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Economy

Canada Treats Energy As A Liability. The World Sees It As Power

Published

15 hours ago

7 minute read

From the Frontier Institute for Public Policy

By Marco Navarro-Genie

Research VP Marco Navarro-Genie warns that Canada’s future hinges on building energy infrastructure, not just expanding pipelines but forging a true North American energy alliance. With global demand rising and authoritarian regimes weaponizing energy, Ottawa’s dithering costs Canada $70 million daily. Sovereignty isn’t secured by speeches but by infrastructure. Until Canada sheds its regulatory paralysis, it will remain a discount supplier in a high stakes geopolitical game. Time to build.

Canada has energy the world is begging for, but ideology and red tape are holding us back

As Prime Minister Mark Carney met with U.S. President Donald Trump recently, energy should have been the issue behind every headline, whether mentioned or not. Canada’s future as a sovereign, economically resilient country will depend in no small part on whether the country seizes this moment or stalls out again in a fog of regulatory inertia and political ambivalence. Canada holds an underleveraged strategic card: the potential to be the world’s most reliable democratic energy supplier. Recent trade figures show Chinese imports of Canadian crude hit a record 7.3 million barrels in March, a direct result of newly expanded access to the Pacific via the Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX), a federally owned pipeline project that now connects Alberta crude to global markets through British Columbia’s coast. But one pipeline does not make a national strategy. Demand in Asia is growing fast. India is among the hungriest, but Canada’s infrastructure is nowhere near meeting that demand.

This matters not just for Canada, but for the United States as well. In a world where energy markets are weaponized and strategic reserves manipulated by authoritarian regimes, the case for a coordinated North American energy alliance is stronger than ever. Such an alliance should not erode national sovereignty. It should reinforce it, allowing Canada, the U.S. and Mexico to insulate themselves collectively from supply shocks and geopolitical blackmail while projecting democratic strength abroad.

But for that alliance to work, Canada must be a credible partner, not merely a junior supplier shackled by Ottawa-induced internal bottlenecks. While the U.S. has leveraged its shale revolution, LNG capacity and permitting reforms to pursue energy dominance, Canada dithers. Projects languish. Investment flees. And meanwhile, Canadian oil continues to flow south at a steep discount, only to be refined and resold, often back to us or our trading partners, at full global prices.

Yes, you read that right. Canada’s oil and gas is sold at a discount to U.S. customers, and that discount costs Canada more than $70 million every single day. The Frontier Centre for Public Policy has developed a real-time tracker to monitor these losses. This pricing gap exists because Canada lacks sufficient pipeline infrastructure to access overseas buyers directly, forcing producers to sell to the U.S., often at below-market rates.

Such massive losses should be unacceptable to any government serious about economic growth, geopolitical influence or environmental integrity. Yet Ottawa continues to speak the language of ambition while legislating the mechanics of paralysis. Stephen Guilbault’s statement that Canada already has enough pipelines speaks to more paralysis..

Canada’s energy infrastructure challenges are not just economic; they are matters of national defence. No country can claim to be secure while relying on another’s pipelines to transport its energy across its own territory. No country can afford to leave its wealth-producing regions boxed in by regulatory choke points or political resistance dressed as environmental virtue.

Our energy economy is fragmented. Western hydrocarbons are stuck inland and must pass through the U.S. to reach Eastern Canada or global markets eastward. This weakens national unity and leaves us exposed to foreign leverage. It also creates strategic vulnerabilities for our allies. American industries depend on Canadian crude. So do U.S. Gulf Coast refineries. And while American officials continue to treat energy as a tool of diplomacy and economic leverage, using energy exports to build alliances and reduce reliance on unstable regimes, Canada treats it as a domestic liability.

We need to shift the frame. Infrastructure isn’t just about steel in the ground; it’s the backbone of strategic autonomy. Pipelines, export terminals and utility corridors would allow Canada to claim its place in the emerging geopolitical order. They would also signal to global investors that Canada is open for business and capable of delivering returns without political obstruction.

The U.S. wants a stable, competent partner to help meet global energy needs. Increasingly, so does the rest of the world. But until we address our internal dysfunction and build, we’re stuck. Stuck watching global opportunities pass us by. Stuck selling low while others sell high. Stuck in a conversation about sovereignty we’re not structurally equipped to address, let alone win.

When Carney meets with Trump again, he would do well to remember that economic independence, not rhetorical unity, is the bedrock of sovereignty. Without infrastructure, Canada brings only words to a hard-power conversation.

Paraphrasing Thomas Hobbes, energy covenants without infrastructure are but words. It’s time to stop posturing and start building.

Marco Navarro-Genie is the vice-president of research at the Frontier Centre for Public Policy. He is co-author, with Barry Cooper, of Canada’s COVID: The Story of a Pandemic Moral Panic (2023).

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Business

Governments must work to improve Canadian living standards despite recent good news

Published on June 2, 2025

By

From the Fraser Institute

By Jake Fuss and Grady Munro

For years, Canadians have experienced a decline in living standards. According to new data from Statistics Canada, living standards may finally be headed back in the right direction, but there’s still much work to be done.

The new numbers show that inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP)—the final value of all goods and services produced in the economy—grew by 0.5 per cent during the first three months of 2025. During that same period, population growth slowed considerably to just 0.2 per cent. For perspective, the average quarterly population growth last year was three times this rate at 0.6 per cent. As a result, inflation-adjusted per-person GDP—a broad measure of individual living standards—grew by 0.4 per cent to reach $59,146 at the end of March 2025.

This is a good sign as it marks the first time living standards have improved for two consecutive quarters (per-person GDP grew 0.1 per cent to end 2024) since the first half of 2022, but we must temper our optimism. Economic growth remains relatively weak compared to historical numbers. And a per-person GDP of $59,146 is still 2.6 per cent below the mid-2022 level ($60,718). For comparison, per-person GDP in the United States after the first three months of 2025 is 4.9 per cent higher than in mid-2022.

Simply put, Canadian living standards remain well below levels they’ve been in past years and growth has fallen well behind growth south of the border, meaning governments across Canada must take steps to promote economic growth.

Recently, there has been a push in Canada to eliminate interprovincial trade barriers, which inhibit the free flow of goods and services between provinces and act as a drag on the economy. Several provinces have already taken steps towards this end, and the federal government has committed to eliminate all federally-imposed trade barriers by Canada Day. These efforts are long overdue, and should be joined by all governments across the country.

Governments should also get their finances in order and finally stop adding to the mountain of debt. In 2025/26, nine out of 10 provinces (except Saskatchewan) and the federal government plan to run budget deficits—meaning they will spend more money than they collect in revenues and thus must borrow additional funds. Consequently, government debt will continue to rise.

Rising government debt acts as a drag on the economy. Indeed, research suggests that when combined federal and provincial government debt exceeds the entire size of the economy (as it did in seven out of 10 provinces in 2022) additional debt offers little benefit to economic growth, and instead inhibits growth in the economy. As such, governments across the country must lower spending to balance their budgets and chip away at this mountain of debt.

Finally, governments should also pursue comprehensive tax reforms to lower the tax burden and make Canada more attractive to professionals, businessowners and entrepreneurs, while also improving the economic incentives to work, save and invest. Without meaningful reform, Canada’s tax system will continue to inhibit economic growth and, consequently, living standards.

New economic data suggest that Canadian living standards have improved in recent months, but we must temper our optimism. Governments across the country should pursue meaningful policy reforms to help grow the economy and improve prosperity.

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Business

Bureaucracy balloons while less than 50 per cent of government performance targets are consistently met

Published on June 1, 2025

By

By Franco Terrazzano

The federal government added 98,986 employees since 2016, bringing the number of federal bureaucrats to 357,965, according to data from the Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat.

“The last thing Canadians need is a bloated government full of highly paid paper pushers,” said Franco Terrazzano, CTF Federal Director. “If politicians want to provide tax relief and start paying down the federal debt, they need to shrink government bureaucracy.”

The federal government reduced its payroll by 9,807 employees over the last year. However, the federal government still has 98,986 more employees than it did in 2016 – a 38 per cent increase.

The average annual compensation for full-time federal bureaucrats is $125,300, when pay, pension, and other perks are accounted for, according to the Parliamentary Budget Officer.

Taxpayers would save about $7 billion annually had the federal bureaucracy grew in line with population growth over the last 10 years.

There are seven federal departments and agencies that have more than doubled their number of employees since 2016, including:

  • Infrastructure Canada (375 per cent)
  • Women and Gender Equality Canada (334 per cent)
  • RCMP External Review Committee (229 per cent)
  • Elections Canada (173 per cent)
  • Immigration and Refugee Board of Canada (158 per cent)
  • Financial Consumer Agency of Canada (154 per cent)
  • Impact Assessment Agency of Canada (127 per cent)

Employment and Social Development Canada added the greatest number of employees since 2016. The department added 16,842 employees since 2016 – a 75 per cent increase.

The Canada Revenue Agency added the second greatest number of employees over the decade. The CRA added 13,015 employees since 2016 – a 33 per cent increase.

“It’s good to see the bureaucracy shrinking a little bit, but it’s still too bloated and too expensive,” Terrazzano said.

It isn’t just the size of the federal bureaucracy that’s ballooning – the cost is too.

The PBO estimates the federal bureaucracy cost taxpayers $69.5 billion in 2023-24. In 2016-17, the cost of the bureaucracy was $40.2 billion. That’s an increase of 72.9 per cent.

The federal government handed out more than one million pay raises between 2020 and 2023, according to government records obtained by the CTF. The federal government also rubberstamped more than $1.5 billion in bonuses for bureaucrats since 2015.

Given the rash of bonuses and pay raises, on top of new hires, Canadians might wonder: how well are things running in Ottawa?

Less than 50 per cent of the government’s own performance targets are consistently met by federal departments within each year, according to a March 2023 report from the PBO.

“We are also committed to capping, not cutting, public service employment,” according to the Liberal Party’s 2025 election platform.

“Prime Minister Mark Carney’s promise to cap the bureaucracy doesn’t go nearly far enough and just entrenches the Trudeau government’s costly bureaucrat hiring spree,” Terrazzano said. “Taxpayers need politicians to cut the bloated bureaucracy and make pay and perks more affordable.”

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