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Northvolt bankruptcy ominous sign for politicians’ EV gamble

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From the Canadian Taxpayers Federation

By Jay Goldberg

Northvolt’s bankruptcy and the heavy losses traditional auto manufacturers are seeing on EVs is evidence that betting billions on the industry was a terrible gamble for Trudeau, Legault, and Ontario Premier Doug Ford.

Politicians love to gamble with your cash, but, based on their record, you’d think they were rookies getting fleeced by a card shark at a shady bar.

The latest epic failure is the gamble on electric vehicle battery manufacturer Northvolt.

The Legault government bet buckets of cash. And now the company is broke.

“Northvolt’s liquidity picture has become dire,” reads the Swedish EV battery manufacturer’s bankruptcy protection filing.

It turns out Northvolt accumulated $5.8 billion of debt. It’s CEO just resigned. The company’s future is bleak. New leadership is hoping it can remain afloat with the help of a $100-million loan from one of its shareholders.

Both the government of Quebec and the province’s pension fund bet hundreds of millions of dollars on Northvolt. They bought stakes in the company worth a combined $470 million.

That’s money Quebec taxpayers and pensioners may never get back.

Quebec Economy Minister Christine Fréchette admitted the money is “at risk” and taxpayers will only know if that investment remains intact after the company goes through its bankruptcy process.

As bad as the loss is for Quebeckers, Canadian taxpayers might also soon be facing billions in losses. That’s because Northvolt has a Canadian subsidiary that also received buckets of taxpayer cash.

Northvolt’s Canadian subsidiary is currently building a $7-billion EV battery plant in Quebec. Quebec Premier Francois Legault and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau gave a combined $2.4 billion to Northvolt to build it.

Northvolt says its Canadian subsidiary is funded separately from the global company that was forced to file for bankruptcy and will “operate as usual outside the Chapter 11 process.”

But if the parent company’s finances have spiraled out of control, there’s every reason for taxpayers to worry its Canadian operation will too.

Northvolt repeatedly missed its in-house global production targets this year and curtailed some of its operations in Sweden.

If Northvolt is cutting back on global production, what reason does it have to ramp up production on a new facility in Canada?

With Northvolt’s global finances on the rocks, Canadian politicians might be tempted to throw even more cash at the company’s Canadian operation to keep the company afloat.

But throwing good money after bad isn’t a solution. Politicians in Ottawa and Quebec City need to stop gambling with taxpayers’ money.

Sadly, the implications for taxpayers are much wider than the future of one EV battery company.

Canadian politicians bet $57 billion of taxpayer cash on the EV industry.

But the entire industry is in jeopardy. Other than Tesla, every EV manufacturer is losing money making them.

General Motors lost $3.5 billion on EVs in 2023. The Ford Motor Company lost $7.7 billion. And both of those companies received billion-dollar handouts from the Trudeau and Ford governments to build EVs here in Canada.

The only reason GM and Ford aren’t in Northvolt’s position is because they have gasoline-powered cars to sell that turn a profit, allowing them to balance out their earnings (or lack thereof).

But there are signs of a pull-back.

Ford, for example, cancelled plans to produce two different models of electric SUVs, which were supposed to be built in Canada. This is costing the company billions. Meanwhile, the Canadian plant is pivoting back to building gasoline-powered cars.

Northvolt’s bankruptcy and the heavy losses traditional auto manufacturers are seeing on EVs is evidence that betting billions on the industry was a terrible gamble for Trudeau, Legault, and Ontario Premier Doug Ford.

This is a very expensive lesson: politicians should never gamble with taxpayer dollars by throwing billions at corporations. Businesses don’t need handouts to make investments that make sense.

In all these cases, the financial well-being of Canadian taxpayers should never have been at risk.

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Automotive

Ford’s EV Fiasco Fallout Hits Hard

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From the Daily Caller News Foundation

By David Blackmon

I’ve written frequently here in recent years about the financial fiasco that has hit Ford Motor Company and other big U.S. carmakers who made the fateful decision to go in whole hog in 2021 to feed at the federal subsidy trough wrought on the U.S. economy by the Joe Biden autopen presidency. It was crony capitalism writ large, federal rent seeking on the grandest scale in U.S. history, and only now are the chickens coming home to roost.

Ford announced on Monday that it will be forced to take $19.5 billion in special charges as its management team embarks on a corporate reorganization in a desperate attempt to unwind the financial carnage caused by its failed strategies and investments in the electric vehicles space since 2022.

Cancelled is the Ford F-150 Lightning, the full-size electric pickup that few could afford and fewer wanted to buy, along with planned introductions of a second pricey pickup and fully electric vans and commercial vehicles. Ford will apparently keep making its costly Mustang Mach-E EV while adjusting the car’s features and price to try to make it more competitive. There will be a shift to making more hybrid models and introducing new lines of cheaper EVs and what the company calls “extended range electric vehicles,” or EREVs, which attach a gas-fueled generator to recharge the EV batteries while the car is being driven.

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In an interview on CNBC, Company CEO Jim Farley said the basic problem with the strategy for which he was responsible since 2021 amounts to too few buyers for the highly priced EVs he was producing. Man, nobody could have possibly predicted that would be the case, could they? Oh, wait: I and many others have been warning this would be the case since Biden rolled out his EV subsidy plans in 2021.

“The $50k, $60k, $70k EVs just weren’t selling; We’re following customers to where the market is,” Farley said. “We’re going to build up our whole lineup of hybrids. It’s gonna be better for the company’s profitability, shareholders and a lot of new American jobs. These really expensive $70k electric trucks, as much as I love the product, they didn’t make sense. But an EREV that goes 700 miles on a tank of gas, for 90% of the time is all-electric, that EREV is a better solution for a Lightning than the current all-electric Lightning.”

It all makes sense to Mr. Farley, but one wonders how much longer the company’s investors will tolerate his presence atop the corporate management pyramid if the company’s financial fortunes don’t turn around fast.

To Ford’s and Farley’s credit, the company has, unlike some of its competitors (GM, for example), been quite transparent in publicly revealing the massive losses it has accumulated in its EV projects since 2022. The company has reported its EV enterprise as a separate business unit called Model-E on its financial filings, enabling everyone to witness its somewhat amazing escalating EV-related losses since 2022:

• 2022 – Net loss of $2.2 billion

• 2023 – Net loss of $4.7 billion

• 2024 – Net loss of $5.1 billion

Add in the company’s $3.6 billion in losses recorded across the first three quarters of 2025, and you arrive at a total of $15.6 billion net losses on EV-related projects and processes in less than four calendar years. Add to that the financial carnage detailed in Monday’s announcement and the damage from the company’s financial electric boogaloo escalates to well above $30 billion with Q4 2025’s damage still to be added to the total.

Ford and Farley have benefited from the fact that the company’s lineup of gas-and-diesel powered cars have remained strongly profitable, resulting in overall corporate profits each year despite the huge EV-related losses. It is also fair to point out that all car companies were under heavy pressure from the Biden government to either produce battery electric vehicles or be penalized by onerous federal regulations.

Now, with the Trump administration rescinding Biden’s harsh mandates and canceling the absurdly unattainable fleet mileage requirements, Ford and other companies will be free to make cars Americans actually want to buy. Better late than never, as they say, but the financial fallout from it all is likely just beginning to be made public.

  • David Blackmon is an energy writer and consultant based in Texas. He spent 40 years in the oil and gas business, where he specialized in public policy and communications.
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Politicians should be honest about environmental pros and cons of electric vehicles

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From the Fraser Institute

By Annika Segelhorst and Elmira Aliakbari

According to Steven Guilbeault, former environment minister under Justin Trudeau and former member of Prime Minister Carney’s cabinet, “Switching to an electric vehicle is one of the most impactful things Canadians can do to help fight climate change.”

And the Carney government has only paused Trudeau’s electric vehicle (EV) sales mandate to conduct a “review” of the policy, despite industry pressure to scrap the policy altogether.

So clearly, according to policymakers in Ottawa, EVs are essentially “zero emission” and thus good for environment.

But is that true?

Clearly, EVs have some environmental advantages over traditional gasoline-powered vehicles. Unlike cars with engines that directly burn fossil fuels, EVs do not produce tailpipe emissions of pollutants such as nitrogen dioxide and carbon monoxide, and do not release greenhouse gases (GHGs) such as carbon dioxide. These benefits are real. But when you consider the entire lifecycle of an EV, the picture becomes much more complicated.

Unlike traditional gasoline-powered vehicles, battery-powered EVs and plug-in hybrids generate most of their GHG emissions before the vehicles roll off the assembly line. Compared with conventional gas-powered cars, EVs typically require more fossil fuel energy to manufacture, largely because to produce EVs batteries, producers require a variety of mined materials including cobalt, graphite, lithium, manganese and nickel, which all take lots of energy to extract and process. Once these raw materials are mined, processed and transported across often vast distances to manufacturing sites, they must be assembled into battery packs. Consequently, the manufacturing process of an EV—from the initial mining of materials to final assembly—produces twice the quantity of GHGs (on average) as the manufacturing process for a comparable gas-powered car.

Once an EV is on the road, its carbon footprint depends on how the electricity used to charge its battery is generated. According to a report from the Canada Energy Regulator (the federal agency responsible for overseeing oil, gas and electric utilities), in British Columbia, Manitoba, Quebec and Ontario, electricity is largely produced from low- or even zero-carbon sources such as hydro, so EVs in these provinces have a low level of “indirect” emissions.

However, in other provinces—particularly Alberta, Saskatchewan and Nova Scotia—electricity generation is more heavily reliant on fossil fuels such as coal and natural gas, so EVs produce much higher indirect emissions. And according to research from the University of Toronto, in coal-dependent U.S. states such as West Virginia, an EV can emit about 6 per cent more GHG emissions over its entire lifetime—from initial mining, manufacturing and charging to eventual disposal—than a gas-powered vehicle of the same size. This means that in regions with especially coal-dependent energy grids, EVs could impose more climate costs than benefits. Put simply, for an EV to help meaningfully reduce emissions while on the road, its electricity must come from low-carbon electricity sources—something that does not happen in certain areas of Canada and the United States.

Finally, even after an EV is off the road, it continues to produce emissions, mainly because of the battery. EV batteries contain components that are energy-intensive to extract but also notoriously challenging to recycle. While EV battery recycling technologies are still emerging, approximately 5 per cent of lithium-ion batteries, which are commonly used in EVs, are actually recycled worldwide. This means that most new EVs feature batteries with no recycled components—further weakening the environmental benefit of EVs.

So what’s the final analysis? The technology continues to evolve and therefore the calculations will continue to change. But right now, while electric vehicles clearly help reduce tailpipe emissions, they’re not necessarily “zero emission” vehicles. And after you consider the full lifecycle—manufacturing, charging, scrapping—a more accurate picture of their environmental impact comes into view.

 

Annika Segelhorst

Junior Economist

Elmira Aliakbari

Director, Natural Resource Studies, Fraser Institute

 

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