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Canada’s new pipeline opens a direct oil route to India, offering a sanctions-proof rival to Russian crude.

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From Resource Works

India’s giant, flexible refineries are precisely the sort of customers TMX was built to reach. Reliance’s Jamnagar facility can process over 500 different crude grades and is adept at switching feedstocks based on market advantage (NYT). That makes Canadian heavy and medium crudes a natural fit — if price and freight conditions are right.

The completion of the Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) in May 2024 was meant to end Canada’s near-total dependence on the U.S. as a crude oil export outlet. It worked. For the first time in history, Canadian oil is sailing directly from the West Coast to refiners across the Pacific — including India, the world’s fastest-growing large economy.

But Canada’s early foray into the Indian market comes at a moment when New Delhi’s oil trade with Russia is under intense global scrutiny.

India’s refining titans and Russian crude

Two massive refineries dominate India’s west coast: Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Industries facility in Jamnagar — the largest in the world — and the Nayara Energy refinery, partly owned by Russia’s Rosneft. Together, they process roughly 1.5 million barrels per day, with about a third of Reliance’s intake and a large portion of Nayara’s coming from Russian sellers (NYT, Aug. 9, 2025).

These plants have thrived on Russian discounts since Europe turned away from Moscow’s crude after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. For over two years, Indian refiners bought huge volumes of seaborne Russian oil, processed it, and sold products into global markets — including Europe (NYT).

That trade is now a flashpoint. On July 30, U.S. President Donald Trump slapped India with a 25% tariff, accusing it of aiding Russia’s war aims. A week later, he doubled down with an executive order targeting exporters seen to benefit from the Russian oil trade (NYT).

Canada’s small but symbolic entry

Against this backdrop, Canadian shipments to India are small in volume but significant in symbolism.

• May–June 2024: Approximately 262,500 barrels of Canadian crude moved to India via TMX, valued at US $159 million (BIV).

• July 2024: Reliance made its first direct purchase — 2 million barrels of Canadian crude — marking the most substantial Canadian sale to India on record (Reuters).

According to Rita Trichur writing in the Globe & Mail on Aug. 7, the latest sign of increasing Indian interest is the Indian Oil Corp.’s purchase of 500,000 barrels of Western Canadian Select for September delivery.

These shipments represent a diversification for India, giving it an alternative to Russian and Persian Gulf supplies, and a potential geopolitical hedge as tensions with Washington grow.

Strategic convergence — and competition

For Canada, India’s giant, flexible refineries are precisely the sort of customers TMX was built to reach. Reliance’s Jamnagar facility can process over 500 different crude grades and is adept at switching feedstocks based on market advantage (NYT). That makes Canadian heavy and medium crudes a natural fit — if price and freight conditions are right.

Yet Canada is not alone in targeting India. The same ultra-large crude carriers that carry Russian barrels to Jamnagar can just as easily deliver Venezuelan, Saudi, or Brazilian oil.

Why it matters for Canadian producers

• Market leverage: Each cargo sold outside North America increases Canada’s pricing power.

• Political hedge: With Russia’s trade under pressure and Middle East volatility persisting, Canada offers a reliable, sanctions-proof supply line.

• Brand advantage: Canadian crude, produced under some of the world’s strictest environmental and labour standards, offers a reputational edge for buyers sensitive to ESG concerns.

The road ahead

India imports 85% of its crude (NYT), and its refining capacity is still growing. While Canadian shipments are a fraction of its intake today, the TMX route has cracked open a door that could swing wider — especially if Russian volumes taper under political pressure. But without a new oil pipeline to the Canadian port, there will be no way to take full advantage of this opportunity.

PC: Prime Minister Mark Carney greets Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the G7 Summit in Kananaskis, Alta., on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld

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The richest man alive just got a whole lot richer

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Quick Hit:

Elon Musk on Wednesday became the first person in history to hit a $500 billion net worth, according to Forbes. The Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI founder’s fortune now sits roughly $150 billion ahead of Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison, with Tesla’s surging stock and SpaceX’s record valuation driving the leap.

Key Details:

  • Forbes reported Musk’s net worth crossed the $500 billion mark around 3:30 p.m. ET, fueled by Tesla’s nearly 4% stock gain Wednesday — adding roughly $9.3 billion to his wealth.
  • Musk’s fortune has grown from $24.6 billion in March 2020 to $100 billion by late 2020, $200 billion in 2021, $400 billion in 2024, and now $500 billion.
  • Tesla shares have nearly doubled since April, when Musk said he would step back from his role leading President Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) to focus on Tesla. The EV maker’s market cap is now within 10% of its all-time high, with Musk’s 12% stake worth about $191 billion.

Diving Deeper:

Elon Musk made history Wednesday as the first individual ever to surpass a $500 billion personal net worth, according to a report from Forbes. The Tesla and SpaceX CEO’s fortune crossed the milestone in mid-afternoon trading, following another surge in Tesla’s share price and continuing investor confidence in Musk’s technology empire.

Tesla stock jumped nearly 4% Wednesday, pushing the company’s valuation closer to its all-time high. Forbes estimates Musk’s 12% stake in Tesla alone is worth about $191 billion. The remainder of his wealth comes from SpaceX — currently valued at around $400 billion — and his artificial intelligence firm xAI, worth roughly $60 billion.

Musk’s rise in wealth has been staggering. In March 2020, he was worth $24.6 billion. By late 2020, he had crossed the $100 billion threshold, reaching $200 billion in 2021 and $400 billion last year. His $500 billion milestone now puts him more than $150 billion ahead of the world’s second-richest person, Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison.

In a post on X last month, Musk said his compensation and influence over Tesla were not about money, but control over the company’s direction: “It’s not about ‘compensation,’ but about me having enough influence over Tesla to ensure safety if we build millions of robots,” he wrote. “If I can just get kicked out in the future by activist shareholder advisory firms who don’t even own Tesla shares themselves, I’m not comfortable with that future.”

According to Forbes, Tesla’s board recently proposed a new compensation plan for Musk worth as much as $1 trillion — the largest package ever offered to a corporate executive. The plan would grant Musk up to 12% of Tesla’s stock if the company hits a $8.5 trillion market cap and other performance milestones over a decade.

At his current trajectory, analysts suggest Musk could become the world’s first trillionaire by 2033 — an outcome that seemed unthinkable just five years ago. As Musk continues to balance his leadership at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, his financial empire appears to be expanding as rapidly as the industries he dominates.

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America’s Troubled EV Industry Loses Its Subsidized Advantage – Now What?

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From the Daily Caller News Foundation

By David Blackmon

The Environmental Protection Agency announced Monday that it has assumed responsibility for what it says is the “Largest Lithium-Ion Battery Cleanup in Agency History” at the Moss Landing facility outside San Francisco.

Crews supervised by the EPA entered the facility this week to begin cleaning out the remains of the fire damaged batteries, which the agency says will be recycled at EPA-approved recycling facilities.

As has happened far too frequently, the retired batteries erupted spontaneously in January, leading authors of MIT’s weekly climate newsletter to speculate about what this latest conflagration would mean for the future of the electric vehicle and stationary battery storage industries going forward.

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“With the growing number of electric vehicles and batteries for energy storage on the grid,” the authors wrote, “more high-profile fires have hit the news, like last year’s truck fire in LA, the spate of e-bike battery fires in New York City, or one at a French recycling plant last year.”

The parade of troubling incidents related to these batteries has continued throughout 2025. In June, for example, a large container ship called the Morning Midas, operated by Zodiac Maritime, sank into the Pacific Ocean after batteries in EVs it was carrying to Alaska spontaneously combusted, forcing the crew to abandon ship. A month later, U.S.-based shipper Matson announced it would no longer transport EV cargoes due to the obvious dangers involved. Three weeks later, Alaska Marine Lines put a similar policy in place.

All of these inconvenient news stories come at an already troubling time for the U.S. EV industry, given that its huge $7,500 per car federal subsidy expired at midnight, Sept. 30. That subsidy was enacted in the Orwellian-named Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 and subsequently repealed in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed into law by President Donald Trump on July 4 of this year.

Sales have spiked in the run-up to the subsidy expiration, to no one’s real surprise. But EV makers now face the troubling prospect of having to compete in the U.S. market absent that significant price advantage, leading many to anticipate a significant drop-off in sales.

Some carmakers have already begun to scale back operations. Stellantis announced the cancellation of a planned all-electric Dodge Ram pickup model on Sept.12, citing slowing demand for such trucks in a field already dominated by the Ford F-150 Lightning and the Tesla Cyber Truck. The fact that sales of those competing models are already coming in well below projections this year was another obvious motivating factor.

Ford, meanwhile, said in August it would delay the introduction of what it refers to as “next generation” updates to its Lightning pickup and full-sized electric van for two years due to the same challenging market conditions. “F-150 Lightning, America’s best-selling electric truck, and E-Transit continue to meet today’s customer needs,” the company said in what can only be described as an understatement.

Competitor GM announced it would take similar action on Sept. 4, saying it was suspending production of a pair of Cadillac SUVs – the mid-size Lyriq and the full-size Vistiq – at its assembly plant in Spring Hill, Tenn., effective in December. The company also said it would indefinitely delay the start of a second shift at an assembly plant near Kansas City.

Amid the frequent big fire events involving EV batteries and the industry’s fallout from the loss of a federal subsidy, it must be repeated here that the electric vehicle industry is not “new” or even a young one. It is in fact well over a century old, with the first electric cars introduced in the U.S. in the 1890s, during the same period when gas-powered cars started to come onto the market. In those early years, in fact, many experts insisted that electric cars would ultimately render gas-powered cars obsolete and become the dominant force in American transportation.

But makers of EVs then found themselves suffering from the same set of limitations that plague the industry well over a century later: Range anxiety, lack of infrastructure, and persistent unreliability.

The fact that an industry this old has still not solved for the same set of issues after so much time makes it reasonable to question whether it ever will.

David Blackmon is an energy writer and consultant based in Texas. He spent 40 years in the oil and gas business, where he specialized in public policy and communications.

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