Alberta
Canadians not feeling great about personal finances… Even worse in Alberta
From MNP Canada
According to the latest MNP Consumer Debt Index being released today, Albertans are finding themselves with a lot less wiggle room in household budgets each month. The amount of money left over after paying all their bills and debt obligations has reached its lowest level since tracking began. Even though the Bank of Canada is expected to keep interest rates stable this week, six in ten in the province say they are more concerned about their ability to repay their debts than they used to be.
MNP Consumer Debt Index Update: Albertans finding themselves with a lot less money each month, six in ten concerned their ability to repay their debts
Stable interest rates are a cold comfort to those already having a difficult time making ends meet
Even though the Bank of Canada has stated that it will keep interest rates stable until next year, six in ten (58%) Albertans say they are more concerned about their ability to repay their debts than they used to be. The concern could be the result of steeply declining wiggle room in household budgets. After paying all their current bills and debt obligations, Albertans say they are, on average, left with $459 at the end of the month, a drop of $209 since June and the lowest level since tracking began in February 2016. Half (49%, +5 pts) say they are left with less than $200 including three in ten (34%) who say they already don’t make enough money to cover all their bills and debt obligations each month (+9 pts).
The findings are part of the latest MNP Consumer Debt Index conducted quarterly by Ipsos. Now in its tenth wave, the Index tracks Canadians’ attitudes about their consumer debt and their perception of their ability to meet their monthly payment obligations.
Average Finances Left at Month-End
Image Caption: Albertans were asked: Thinking about the amount of after-tax income you make each month compared to the amount of your bills and debt obligations each month, how much is left over? In other words, how much wiggle room do you have before you wouldn’t be able to pay all your bills and debt payments each month?
“There has been a marked decline in the amount of wiggle room that households have in Alberta. says Donna Carson, a Licensed Insolvency Trustee with MNP LTD, the country’s largest personal insolvency practice. “Family budgets are being strained by everyday expenses which means many aren’t putting anything away for rainy day savings and that puts them at risk. It is most often unexpected expenses that force people to take on more debt they can’t afford and that begins a cycle of increasing servicing costs, and eventual default.”
It’s no surprise that with less in the bank at month-end, Albertans’ ability to cope with unexpected expenses has been shaken. Seven in ten (70%) are not confident in their ability to cope with life-changing events – such as a divorce, unexpected auto repairs, loss of employment or the death of a family member – without increasing their debt.
“A job loss or an unexpected expense are most devastating for people who already have a large amount of debt. Our research continues to show just how vulnerable Alberta households are to inevitable life events like a car repair,” says Carson who recommends having at least three to six months of expenses saved in case of emergencies.
Albertans may have fewer dollars left at month-end to buffer them from sudden expenses but, somewhat surprisingly, they are growing generally far more positive about their personal financial situations than those in other provinces. According to the index, one quarter (25%) say that their debt situation is better than it was a year ago (+6 pts) and one in three (32%) say that it is better than five years ago (+7 pts). In addition to being optimistic about the present, there has been a significant increase in the proportion who feel more positive about the future. Four in ten (44%) expect that their debt situation a year from now will be better, a jump of 19 points. Six in ten (58%) believe that it will be better five years from now (+13 pts).
“The current holding pattern on interest rates and increasing economic optimism in the province could be giving Albertans a sense of relief about their finances. Still, the fact remains that many Albertans are deeply indebted and most don’t have a clear path to repayment,” says Carson pointing to evidence from the research showing that many may intend to take on more credit to make ends meet over the next year.
Just about half (48%) of Albertans say they don’t think that they will be able to cover all their living and family expenses for the next 12 months without going further into debt, a one-point decrease since June. Furthermore, just under half (49%) are confident they won’t have any debt in retirement, a one-point increase.
“Some may have resigned themselves to being in debt for life. Interest rates may remain stable but there are many already struggling to make ends meet at the current rate,” says Carson.
A large portion of Albertans (53%) are concerned about how rising interest rates will impact their financial situation, up one point since June. Fifty-two per cent agree that if interest rates go up much more, they are afraid they will be in financial trouble (-4 pts). Finally, a third (35%) are still concerned that rising interest rates could move them towards bankruptcy (-7 pts).
“The single biggest mistake people make is taking on more debt to try and deal with debt. Even if you are swimming in credit card debt, with a line of credit, a mortgage, a car loan or all of the above, you can get help to design a debt relief strategy,” says Carson.
MNP LTD offers free consultations with Licensed Insolvency Trustees to help individuals understand their debt relief options. Licensed Insolvency Trustees are the only government-regulated debt professionals who offer a full range of debt relief options and can guarantee legal protection from creditors through consumer proposals and bankruptcies.
About the MNP Consumer Debt Index
The MNP Consumer Debt Index measures Canadians’ attitudes toward their consumer debt and gauges their ability to pay their bills, endure unexpected expenses, and absorb interest-rate fluctuations without approaching insolvency. Conducted by Ipsos and updated quarterly, the Index is an industry-leading barometer of financial pressure or relief among Canadians. Visit www.MNPdebt.ca/CDI to learn more.
The latest data, representing the tenth wave of the MNP Consumer Debt Index, was compiled by Ipsos on behalf of MNP LTD between September 4 and September 9, 2019. For this survey, a sample of 2,002 Canadians aged 18 years and over was interviewed. The precision of online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the results are accurate to within +2.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what the results would have been had all Canadian adults been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.
This article supplied by Troy Media.
Carney’s attempt to ease Canada’s dependence on the U.S. stirs a backlash in B.C., raises Indigenous concerns and rattles his own party
The Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has opened a political hornet’s nest, exposing deep divisions within the Liberal Party and forcing a national debate that has been avoided for years.
Carney was under mounting pressure to respond to U.S. tariffs that threaten to carve billions out of Canada’s economy. The United States buys more than 95 per cent of Canada’s oil exports, leaving the country highly exposed to U.S. policy decisions. That pressure is now driving his push for a route to the Pacific, a project that could change Canada’s economic future but also destabilize his already fragile minority government.
Carney knows the political risk. His government could fall at any time, which only raises the stakes. Even so, he has pressed ahead. The agreement with Alberta lays early groundwork for a new pipeline to the Pacific. It would expand the oil sands, ease some environmental obligations and revive a proposal industry leaders have pushed for years.
The route is far from settled, but it is expected to run to B.C.’s northern coast and open access to Asian buyers. A Pacific route would finally give Canada a direct path into Asian energy markets, where demand remains strong and prices are often higher than in the United States.
If Carney expected broad support, he did not get it, especially in British Columbia. Because B.C. is the only province with a deep-water port capable of handling large crude carriers, it is the only path a west-coast pipeline can take. The province is now the central battleground, and whether the project succeeds will depend on what happens there.
B.C. Premier David Eby criticized the lack of consultation. “It would have been good for B.C. to be at the table,” he said, warning that the project risks undermining Indigenous support for the province’s liquefied natural gas plans. He also noted that the pipeline has no private backer and no commitments from First Nations, two obstacles that have tripped up projects before.
The backlash quickly spread to Ottawa. Steven Guilbeault, the former environment minister and the most prominent environmentalist ever to serve in a federal cabinet, resigned from cabinet in direct response to the MOU. He said the proposed pipeline “would have major environmental impacts”. Green Party Leader Elizabeth May said his departure “dashes the last hope that Mark Carney is going to have a good climate record ever.”
Several B.C. Liberal MPs echoed concerns about the political cost. CBC News reported anger inside the caucus, with some MPs “seething” over the agreement and worried about losing climate-focused voters.
The voters those MPs fear may not be as opposed as they think. An October Angus Reid Institute survey found that a solid majority of Canadians support a pipeline from northern Alberta to the northwest B.C. coast. In British Columbia, support outweighs opposition by a wide margin. That challenges Eby’s claim that the project lacks public backing. Carney may have more room to manoeuvre than his critics admit.
The most significant challenge, however, comes from Indigenous leaders. British Columbia is the only province that has formally adopted the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP) into law, giving First Nations a stronger legal position in major project decisions. Court rulings over the past two decades have affirmed a duty to consult and, in some cases, accommodate Indigenous communities, giving them major influence over large projects.
A group representing Coastal First Nations in B.C. said the pipeline “will never happen”. The Union of B.C. Indian Chiefs said it is “loudly objecting” to the MOU, arguing it was drafted without involvement from coastal First Nations and does not meet consultation standards outlined in UNDRIP. “The answer is still no and always will be,” said UBCIC Grand Chief Stewart Phillip. He also said lifting the crude oil tanker ban would amount to bulldozing First Nation rights. Without Indigenous consent, the project cannot proceed, and Carney knows this is the single largest barrier he faces.
Carney’s reasoning is straightforward. The long-term danger of relying on one market outweighs the short-term turbulence created by the pipeline fight. The MOU suggests Ottawa is prepared to reconsider projects once thought politically impossible in order to protect Canada’s economic future. He is betting that doing nothing is the bigger risk.
Whether this pipeline moves forward is uncertain, and the obstacles are real. One fact, however, remains clear. Canada cannot keep betting its stability on a single market.
Toronto-based Rashid Husain Syed is a highly regarded analyst specializing in energy and politics, particularly in the Middle East. In addition to his contributions to local and international newspapers, Rashid frequently lends his expertise as a speaker at global conferences. Organizations such as the Department of Energy in Washington and the International Energy Agency in Paris have sought his insights on global energy matters.
Troy Media empowers Canadian community news outlets by providing independent, insightful analysis and commentary. Our mission is to support local media in helping Canadians stay informed and engaged by delivering reliable content that strengthens community connections and deepens understanding across the country.
Canada and Alberta’s new net-zero energy deal is being promoted as progress, but it also brings rising costs. In this video, I break down the increase to Alberta’s industrial carbon price, how those costs can raise fuel, heating, and grocery prices, and why taxpayer-funded carbon-capture projects and potential pipeline delays could add even more. Here’s what this agreement could mean for Canadians.
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