From the Fraser Institute

By Alex Whalen

Wayne Long, MP for Saint John-Kennebecasis, waded into the long-standing debate on natural gas development in New Brunswick recently, bluntly telling Brunswick News “we need to frack.” Fracking refers to hydraulic fracturing, a process used to recover underground natural gas deposits. Long is right, and it’s important that New Brunswickers understand the economic opportunity inherent in natural gas, while separating fact from fiction when it comes to risks.

Estimates of New Brunswick’s Frederick Brook shale formation, a large underground deposit stretching from roughly Hampton to Sackville, suggest the province sits on approximately 80 trillion cubic feet of recoverable natural gas. At current market prices, the total value of this resource, if fully recovered, ranges from $186 billion to $221 billion. To be sure, such estimates are inherently uncertain and would materialize over a long period of time. However, even the province’s own estimates project $21 billion in investment with a “moderate” level of gas development.

Economic opportunities of this scale are rare and badly needed in New Brunswick. According to a recent comparison of employment earnings, New Brunswickers had the second-lowest median earnings ($32,175) among residents of all 10 Canadian provinces and 50 U.S. states. According to data published by Statistics Canada, wages in oil and gas are the highest among 22 categories of industry in Canada, topping $125,000 per year.

While a modest level of gas development has occurred in New Brunswick around the Sussex area, this resource is largely untapped. One of the main reasons is the moratorium on fracking implemented by the Gallant government in 2014. This ban is not supported by the facts.

In a wide-ranging review of scientific literature published by the Fraser Institute last year, my colleague Kenneth Green found that fracking does indeed carry risks, but these risks are manageable. For example, air pollution and water contamination are important factors that must be closely monitored when fracking is in place. Yet jurisdictions across North America safely recover natural gas while managing these risks. In the process, they grow their economies and boost the incomes of workers.

Moreover, development of natural gas carries environmental benefits, since the emissions produced by the consumption of natural gas are much lower than dirtier fuels such as coal. Another recent study found that if Canada were to double its natural gas production and export the additional supply to Asia as liquified natural gas (LNG) to displace emission-intensive coal in power generation, global emissions could be reduced by up to 630 million tonnes annually . For context, this reduction would be the equivalent of 89 per cent of Canada’s total greenhouse gas emissions.

As New Brunswick’s natural gas opportunity comes back into focus, the facts are clear: the province has an enormous economic opportunity to join the growing number of jurisdictions developing their natural gas resources. Fracking represents a win-win for both workers and the environment in New Brunswick.

Matthew Slotwinski, CEO of the Sarnia-Lambton Economic Partnership. Photo courtesy SLEP

From the Canadian Energy Centre

By Grady Semmens

‘The sooner this gets done, the better’

From his desk in Marathon, Ont., a small community on the north shore of Lake Superior, Mayor Rick Dumas sees the concept of an energy corridor to Western Canada’s oil and gas as a chance to reshape his region’s future.

The Ontario government issued a request for proposals on August 7 for a feasibility study into the idea, which would move energy products from across the Prairies and Northern Ontario to consumers and exporters in the East.

Rick Dumas, Mayor of Marathon, Ontario.

“Projects like the East-West Energy Corridor are exactly what Northwestern Ontario has been calling for — an opportunity to be at the forefront of a nation-building initiative,” said Dumas, who is also president of the Northwestern Ontario Municipal Association, representing the districts of Kenora, Rainy River and Thunder Bay.

“It means new jobs, greater economic opportunity, and a real commitment to building a cleaner, stronger, and more resilient country together.”

The feasibility study will map potential pipeline routes linking Alberta to Southern Ontario’s refining sector and new tidewater ports, including on James Bay, Hudson Bay and the Great Lakes.

It will also assess the construction or expansion of a refinery, examine Indigenous equity opportunities, and even explore the creation of a Canadian strategic petroleum reserve.

Support for the corridor also comes from Southern Ontario, where the region’s petrochemical and energy industries depend on oil and gas supplies delivered by a pipeline that crosses Michigan.

“We believe this represents an opportunity to achieve both energy security for Ontario and Canada, and economic growth and diversification potential,” said Matthew Slotwinski, CEO of the Sarnia-Lambton Economic Partnership.

“Long-term, reliable and secure feedstock supply is necessary for the sustained success and potential growth of our current operations.”

The Sarnia-Lambton region is home to Ontario’s largest concentration of energy infrastructure, including refineries, chemical plants, power generators, and Enbridge Gas’s Dawn Hub, where much of the province’s natural gas supply is gathered for commercial distribution.

The region is also exploring new opportunities in liquefied natural gas (LNG), hydrogen, and alternative fuels.

“Very few of Ontario’s cars would drive, flights would fly, or homes would be heated without the products that originate from the Sarnia-Lambton energy and chemistry complex,” Slotwinski said.

“Our industry leaders need to be front and centre in identifying how they can be harnessed as part of any nation-building exercise.”

Labour groups are also throwing their weight behind the energy corridor initiative, pointing out that Michigan’s governor wants to shut down the pipeline that carries Canadian oil and gas through its borders.

Mike Gallagher, business manager of the International Union of Operating Engineers (IUOE) Local 793, told CBC that he supports the corridor as a source of jobs and independence.

“As far as I’m concerned, the sooner this gets done, the better,” he said. 

“A new pipeline would not only create jobs, it would strengthen our country’s independence and is exactly the kind of nation-building project that Prime Minister Carney promised to deliver.”