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illegal immigration

Even before taking office, Trump puts Mexico on spot — stop the caravans now

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News release from Todd Bensman of the Center for Immigration Studies

By Todd Bensman as published November 7, 2024 by The New York Post

“I’m going to inform [Mexico’s president] on day one or sooner that if they don’t stop this onslaught of criminals and drugs coming into our country, I’m going to immediately impose a 25% tariff on everything they send into the United States of America”

Even before the US polls opened Tuesday, a vanguard of immigrants at least 5,000 strong set out on a long march from deep southern Mexico to the US southern border.

The purpose: to test whether new Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum will use the military to stop them now that the American election is over.

No less at stake in this fresh northward moving caravan challenge is whether hundreds of thousands more pooled up behind them in southern Mexico — with thousands more a day crossing into Mexico from Guatemala — will observe an unimpeded passage for this vanguard and follow it in a massive human swell that would presumably last until Donald Trump is sworn in January 20.

But Trump isn’t waiting. Just a day before the caravans launched and he won his election, Trump threatened massive, debilitating tariffs on Mexican exports if Sheinbaum lets caravans make it to the border before he gets into office.

“I’m going to inform [Mexico’s president] on day one or sooner that if they don’t stop this onslaught of criminals and drugs coming into our country, I’m going to immediately impose a 25% tariff on everything they send into the United States of America,” Trump declared at his Raleigh, NC, rally on Monday.

“If that doesn’t work,” he added, “I’ll make it 50, and if that doesn’t work, I’ll make it 75. Then I’ll make it 100.”

Recent history shows that this warning shot that Trump fired over the presidential palace has very real potential to impede any mad final mass dash on the southern border during the coming transition period — and much more.

Recall that last December, President Biden struck a backroom deal with Mexico City to alleviate the political spectacle of a badly congested southern border for the coming 2024 political campaign season. For 10 months straight, the deal has had 32,500 Mexican troops and even more federales round up tens of thousands of intending border-crossers from the country’s north and ship them by force to a militarized blockade of its southern provinces.

The operation, known in the Mexican media as “Operation Carousel,” worked wonders, cutting in half world-record illegal border crossings last fall within its first month alone and more every month since.

But no one really knows what would become of Operation Carousel once the American election was over, with Mexico feeling its obligation to the Biden-Harris campaign was now met.

Not least the thousands of trapped immigrants eager to get in before Trump takes office. They’ve been listening with growing panic to his campaign talk about closing the border down immediately while Mexico was trapping them down there and, almost certainly, his very first promissory words of Wednesday morning’s victory speech, “We’re going to fix the border.”

Trump’s tariff threat is not an idle one. Mexico’s economy utterly depends on its US exports. In 2023 and 2024, Mexico overtook China as the US’s largest trading partner, with exports from Mexico reaching their highest in the history of both countries to nearly $379 billion in 2024, increasing another 6.5% in the last quarter. Revenue from Mexican exports to the US totaled a record $593 billion last year.

That won’t be lost on Sheinbaum, a liberal progressive who has long favored passing the mass migration hot potato on to the United States.

As a protégé of former President Andres Manuel Lopez-Obrador (AMLO), Sheinbaum would most definitely recall that her old boss suffered Trump’s first tariff-threat rodeo back in 2019.

That was when Trump, facing a brief but intense surge of family units at the southern border, threatened progressive trade tariffs on Mexican exports that would reach 28% if AMLO did not deploy military to shut down his own southern border with Guatemala and hem in immigrants behind 50 militarized roadblocks leading out of the southern provinces like Chiapas state.

AMLO did as he was told to avoid economic ruination for his country.

Once Biden entered office in 2021, he swept Trump’s tariff threat stick from the table and, politely asking AMLO to keep the operation going, switched to carrots — meaning cash.

The historic mass migration of millions followed — and has now swept Trump into office again.

Will Sheinbaum heed Trump’s tariff threat? She’s being cagey so far, saying only that Trump’s election was “no cause for concern.”

“We are a free, independent, sovereign country and there will be good relations with the United States. I am convinced of this,” she said at a news conference.

The next few months will prove whether that’s true.

Todd Bensman, a senior national security fellow at the Center for Immigration Studies, is the author of “Overrun: How Joe Biden Unleashed the Greatest Border Crisis in U.S. History.”

Daily Caller

As Violent Venezuelan Gang Plagues US, Biden DHS Issues Deportation Protections For Migrants From … Venezuela

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Venezuelan Tren de Aragua gangbangers took control of apartment buildings in Aurora, Colorado, in 2024

 

From the Daily Caller News Foundation

By Jason Hopkins

The Biden administration rolled out deportation protections to nearly a million foreign nationals living in the United States, including hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans.

More than 900,000 beneficiaries of Temporary Protected Status (TPS) will be allowed to register for an 18-month extension, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) announced on Friday. The massive roll out — just days before President Joe Biden leaves office and President-elect Donald Trump returns to power — includes TPS extensions for roughly 600,000 Venezuelans living in the country.

The extension came on the same day the U.S. government declared new sanctions against Venezuelan socialist dictator Nicolas Maduro. The deportation protections also follow growing anxiety over the presence of Tren de Aragua, an international crime syndicate that originated in Venezuela and has since wreaked havoc on American communities.

“The extension of TPS is due to extraordinary and temporary conditions that prevent eligible Venezuelan nationals from safely returning,” DHS said. “After reviewing the country conditions in Venezuela and consulting with interagency partners, it was determined that an 18-month TPS extension is warranted based on the severe humanitarian emergency the country continues to face due to political and economic crises under the inhumane Maduro regime.”

“These conditions have contributed to high levels of crime and violence, impacting access to food, medicine, healthcare, water, electricity, and fuel,” the DHS statement continued.

First established by the federal government in 1990, TPS provides certain deportation protections and work eligibility to those who receive its designation, according to U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS). The White House may designate TPS for foreign nationals residing in the U.S. whose home countries are experiencing any number of situations that may make it dangerous for them to return, such as an ongoing military conflict or natural disaster.

Following Vice President Kamala Harris’ defeat in November, several Democratic lawmakers pleaded with Biden to dole out new TPS extensions before he left office, calling the remaining days he has left a “critical window” before the Trump administration comes into power and cracks down on illegal immigration. President-elect Donald Trump has expressed interest in winding down TPS benefits.

Had the designation not been extended, Venezuelans currently enjoying TPS would’ve been obligated to leave the U.S. by April. Their 18-month extension means they are eligible to remain in the country until at least October 2026, according to DHS.

Venezuelans, experiencing incredible political and economic instability since Maduro came to power, have left their home country en masse in the past several years, with the destination of choice for many being the U.S. However, among the hundreds of thousands of Venezuelan nationals making their way to the U.S. have been confirmed members of Tren de Aragua.

An internal investigation concluded that Tren de Aragua gangbangers took control of apartment buildings in Aurora, Colorado, in 2024 and have utilized the area to bolster their criminal enterprise. In December, a couple in Aurora had been allegedly taken hostage by suspected members of the gang, dragged to one of their apartment buildings and tortured.

An internal DHS document stated that hundreds of migrants in the U.S. are potentially connected to the gang.

“As a part of our work to counter [Tren de Aragua] TdA, DHS has an ongoing operation to crack down on gang members through re-screening certain individuals previously encountered, in addition to the rigorous screening and vetting at the border,” a DHS spokesperson stated to the Daily Caller News Foundation when the report was leaked. “All individuals confirmed or suspected to be gang members are referred for criminal prosecution or detained and placed into Expedited Removal.”

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illegal immigration

How to Lower the Risk of New Terror Strikes by Border-Crossing Islamist Extremists

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U.S.-bound Mauritanian migrants in Costa Rica near the Nicaraguan border. 2022 Photo by Todd Bensman.

From the Center for Immigration Studies

By Todd Bensman

So a border-crossing illegal immigrant has finally conducted a terror attack just as the FBI Director and the U.S. intelligence community has warned with increasing frequency would happen because of a 2021-2024 mass migration border crisis the New York Times recently concluded was the “largest in U.S. history”, fomented by policies of the Joe Biden administration.

Mauritanian national Sidi Mohammad Abdallahi, who illegally crossed the southern border during it in March 2023, entered the U.S. history books October 26 as the first to validate the long-hypothesized border terror infiltration threat with an attempt to massacre Jews and police in Chicago – as detailed in Part 1 and Part 2 of this “First Blood” series.

Now what? How might the incoming second administration of President Donald Trump reduce the threat of more such attacks with millions of foreign strangers already inside the United States and more constantly trying the southern land border?

Following are some remedies, starting with a highly viable one that comes from a most unexpected quarter, the Democratic administration of President Barack Obama and perhaps best frames where many solutions must aim: a category of illegal aliens the government has long termed “special interest aliens (SIAs)” or variations thereof, for hailing from countries where Islamist terrorist groups operate.

In June 2016, Obama’s DHS Secretary, Jeh Johnson, issued a three-page unclassified memorandum titled “Cross-Border Movement of Special Interest Aliens“. It ordered DHS border security and immigration agency directors to develop a concerted, whole-of-government initiative that would more robustly apply security vetting to SIA border-crossers and much more.

DHS Secretary Jeh Johnson’s 2016 Memo on Special Interest Aliens.

Since 2004 in the aftermath of 9/11, the U.S. Border Patrol and the US intelligence community came up with the SIA category tag to slap on apprehended illegal aliens who hailed from 35 mostly Muslim majority “countries of interest” where Islamist extremism and terrorist groups operated. Mauritania has long been on the intelligence community-created list, and Abdallahi therefore was an SIA.

The SIA tag didn’t mean the aliens were actual terrorists, of course, just that FBI or qualified intelligence officers would take a good, hard look at each to make sure they weren’t. To do that, agents endeavored to conduct intensive in-person interviews with them in detention centers, go through pocket trash and phones, and maybe check with amenable foreign intelligence agencies, looking for terrorism indicators that might weed out for deportation any who turned up as problematic.

Something related to “the increased global movement of SIAs” Johnson mentioned in the memo had clearly spooked him in 2016, perhaps the Muslim immigrants then pouring over European Union border in a mass migration surge, among them some who conducted attacks across the continent. (See: What Terrorist Migration Over European Borders Can Teach About American Border Security.) Perhaps he worried that the SIA security vetting program had fallen into dangerous disrepair a dozen years into it.

“As we all appreciate, SIAs may consist of those who are potential national security threats to our homeland”, the secretary wrote in the 2016 memo. “Thus the need for continued vigilance in this particular area.”

Whatever it was, the Johnson memo demanded the “immediate attention” of underlings to form a “multi-DHS Component ‘SIA Joint Action Group.’” The memo outlined plan objectives. Intelligence collection and analysis, Johnson wrote, would drive efforts to “counter the threats posed by the smuggling of SIAs.” Coordinated investigations would “bring down organizations involved in the smuggling of SIAs into and within the United States”, he wrote.

Border and port of entry operations capacities would “help us identify and interdict SIAs of national security concern who attempt to enter the United States” and “evaluate our border and port of entry security posture to ensure our resources are appropriately aligned to address trends in the migration of SIAs.”

The Obama administration’s SIA initiative never fully developed before Donald Trump took office in January 2017 and was soon lost in the shuffle, even though the old unreformed SIA vetting program remained in place, its FBI interviewers supplemented by specially trained agents of a U.S. Customs and Border Patrol unit called Tactical Terrorism Response Teams (TTRTs) working ICE facilities.

But the Trump administration should resurrect the Johnson idea because an SIA action task force has never been needed more than now, both at the border and in the interior, with so many SIAs like Abdallahi now living inside the country with virtually no vetting beyond largely ineffective database biometrics checks before release.

A Counterterrorism Program Swamped to Oblivion

Johnson was considering the idea at a time when perhaps 3,000-4,000 SIAs per year were apprehended at the border on average. (See: Terrorist Infiltration Threat at the Southwest Border.)

But today, the SIA vetting program is all but nonexistent, swamped to oblivion by the epic Biden-era mass migration crisis that brought in tens of thousands of SIAs per year, including at least 400 \who were on the FBI’s terrorism watch list by the end of 2024. A majority are thought to have traveled from South American landing countries through the Colombia-Panama “Darien Gap” migration passage where enabling governments have facilitated northward passages by bus through to Nicaragua.

Under no circumstance could responsible agencies possibly interview and investigate more than a miniscule fraction of them. It is almost certain that Abdallahi did not undergo a face-to-face interview with a trained federal agent before he was released to go to Chicago.

Indeed, data leaked to the media shows that nearly 75,000 SIAs reached the southern border between October 2022 and August 2023. Another 30,000 SIAs entered in the following 15 months through February 2024, the Daily Caller reported. The Biden DHS responded by reducing the number of SIA countries from 35 to about 13 (still including Mauritania), another House Judiciary Subcommittee report said.

A Biden-era cell phone app-based parole scheme (CBP One) gave thousands more SIAs from two dozen of the countries permission to cross the border on legally questioned mass humanitarian parole with ineffective security vetting. (See: Thousands of ‘Special Interest Aliens’ Posing Potential National Security Risks Entering via CBP One App.) Among them were some Tajikistanis arrested in a multi-state FBI counterterrorism wiretap sting in three cities. (See: After Suspected Tajik Terrorist Arrests, Little-Known Biden Border Entry Program Demands Hard Focus.)

Far from able to interview these overwhelming thousands, every federal agent assigned to the border was so swamped that at least 99 illegal aliens who were on the terrorism watch list were accidentally released, an August 2024 House Judiciary Committee report said.

Key Recommendations

These facts present an argument for the incoming Trump administration’s DHS to follow through on Johnson’s idea to establish an aggressive SIA action task force that can quickly assess and oversee the resurrection of a more thorough, well-resourced vetting program at the land borders as other policies reduce overall migration flow to pre-Biden numbers. But that’s only a start to onboard other remedies that will reduce the current heightened risk from unvetted SIAs. Other high-priority solutions are as follows:

At the land borders

  • Restore the list of SIA countries to prior lengths; prioritize and resource federal personnel to conduct enhanced in-person vetting inside detention centers with a goal of 100 percent while more emphatically exploiting and enhancing the capabilities of the National Vetting Center (NVC) to assist in detecting derogatory information. (President Trump originally established the NVC, which the Biden administration maintained.) Consider the use of state and local fusion center officers and analysts as trusted partners to conduct vetting in detention centers under section 103 (a)(10) of the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA), which allows the federal use of state and local police resources. Encourage a congressional oversight responsibility with annual reporting requirements to ensure the SIA counterterrorism enterprise at the borders remains impactful, updated, and appropriately resourced.
  • Institute extended detention time and misdemeanor federal prosecution for illegal entry by SIAs and discourage any availability of bond-outs for SIAs; ensure that bed space availability is always commensurate with average SIA apprehension rates so that room is consistently available for detention times necessary for security screening, investigative efforts, court proceedings, or final removals.

In the U.S. interior

  • Convene regional ICE task forces that will compile databases of SIAs released into the United States since January 2021 under Biden-era policies and parole programs and require them to undergo belated enhanced security screenings, to include interviews, that were not previously conducted when they were released. Officers would act on derogatory information from abroad but also any uncovered during U.S. residency.
  • Prioritize and resource asylum fraud investigations of SIAs by empowering officers of the Fraud, Detection and National Security Directorate (FDNS) of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) to conduct forensic analyses of random samples of asylum claims by SIAs. Grant FDNS agents arrest and investigative referral authorities independent of any other agency, including ICE. Substantially increase FDNS investigative staff and train USCIS’s asylum officer corps to conduct national security vetting during the “credible fear” interview process in synchronicity with routine duties.
  • Have the Attorney General direct U.S. Attorneys to accept and prioritize asylum fraud case prosecutions and referrals from the newly empowered FDNS officer corps, resolving Government Accountability Office reporting in recent years that shows U.S. Attorneys reject most asylum fraud referrals.
  • Direct appropriate law enforcement agencies to investigate and prosecute U.S.-based individuals who encourage, induce, or directly fund the illegal cross-border smuggling of SIAs, for deterrent effect, under Section 274 (A)(1)(IV) of the Immigration and Nationality Act.

Abroad

  • Fully collaborate with the new Panamanian government in its plan to close the Darien Gap, through which many SIAs travel, by funding highly deterring, large-scale foreign repatriation flights to home countries and local detention facilities as needed. Provide aircraft as necessary. Furthermore, require large-scale repatriation flight programs in Colombia and Costa Rica. Consider funding repatriation flights from Mexico. Apply diplomatic pressure as appropriate on recalcitrant home nations to accept the flights.
  • Create a contingency plan to implement “offshore” asylum processing centers in countries of transit and origin, in conjunction with US-funded foreign air repatriation programs.
  • Increase the number of American law enforcement screeners able to interview SIAs in detention facilities of Mexico, Honduras, Panama, Brazil, and other Latin American countries known for the staging and transit of SIAs.
  • Direct and prioritize a surge of SIA smuggling investigations in Latin America by ICE Homeland Security Investigations (HSI); ensure more HSI units target SIA smuggling as a larger percentage of total crime categories in South America, Central America, and in Mexico.
  • Use all tools of government power to ensure that the governments of Mexico, Guatemala, Belize, Ecuador, and (eventually) Cuba more robustly monitor, vet, audit, investigate, and prosecute corrupt practices within their consulates and embassies in countries of national security interest as a means to reduce wrongful issuances of visas.

Managing down the risks associated with SIA flows and detection of terrorism-minded immigrants within them, of course, gets easier when other deterrence policies reduce the overall numbers. Finding needles is easier when the haystacks are small.

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