From Resource Works

By Geoff Russ

The United States wants to break its reliance on China for minerals, giving Canada a distinct advantage.

Trade issues were top of mind when United States President Donald Trump landed in Kananaskis, Alberta, for the G7 Summit. As he was met by Prime Minister Mark Carney, Canada’s vast supply of critical minerals loomed large over a potential trade deal between North America’s two largest countries.

Although Trump’s appearance at the G7 Summit was cut short by the outbreak of open hostilities between Iran and Israel, the occasion still marked a turning point in commercial and economic relations between Canada and the U.S. Whether they worsen or improve remains to be seen, but given Trump’s strategy of breaking American dependence on China for critical minerals, Canada is in a favourable position.

Despite the president’s early exit, he and Prime Minister Carney signed an accord that pledged to strike a Canada-US trade deal within 30 days.

Canada’s minerals are a natural advantage during trade talks due to the rise in worldwide demand for them. Without the minerals that Canada can produce and export, it is impossible to power modern industries like defence, renewable energy, and electric vehicles (EV).

Nickel, gallium, germanium, cobalt, graphite, and tungsten can all be found in Canada, and the U.S. will need them to maintain its leadership in the fields of technology and economics.

The fallout from Trump’s tough talk on tariff policy and his musings about annexing Canada have only increased the importance of mineral security. The president’s plan extends beyond the economy and is vital for his strategy of protecting American geopolitical interests.

Currently, the U.S. remains dependent on China for rare earth minerals, and this is a major handicap due to their rivalry with Beijing. Canada has been named as a key partner and ally in addressing that strategic gap.

Canada currently holds 34 critical minerals, offering a crucial potential advantage to the U.S. and a strategic alternative to the near-monopoly currently held by the Chinese. The Ring of Fire, a vast region of northern Ontario, is a treasure trove of critical minerals and has long been discussed as a future powerhouse of Canadian mining.

Ontario’s provincial government is spearheading the region’s development and is moving fast with legislation intended to speed up and streamline that process. In Ottawa, there is agreement between the Liberal government and Conservative opposition that the Ring of Fire needs to be developed to bolster the Canadian economy and national trade strategies.

Whether Canada comes away from the negotiations with the US in a stronger or weaker place will depend on the federal government’s willingness to make hard choices. One of those will be ramping up development, which can just as easily excite local communities as it can upset them.

One of the great drags on the Canadian economy over the past decade has been the inability to finish projects in a timely manner, especially in the natural resource sector. There was no good reason for the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion to take over a decade to complete, and for new mines to still take nearly twice that amount of time to be completed.

Canada is already an energy powerhouse and can very easily turn itself into a superpower in that sector. With that should come the ambition to unlock our mineral potential to complement that. Whether it be energy, water, uranium, or minerals, Canada has everything it needs to become the democratic world’s supplier of choice in the modern economy.

Given that world trade is in flux and its future is uncertain, it is better for Canada to enter that future from a place of strength, not weakness. There is no other choice.

MxM News

Quick Hit:

President Trump has upped the cost for Canada to join the U.S. “Golden Dome” missile defense program to $71 billion—$10 billion more than his previous ask.

Key Details:

• Trump confirmed the new $71 billion figure while speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One.
• Canada has pushed back, with PM Mark Carney and diplomats calling Trump’s offer a “protection racket.”
• Trump said Canada could access the system for free if it became the 51st U.S. state.

Diving Deeper:

President Trump has put a new and steeper price on Canada’s potential entry into America’s “Golden Dome” missile defense program. Speaking from Air Force One on Monday, Trump told reporters, “They want to be in… Seventy-one billion they’re going to pay.”

That’s a $10 billion increase from the $61 billion figure Trump had previously floated, marking a sharp escalation in his negotiations with Ottawa. The Golden Dome, described by the administration as a “state-of-the-art” defense shield, aims to protect North America from a new era of missile threats—particularly those posed by China, Russia, and North Korea.

Trump has framed the Golden Dome as the long-awaited realization of Ronald Reagan’s “Star Wars” vision, using space-based sensors and interceptors to strike down incoming ballistic, cruise, or hypersonic missiles. Development timelines suggest full deployment is still 5–7 years off, but an initial $25 billion is already allocated in next year’s defense budget. The entire project may run upwards of $175 billion, with some estimates as high as $542 billion over 20 years.

Canada, which has long partnered with the U.S. under NORAD to detect airborne threats, has expressed interest in joining the project. But Trump is demanding a separate, costly buy-in. He reiterated that Ottawa would “have to pay a lot of money” to participate unless it pursued a full political union with the U.S. “It would be free if Canada became the 51st state,” he added.

Canadian leaders have pushed back hard. Prime Minister Mark Carney, re-elected in April after campaigning against U.S. interference, said Canada wants to protect its citizens but not under terms dictated from Washington. Ambassador to the U.N. Bob Rae went further, calling Trump’s offer a “protection racket.”