Business
Arrest of Telegram founder Pavel Durov signals an increasing threat to digital freedom

Pavel Durov of Telegram speaks during the Digital Life Design conference (DLD) at HVB Forum on January 24, 2012, in Munich, Germany
From LifeSiteNews
The message being sent to every tech visionary, journalist, or outspoken citizen is if you donāt play by the new rules, the state will come for you. Theyāve got the global mandate to ensure that dissenting voices are silenced, one way or another.
Picture this: a tech billionaire, whoās made his fortune building a platform that prioritizes privacy and free speech, is arrested at a Paris airport. Sounds like the plot of a dystopian thriller, right? Except itās real life. Pavel Durov, the brain behindĀ Telegram, found himself in handcuffs at Le Bourget airport over the weekend, marking another dark chapter in the ongoing war against free speech.Ā
Whatās Durovās crime, you ask? Well, it depends on which bureaucrat you ask. According to the official indictment, heās guilty of everything short of kicking puppies ā fraud, drug trafficking, organized crime, encouraging terrorism, and, just for good measure, providing encryption. The French authorities must have felt ambitious that day, throwing in the entire criminal code just to be sure. Letās not forget that this whole circus started because Durov reportedly had the audacity to support free speech. Apparently, in 2024, thatās enough to get you a one-way ticket to a Parisian jail cell.Ā
READ:Ā Telegram founder Pavel Durov arrested in FranceĀ
Durovās detention has been extended by 96 hours. Because, you know, it takes a while to figure out which of these ludicrous charges will stick when the real crime was defending free speech.Ā
French President Emmanuel Macron assures everyone that Durovās arrest is nothing more than a purely ājudicial,ā non-political act. You know, the kind of legal housekeeping every free society must endure to keep its otherwise robust freedoms from accidentally going rogue. Because, clearly, when you find the head of a privacy-focused tech giant behind bars, itās all about upholding legal standards, right?Ā
I have seen false information regarding France following the arrest of Pavel Durov.
France is deeply committed to freedom of expression and communication, to innovation, and to the spirit of entrepreneurship. It will remain so.
In a state governed by the rule of law,ā¦
— Emmanuel Macron (@EmmanuelMacron) August 26, 2024
But before we crown France this monthās champion of authoritarianism, letās take a quick tour around the globe. In the European Unionās ever-benevolent grasp,Ā a high-ranking official isĀ threatening to drag U.S. social media platformsĀ through the censorship ringer. Whatās the endgame? To ensure that the EUās favorite brand of speech policing crosses the Atlantic. Forget about free expression ā itās all about toeing the line, or else.Ā
Not to be outdone, Brazilās Supreme Court is adding its own flair to the global crackdown with secretiveĀ censorship orders slapped on online platforms. The idea here is simple: if you canāt kill the message, just gag the messenger. No court hearings, no appeals ā just pure, unfiltered control.Ā
And then thereās theĀ piĆØce de rĆ©sistance: the British prime minister, whoās nowĀ arresting citizensĀ for ā wait for it ā social media posts. Thatās right. In the United Kingdom, all it takes is a tweet or a Facebook rant to earn yourself a pair of handcuffs. George Orwell must be rolling in his grave, muttering, āI told you so.āĀ
So, here we are, watching as the pillars of free speech are bulldozed in broad daylight, with tech moguls like Durov tossed behind bars for daring to build platforms that donāt kowtow to government censorship. The arrest of a billionaire for refusing to censor, a prime minister having citizens arrested for social media posts, an EU official threatening American companies with censorship demands, and a Brazilian judge unleashing secretive orders ā this isnāt just a bad month for free speech; itās a full-on assault.Ā
Whatās the message being sent to every tech visionary, journalist, or outspoken citizen? Simple: if you donāt play by the new rules, the state will come for you. Theyāve got the handcuffs, the secret orders, and, apparently, the global mandate to ensure that dissenting voices are silenced, one way or another.Ā
This isnāt just about Durov or Telegram. This is about the battle lines being drawn between governments that want absolute control and a shrinking pool of platforms still willing to fight for freedom. These are dangerous times for free speech, and if we donāt pay attention, we might just wake up to find it gone for good.Ā
Durov, who departed Russia in 2014 following disagreements with the Kremlin over internet freedoms, particularly related to his refusal to close opposition groups on the VK social network which he founded at the age of 22, has since dedicated his efforts to developing Telegram.Ā
Yet, after escaping Russia and its oppressive censorship demands, itās now Western governments that have been the ones to make censorship demands.Ā
Created with his brother Nikolai in 2013, Telegram initially functioned similarly to other messaging services but has evolved into a more complex social network, facilitating large-scale communication through channels and groups.Ā
Despite residing in Dubai, where he enjoys citizenship alongside France and the UAE, Durov champions the app as a bastion of neutrality and free speech in an increasingly monitored digital world.Ā
In a statement on Telegram, the company said, āTelegram abides by EU laws,ā mentioning theĀ Digital Services ActĀ in particular and adding that Pavel Durov āhas nothing to hide.āĀ
The sight of Russian officials donning the mantle of āfree speech defendersā is like watching a fox petition for chicken rights. Yet, here we are. Moscow is outraged ā not at the idea of censorship (they do enough of that themselves) but because theyāre not the ones holding the keys to the cell. French authorities, evidently too busy trying to build a legal house of cards against Telegramās founder have somehow managed to snub their Russian counterparts, who are now demanding consular access and throwing diplomatic shade from the Russian embassy in Paris.Ā
Enter Vladislav Davankov, the deputy speaker of Russiaās State Duma, whoās managed to turn Durovās arrest into a soapbox moment. Davankovās allegation? That Durovās detention is nothing more than a thinly veiled scheme by the West to hack into Telegramās treasure trove of user data. According to him, this kind of violation of privacy ācannot be allowed.ā Thatās rich, coming from a regime thatās never met a dissident it didnāt want to silence or a data packet it didnāt want to intercept. But his allegations against the French government may actually be pretty close.Ā
To understand why Moscow is crying foul over Durovās arrest, one must rewind the clock to 2014, when a 29-year-old Durov found himself at odds with the Kremlin. Back then, the Russian government was trying to twist his arm to shut down opposition groups on VK, the social network Durov had built from the ground up. Instead of capitulating, Durov took a stand for internet freedom, packed his bags, and left Russia for good. Fast forward a decade, and Durov is now based in Dubai, where he enjoys triple citizenship and a lifestyle reportedly far removed from his Kremlin-tangled past.Ā
Durovās masterpiece, Telegram, started as just another messaging app, but has since morphed into a digital juggernaut. With 950 million monthly users, itās a lifeline for news, a platform for both truth (and yes, like any other platform or legacy news outlet, misinformation) and, much to the chagrin of various governments, a symbol of digital resistance. In the chaotic storm of Russiaās invasion of Ukraine, Telegram has become a critical tool for both reporting on the conflict and narratives that governments find increasingly difficult to control.Ā
The irony in all of this is that after fleeing Russiaās oppressive demands, itās now the so-called free world coming after Durov. The man who said ānoā to the Kremlinās censorship now finds himself in the crosshairs of Western governments, who are just as eager to force his hand. While the West has long championed itself as a bastion of free speech, Durovās recent experience suggests otherwise.Ā
Telegramās official statement makes this clear enough: āTelegram abides by EU laws,ā it reads, with a polite nod to the much-vaunted Digital Services Act. But the real interesting part comes with the companyās assertion that Durov āhas nothing to hide.ā This could be true ā or it could be the last defiant proclamation before the doors are kicked in by the data-hungry enforcers of digital orthodoxy.Ā
For Durov, this ordeal must feel like a twisted rerun. The same man who once resisted Moscowās censorship demands now finds himself dodging the Westās increasingly sharp regulatory spears. Itās a grim reminder that no matter which flag flies over the government building, those in power seem to share one common goal: control.Ā
The arrest, coupled with the Kremlinās performative outrage, lays bare the truth about the state of global free speech: itās under attack from all sides. Whether itās through overt censorship, as seen in Russia, or the subtler, but equally insidious, pressures from the West, the aim is the same: silence dissent, control the narrative, and pry open every digital lock that doesnāt fit the stateās key.Ā
In the EU, the Digital Services Act has been rolled out with all the fanfare of a revolutionary triumph, marketed as a safeguard for user āsafety.ā The truth, however, is far more sinister. What the EU is really doing is tightening its grip on the digital world, muzzling dissent under theĀ guise of combatingĀ āmisinformationā and āhate speech.āĀ The arrest of Durov in France is just the latest ā and most brazen ā example of this creeping authoritarianism dressed up in bureaucratic language.Ā
The DSA is the EUās shiny new tool for keeping social media and tech companies under its thumb. ItĀ mandates that platforms like Telegram must now answer to Big Brother, swiftly addressing so-called ādisinformationā or risk facing severe penalties. The law is designed to force companies to do the dirty work of governments, effectively turning them into enforcers of state-approved narratives. Itās not about protecting users; itās about controlling them. And in the world of modern governance, where the line between regulation and repression is blurrier than ever, Durovās arrest is a warning shot.Ā
Digital speech under siege: Europeās march toward censorshipĀ
Letās not mince words: the EUās relentless push to āenhance user safetyā is a euphemism for ramping up censorship. By couching these regulations in the language of public good, the EU manages to dodge the inconvenient truth that its real goal is to control the flow of information. The Digital Services Act, hailed as a āsignificant overhaulā of the EUās digital policy, is little more than a power grab disguised as a public service. And the timing of Durovās arrest in France ā an EU stronghold ā couldnāt be more telling.Ā
Durov, whoās spent years fighting back against censorship, now finds himself in the middle of a battle over the future of online speech. Heās built his reputation on refusing to bow to government demands, whether from the Kremlin or the West. But with his arrest in a supposedly free country, we see just how far the EU is willing to go to enforce its new digital regime.Ā
The DSA gives the EU unprecedented control over tech companies, demanding rapid responses to whatever it deems unfit for public consumption. For Telegram, this means beefing up content moderation or facing the wrath of Brussels ā a stark choice between betraying its principles or suffering the consequences.Ā
READ:Ā Christian doctor in Germany receives 2,500-euro fine for warning about COVID jab dangers in 2021Ā
The global chill: Durovās arrest as a warning to tech CEOsĀ
Durovās arrest sends a clear and chilling message: no one is safe from the reach of the state. If a billionaire tech CEO can be nabbed at an airport and held on dubious charges for daring to defend free speech, what hope is there for anyone else? The EUās new laws and the arrest of Durov mark a dangerous escalation in the global war on free expression. Other tech leaders who have championed privacy and resisted censorship must be watching with a mix of fear and trepidation, wondering if theyāre next on the hit list.Ā
The implications are profound. Durovās stand against censorship has made him a symbol of resistance, but itās also turned him into a target. The arrest coincides with an era where tensions over digital freedom are reaching a boiling point. Governments across the globe are tightening their noose on online platforms, and the EUās DSA is the latest weapon in this fight. What weāre witnessing is the opening salvo in a broader campaign to control the digital public square, to ensure that only the ācorrectā information sees the light of day.Ā
The digital guillotine: How the EUās DSA is reshaping the internetĀ
In the tradition of authoritarian overreach, the EUās DSA represents more than just regulation ā itās the construction of a digital guillotine. The law doesnāt just keep tech companies in check; it keeps them in fear. With the power to fine, sanction, or even shut down platforms that donāt toe the line, the DSA is a blueprint for modern-day censorship, one thatās already beginning to claim its first high-profile victim in Durov.Ā
Tech bosses are increasingly finding themselves in the crosshairs of powerful states eager to bend digital platforms to their will. Just ask X owner Elon Musk, who has escaped the wrath of both Brazil and the European Union this month.Ā
Muskās crime was refusing to play ball with their censorship demands. Brazil, never one to shy away from the strong-arm approach, even threatenedĀ to lock up X employeesĀ if they didnāt secretly censor users. Musk and X CEO Linda Yaccarinoās response was toĀ shut down operations in Brazil entirelyĀ ā an audacious move, but one that highlights the growing tension between tech innovators and authoritarian government actions.Ā
But the Durov saga takes this conflict to a new, terrifying level. While itās not Brazilās first rodeo ā remember when they threw Facebookās Diego Dzodan behind bars in 2016 for WhatsAppās encryption? ā Durovās arrest marks a grim first: the CEO of a major messaging platform being jailed for refusing to censor. The message to tech leaders is crystal clear: stand up to government overreach, and you might just find yourself in a cell.Ā
The Washington Post ā 2016
A chilling effect on innovationĀ
Durovās arrest is a dire warning to anyone who dares to innovate in the realm of communication.Ā
The chilling effect this could have on innovation cannot be overstated. Imagine the next generation of tech entrepreneurs, who might now think twice before developing a revolutionary new app or encryption tool, fearing theyāll end up like Durov.Ā
This crackdown could particularly cripple the burgeoning crypto industry, where privacy and decentralization are core tenets. If tech CEOs are too scared to push the boundaries of free communication, the progress in these fields could grind to a halt. The digital market would be poorer for it, as the space for free expression shrinks and the room for government surveillance expands.Ā
Elon Musk, never one to shy away from controversy, wasted no time showing solidarity with Durov. His ā#FreePavelā post accompanied a video clip of Durov praising X for fostering innovation and freedom of expression.Ā
#FreePavel
pic.twitter.com/B7AcJWswMs— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) August 25, 2024
Muskās tweet was a clear shot across the bow, aimed at governments who think they can bully tech leaders into submission. But he didnāt stop there. In a further swipe at the powers that be, Musk called out the hypocrisy surrounding Durovās arrest by questioning why other tech leaders ā looking at you, Mark Zuckerberg ā havenāt faced similar legal heat.Ā
Because he already caved into censorship pressure.
Instagram has a massive child exploitation problem, but no arrest for Zuck, as he censors free speech and gives governments backdoor access to user data. https://t.co/RTTGIaD0gA https://t.co/iPb5NIxIJN
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) August 25, 2024
Muskās point is as sharp as it is damning. Zuckerberg, the poster child for compliance, has avoided the kind of scrutiny thatās now falling on Durov.Ā
Musk pointed out the glaring double standard: while Durov is arrested for standing up to censorship, Zuckerberg seems to skate by, despite Instagram being plagued by a āmassive child exploitation problem.ā According to Musk, the difference is simple ā Zuckerberg āalready caved into censorship pressureā and ābackdoorsā making him a darling of the same governments now going after Durov. In Muskās eyes, itās not about justice or protecting users; itās about punishing those who refuse to kneel.Ā
The future of free speech: A digital Cold WarĀ
Durovās arrest, coupled with Muskās pointed critique, highlights a deepening divide in the tech world. On one side, we have leaders like Durov and Musk, who are willing to fight for digital freedom, even if it means taking on the most powerful governments in the world. On the other hand, there are those whoāve chosen to play it safe, complying with censorship demands to avoid the kind of fate thatās now befallen Durov.Ā
But the stakes in this digital Cold War are high. If governments succeed in making examples out of leaders like Durov, the era of free and open digital communication could be nearing its end. Innovators might retreat from building the next Telegram or X, knowing that doing so could land them in jail.Ā
If you needed another sign that the battle for free speech is turning into a full-blown exodus, look no further than Rumble CEO Chris Pavlovski, who has just packed his bags and left Europe after a visit.Ā
Pavlovski, a vocal critic of government censorship, could be staring down the barrel of the same threats that led to Durovās detention. But unlike most tech CEOs who prefer quiet compliance to public defiance, Pavlovski is making it clear: heās not going down without a fight.Ā
Iām a little late to this, but for good reason ā Iāve just safely departed from Europe.
France has threatened Rumble, and now they have crossed a red line by arresting Telegramās CEO, Pavel Durov, reportedly for not censoring speech.
Rumble will not stand for this behavior andā¦
— Chris Pavlovski (@chrispavlovski) August 25, 2024
Rumble, a platform built on the promise of free expression, has been under fire from France for some time. The French government has beenĀ relentless in its push to censor content on the platform, leading toĀ ongoing litigation. But Durovās arrest has pushed Pavlovski to escalate his stance. On X, he blasted France for crossing a red line, calling Durovās arrest a blatant violation of fundamental human rights. āRumble will not stand for this behavior,ā he declared, vowing to use every legal weapon in his arsenal to defend free speech. His message is clear: the fight for digital freedom is global, and itās far from over.Ā
Pavlovskiās critique of the French governmentās actions goes beyond mere rhetoric. By linking Durovās arrest to a broader crackdown on free expression, heās framing this as a global issue ā one that tech companies can no longer afford to ignore. The implications of Durovās arrest are chilling. Itās not just about one CEO being dragged off a plane; itās about the growing power of governments to intrude into private communications on platforms that were once considered safe havens for free speech.Ā
READ:Ā Expert: US intelligence agencies using psyops to thwart Trump, undermine democracyĀ
Pavlovskiās words resonate with a fundamental truth: the war on digital freedom is escalating, and itās playing out in courtrooms and boardrooms across the world.Ā
The question now is how many other tech leaders will join in taking a stand. Will they rally behind Durov, Musk, Pavlovski, or will they buckle under the pressure, opting for the safety of compliance over the risk of resistance? One thing is certain: as the war on free speech heats up, the choices made by todayās tech CEOs will determine the landscape for years to come. And for those who believe in the sanctity of free expression, thereās no room left for complacency in this fight.Ā
Reprinted with permission fromĀ Reclaim The Net.Ā
Agriculture
Liberal win puts Canadaās farmers and food supply at risk

This article supplied by Troy Media.
A fourth Liberal term means higher carbon taxes and trade risks. Could Canadaās farmers and food security be on the line?
The Liberal Party, now led by Mark Carney, has secured a fourth consecutive term, albeit once again with a minority mandate. This time, however, the Liberals have a stronger hand, as they can rely not only on the NDP but also the Bloc QuƩbƩcois to maintain power.
This broader base of parliamentary support could provide much-needed political stability at a crucial time, particularly as Canada prepares for a new round of trade negotiations with the United States and Mexico.
For the agri-food sector, the implications are significant. From carbon taxes to trade rules, federal decisions play a decisive role in shaping the costs and risks Canadian farmers face.
First and foremost, carbon pricing will remain a central issue. Carney has made it clear that the industrial carbon tax will stayāa policy that continues to erode the competitiveness of Canadaās agri-food sector, where fuel, fertilizer and transportation costs are especially sensitive to carbon pricing. The tax, currently set at $95 per metric tonne, is scheduled to climb to $170 by 2030.
While consumers may not see this tax directly, businesses certainly do. More concerning is the Liberalsā intention to introduce a border carbon adjustment for imports from countries without equivalent carbon pricing regimes. While this could theoretically protect Canadian industry, it also risks making food even more expensive for Canadian consumers, particularly if the U.S., our largest trading partner, remains uninterested in adopting similar carbon measures. Acting alone risks undermining both our food security and our global competitiveness.
Another looming issue is supply management. Although all parties pledged during the campaign not to alter Canadaās system for dairy, poultry and eggs, this frameworkābuilt on quotas and high import tariffsāis increasingly outdated. It is almost certain to come under pressure during trade negotiations. The American dairy lobby, in particular, will continue to demand greater access to Canadian markets. The Liberals have a chance to chart a more forward-looking path. Modernizing supply management could lead to a more competitive, resilient industry while providing consumers with greater choice and better prices.
The previous Parliamentās passage of Bill C-282, which sought to shield supply managed sectors from all future trade negotiations, was a deeply flawed move.
Fortunately, the new parliamentary makeup should make it far less likely that such protectionist legislation will survive. A more pragmatic approach to trade policy appears possible.
On the domestic front, there are reasons for cautious optimism. The Liberals have promised to eliminate remaining federal barriers to interprovincial trade and to improve labour mobility, longstanding obstacles to the efficient movement of agri-food products across Canada. For example, differing provincial rules often prevent products like cheese, meat or wine from being sold freely across provinces, frustrating farmers and limiting consumer choice. Momentum was building before the election, and it must continue if we are serious about building a stronger domestic food economy.
Infrastructure investment is another bright spot. The Liberals pledged more than $5 billion through a Trade Diversification Corridor Fund to upgrade Canadaās severely undercapitalized export infrastructure. Strategic investment in trade gateways is overdue and critical for agri-food exporters looking to reduce reliance on the United States and expand into global markets.
Finally, the Liberal platform was alone in explicitly committing to support food processing in Canada, a crucial pillar of domestic food security. An increased focus on manufacturing will not only create jobs but also reduce reliance on imported food products, making Canada more resilient in the face of global disruptions.
Farmers have long felt sidelined by urban-centric Liberal governments. The past four years were marked by regulatory and trade clashes that deepened that divide. The hope now is that with greater political stability and a clearer focus onĀ competitiveness, the next four years will bring a more constructive relationship between Ottawa and Canadaās agri-food sector.
If the Liberals are serious about food security and economic growth, now is the time to reset the relationship with Canadaās farmers, not ignore them yet again.
Dr. Sylvain Charlebois is a Canadian professor and researcher in food distribution and policy. He is senior director of the Agri-Food Analytics Lab at Dalhousie University and co-host of The Food Professor Podcast. He is frequently cited in the media for his insights on food prices, agricultural trends, and the global food supply chain.
Troy Media empowers Canadian community news outlets by providing independent, insightful analysis and commentary. Our mission is to support local media in helping Canadians stay informed and engaged by delivering reliable content that strengthens community connections and deepens understanding across the country.
Business
Trumpās bizarre 51st state comments and implied support for Carney were simply a ploy to blow up trilateral trade pact

From LifeSiteNews
Trumpās position on the Canadian election outcome had nothing to do with geopolitical friendships and everything to do with America First economics.
Note from LifeSiteNews co-founder Steve Jalsevac: This article, disturbing as it is, appears to explain Trumpās bizarre threats to Canada and irrational support for Carney. We present it as a possible explanation for why Trumpās interference in the Canadian election seems to have played a large role in the Liberalsā exploitation of the Trump threat and their ultimate, unexpected success.
To understand President Trumpās position on Canada, you have to go back to the 2016 election and President Trumpās position on the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) renegotiation. If you did not follow the subsequent USMCA process, this might be the ah-ha moment you need to understand Trumpās strategy.
During the 2016 election President Trump repeatedly said he wanted to renegotiate NAFTA. Both Canada and Mexico were reluctant to open the trade agreement to revision, but ultimately President Trump had the authority and support from an election victory to do exactly that.
In order to understand the issue, you must remember President Trump, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer each agreed that NAFTA was fraught with problems and was best addressed by scrapping it and creating two separate bilateral trade agreements. One between the U.S. and Mexico, and one between the U.S. and Canada.
In the decades that preceded the 2017 push to redo the trade pact, Canada had restructured their economy to: (1) align with progressive climate change; and (2) take advantage of the NAFTA loophole. The Canadian government did not want to reengage in a new trade agreement.
Canada has deindustrialized much of their manufacturing base to support the āenvironmentalā aspirations of their progressive politicians. Instead, Canada became an importer of component goods where companies then assembled those imports into finished products to enter the U.S. market without tariffs. Working with Chinese manufacturing companies, Canada exploited the NAFTA loophole.
Justin Trudeau was strongly against renegotiating NAFTA, and stated he and Chrystia Freeland would not support reopening the trade agreement. President Trump didnāt care about the position of Canada and was going forward. Trudeau said he would not support it. Trump focused on the first bilateral trade agreement with Mexico.
When the U.S. and Mexico had agreed to terms of the new trade deal and 80 percent of the agreement was finished, representatives from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce informed Trudeau that his position was weak and if the U.S. and Mexico inked their deal, Canada would be shut out.
The U.S. Chamber of Commerce was upset because they were kept out of all the details of the agreement between the U.S. and Mexico. In actuality, the U.S. CoC was effectively blocked from any participation.
When they went to talk to the Canadians the CoC was warning them about what was likely to happen. NAFTA would end, the U.S. and Mexico would have a bilateral free trade agreement (FTA), and then Trump was likely to turn to Trudeau and say NAFTA is dead, now we need to negotiate a separate deal for U.S.-Canada.
Trudeau was told a direct bilateral trade agreement between the U.S. and Canada was the worst possible scenario for the Canadian government. Canada would lose access to the NAFTA loophole and Canadaās entire economy was no longer in a position to negotiate against the size of the U.S. Trump would win every demand.
Following the warning, Trudeau went to visit Nancy Pelosi to find out if Congress was likely to ratify a new bilateral trade agreement between the U.S. and Mexico. Pelosi warned Trudeau there was enough political support for the NAFTA elimination from both parties. Yes, the bilateral trade agreement was likely to find support.
Realizing what was about to happen, Prime Minister Trudeau and Chrystia Freeland quickly changed approach and began to request discussions and meetings with USTR Robert Lighthizer. Keep in mind more than 80 to 90 percent of the agreement was already done by the U.S. and Mexico teams. Both President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador and President Trump were now openly talking about when it would be finalized and signed.
Nancy Pelosi stepped in to help Canada get back into the agreement by leveraging her Democrats. Trump agreed to let Canada engage, and Lighthizer agreed to hold discussions with Chrystia Freeland on a tri-lateral trade agreement that ultimately became the USMCA.
The key points to remember are: (1) Trump, Ross, and Lighthizer would prefer two separate bilateral trade agreements because the U.S. import/export dynamic was entirely different between Mexico and Canada. And because of the loophole issue, (2)Ā a five-year reviewĀ was put into the finished USMCA trade agreement. The USMCA was signed on November 30, 2018, and came into effect onĀ July 1, 2020.
TIMELINE:Ā The USMCA is now up for review (2025) and renegotiation in 2026!
This timeline is the key to understanding where President Donald Trump stands today. The review and renegotiation is his goal.
President Trump said openly he was going to renegotiate the USMCA, leveraging border security (Mexico) and reciprocity (Canada) within it.
Following the 2024 presidential election, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau traveled to Mar-a-Lago and said if President Trump was to make the Canadian government face reciprocal tariffs, open the USMCA trade agreements to force reciprocity, and/or balance economic relations on non-tariff issues, then Canada would collapse upon itself economically and cease to exist.
In essence, Canada cannot survive as a free and independent north American nation, without receiving all the one-way benefits from the U.S. economy.
To wit, President Trump then said that if Canada cannot survive in a balanced rules environment, including putting together their own military and defenses (which it cannot), then Canada should become the 51st U.S. state. It was following this meeting that President Trump started emphasizing this point and shocking everyone in the process.
However, what everyone missed was the strategy Trump began outlining when contrast against the USMCA review and renegotiation window.
Again, Trump doesnāt like the tri-lateral trade agreement. President Trump would rather have two separate bilateral agreements; one for Mexico and one for Canada. Multilateral trade agreements are difficult to manage and police.
How was President Trump going to get Canada to (a) willingly exit the USMCA; and (b) enter a bilateral trade agreement?
The answer was through trade and tariff provocations, while simultaneously hitting Canada with the shock and awe aspect of the 51st state.
The Canadian government and the Canadian people fell for it hook, line, and sinker.
Trumpās position on the Canadian election outcome had nothing to do with geopolitical friendships and everything to do with America First economics. When asked about the election in Canada, President TrumpĀ said,Ā āI donāt care.Ā I think itās easier to deal, actually, with a liberal and maybe theyāre going to win,Ā but I donāt really care.ā
By voting emotionally, the Canadian electorate have fallen into President Trumpās USMCA exit trap. Prime Minister Mark Carney will make the exit much easier. Carney now becomes the target of increased punitive coercion until such a time as the USMCA review is begun, and Canada is forced to a position of renegotiation.
Trump never wanted Canada as a 51st state.
Trump always wanted a U.S.-Canada bilateral trade agreement.
Mark Carney said the era of U.S.-Canadian economic ties āare officially declared severed.ā
Canada has willingly exited the USMCA trade agreement at the perfect time for President Trump.
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