Dan McTeague
In 2025, we have much to look forward to so let’s celebrate now
By Dan McTeague
That light at the end of the tunnel we thought was an oncoming train? It might be the sun after all!
“Tis the season to be jolly,” says the song, and commonsense-loving Canadians would do well to follow that dictum this Christmas season.
To be sure, Justin Trudeau’s nine years in power have harmed our country and its people immeasurably. Trudeau has waged a multi-front war on both the production and consumption of hydrocarbon energy, the backbone of the Canadian economy.
The Trudeau government, devoted as it is to the damaging Net Zero ideology, instituted a Carbon Tax, appropriately set to increase every year on April Fool’s Day, of all days, so that Canadians would get progressively acclimated to paying more for energy every year. Like frogs in a slowly heating pot.
He was so devoted to this increase that he refused to postpone it during the dark early days of the COVID-19 pandemic when no one knew what was going on, unemployment was rising sharply, and the country was looking at a severe economic downturn. That’s ideology for you.
The Carbon Tax, compounded as it is by the less-known Clean Fuel Standard, which I’ve dubbed the Second Carbon Tax, has been an albatross around the neck of the Canadian economy, making it difficult for us to keep our heads above water. It has made it increasingly more expensive to heat our homes in a famously frigid climate, and to gas up our cars in a huge country where driving is a necessity.
Those are its obvious consequences, but somewhat less commented on has been its secondary effects on the price of goods and services. The Carbon Tax raises the cost of business at every step of our supply chain, from the farm to the grocery store, and that cost is ultimately passed onto the consumer.
And then there are the Electric Vehicle (EV) mandates, which will become an issue much sooner than you realize. The Trudeau government has mandated that by 2035, in just about a decade, every new car, SUV, or light truck sold in Canada must be an EV. This despite the fact that EVs are less reliable — once again, especially in the cold.
Charging EVs is extremely inconvenient, generally taking hours. And that’s if you can even find a charger — Natural Resources Canada estimates that we will need to build about 450,000 charging stations to meet the needs of the country, if Trudeau’s EV transition is going to work at all. Right now we have about 28,000.
They’re also expensive to produce, which is why the Trudeau government (along with their partners in crime, the Ford government in Ontario) have been heavily subsidizing their production. And they’re expensive to buy, which is why the government has been subsidizing their purchase. Which is to say, billions of taxpayer dollars are being shoveled into both ends of the EV dumpster fire!
And one of the most recent outrages perpetrated by this government has been the emission cap, which as I said in these pages a few months ago, “make Canada the only country in the world which willingly and purposefully stifles its single largest revenue stream.”
After all, a report commissioned by the Government of Alberta found that an Emissions Cap would lead to a 10% decrease in Alberta’s oil production and a 16% decrease in conventional natural gas production. The report estimates that “over the 2030 to 2040 period… real GDP in Alberta is $191 billion lower and real GDP in the Rest of Canada is $91 billion lower, compared to the baseline scenario.” Instead of growing, the economies of Alberta and Canada will have contracted by 2040, by 4.5% of GDP for the former and by 1.0% of GDP of the latter.
And if that is too abstract, it just means that working men and women, throughout our country, not just in our western provinces, will struggle to provide for their families, whether or not their professions have anything to do with oil and gas. That’s what a shrinking economy looks like.
Now, I could go on and on this way, touching on housing, crime, or rising unemployment, but a truly exhaustive list of Trudeaupian blunders might take us all the way to Easter. But I did open this article by counseling us all to rejoice, in the proper spirit of this season. And, despite this bleak picture, there is good reason to do so.
First off, rejoice because the results of Trudeau’s catastrophic governance have been noticed. Regular people have soured on his policies, particularly the supposedly “green” ones. Hammering away at the Carbon Tax has put Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives in a pretty good position to win the federal election we’re set to have on or before (preferably before) October 20, 2025. At which point we can begin the process of doing a significant course correction and putting the past 9 years behind us.
That is easier said than done. It will take a lot of hard work on the part of the Conservatives to undo the ideological policies which have made our lives unaffordable, and there will be the temptation to go after the low hanging fruit by, say, canceling the Carbon Tax and leaving the rest of the rotten Net Zero superstructure in place.
That would be bad, and if they try anything along those lines, I will be the first to call them on it. Even so, they are unlikely to actively make things worse, which makes them better than the Trudeau Liberals.
But more importantly, we should rejoice because politics isn’t everything. That’s easy to forget when we’re throwing elbows on Twitter/X and elsewhere, but there’s more to life than this. With all of our problems, we’re still blessed to live in a beautiful, peaceful country with abundant natural resources and full of good people.
So my advice to you, dear reader, is to make it a point during these holidays to spend some time with family and catch up with some old friends, whatever their political persuasion.
You won’t regret it.
Dan McTeague is President of Canadians for Affordable Energy.
Automotive
Canada’s EV gamble is starting to backfire
Things have only gone from bad to worse for the global Electric Vehicle industry. And that’s a problem for Canada, because successive Liberal governments have done everything in their power to hitch our cart to that horse.
Earlier this month, the Trump Administration rolled back more Biden-era regulations that effectively served as a back-door EV mandate in the United States. These rules mandated that all passenger cars be able to travel at least 65.1 miles (and for light trucks, 45.2 miles) per gallon of gasoline or diesel, by the year 2031. Since no Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) vehicle could realistically conform to those standards, that would have essentially boxed them out of the market.
Trump’s rolling them back was a fulfillment of his campaign promise to end the Biden Administration’s stealth EV mandates. But it was also a simple recognition of the reality that EVs can’t compete on their own merits.
For proof of that, look no further than our second bit of bad news for EVs: Ford Motor Company has just announced a massive $19.5 billion write-down, almost entirely linked to its aggressive push into EVs. They’ve lost $13 billion on EVs in the past two years alone.
The company invested tens of billions on these go-carts, and lost their shirt when it turned out the market for them was miniscule.
Ford’s EV division president Andrew Frick explained, “Ford is following the customer. We are looking at the market as it is today, not just as everyone predicted it to be five years ago.”
Of course, five years ago, the market was assuming that government subsidies-plus-mandates would create a market for EVs at scale, which hasn’t happened.
As to what this portends for the market, the Wall Street Journal argued, “The company’s pivot from all-electric vehicles is a fresh sign that America’s roadways – after a push to remake them – will continue to look in the near future much like they do today, with a large number of gas-powered cars and trucks and growing use of hybrids.”
And that’s not just true in the U.S. Across the Atlantic, reports suggest the European Union is preparing to delay their own EV mandates to 2040. And the U.K.’s Labour government is considering postponing their own 2030 ICE vehicle ban to align with any EU change in policy.
It’s looking like fewer people around the world will be forced by their governments to buy EVs. Which means that fewer people will be buying EVs.
Now, that is a headache for Canada. Our leaders, at both the federal and provincial levels, have bet big on the success of EVs, investing billions in taxpayer dollars in the hopes of making Canada a major player in the global EV supply chain.
To bolster those investments, Ottawa introduced its Electric Vehicle mandate, requiring 100 per cent of new light-duty vehicle sales to be electric by 2035. This, despite the fact that EVs remain significantly more expensive than gas-and-diesel driven vehicles, they’re poorly suited to Canada’s vast distances and cold climate, and our charging infrastructure is wholly inadequate for a total transition to EVs.
But even if these things weren’t true, there still aren’t enough of us to make the government’s investment make sense. Their entire strategy depends on exporting to foreign markets that are rapidly cooling on EVs.
Collapsing demand south of the border – where the vast majority of the autos we build are sent – means that Canadian EVs will be left without buyers. And postponed (perhaps eventually canceled) mandates in Europe mean that we will be left without a fallback market.
Canadian industry voices are growing louder in their concern. Meanwhile, plants are already idling, scaling back production, or even closing, leaving workers out in the cold.
As GM Canada’s president, Kristian Aquilina, said when announcing her company’s cancellation of the BrightDrop Electric delivery van, “Quite simply, we just have not seen demand for these vehicles climb to the levels that we initially anticipated…. It’s simply a demand and a market-driven response.”
Prime Minister Mark Carney, while sharing much of the same environmental outlook as his predecessor, has already been compelled by economic realities to make a small adjustment – delaying the enforcement of the 2026 EV sales quotas by one year.
But a one-year pause doesn’t solve the problem. It kicks the can down the road.
Mr. Carney must now make a choice. He can double down on this troubled policy, continuing to throw good money after bad, endangering a lot of jobs in our automotive sector, while making transportation more expensive and less reliable for Canadians. Or he can change course: scrap the mandates, end the subsidies, and start putting people and prosperity ahead of ideology.
Here’s hoping he chooses the latter.
The writing is on the wall. Around the world, the forced transition to EVs is crashing into economic reality. If Canada doesn’t wake up soon, we’ll be left holding the bag.
Dan McTeague
Will this deal actually build a pipeline in Canada?
By Dan McTeague
Will Carney’s new pipeline deal actually help get a pipeline built in Canada? As we said before, the devil is in the details.
While the establishment and mainstream media cheer on the new pipeline agreement, there are specific details you need to be aware of.
Dan McTeague explains in his latest video.
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