zelensky traveled to Washington, “checks were sent for $60 billion.” He continued, “Where is all this money going?” emphasizing that Washington has been writing blank checks while Europe contributes far less to the war effort.

The president dismissed Baier’s attempt to pivot the conversation toward Russian President Vladimir Putin, stating, “Wait,” and reiterating his view that the U.S. has been “treated worse” than European nations by the Ukrainian government. “We send checks. We don’t always send equipment. We send—just checks. We send — just cash,” Trump said. “Where is it?”

As the U.S. inches closer to exhausting its current pool of congressionally approved Ukraine aid—with roughly $175 billion authorized since Russia’s invasion began in February 2022—Trump’s frustration reflects growing skepticism among many conservatives about the return on that investment.

Trump also floated the idea of a swift peace negotiation with Putin, expressing confidence that a face-to-face meeting could bring the war to a close. “I think we’ll do it fast,” he said. “I think he’s tired of this whole thing. He’s not looking good, and he wants to look good.”

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