Alberta
Alberta fiscal update shows improved surplus but raises caution flags about debt

From the Canadian Taxpayers Federation
Author: Kris Sims
Fiscal update shows accounting surplus of $2.9 billion
Provincial debt projected to be $86.1 billion
The Canadian Taxpayers Federation is cautioning the Alberta government for its increased borrowing and looming government union contract demands in response to the first quarter fiscal update.
“It’s very good news to see the provincial surplus increasing, but taxpayers are concerned the debt is still going up,” said Kris Sims, CTF Alberta Director. “Premier Danielle Smith did the right thing by passing a law to save money in the Heritage Fund and now the government needs to deliver its promised income tax cut.”
The Alberta government released its first quarter fiscal update Thursday.
The provincial surplus is forecasted at $2.9 billion, which is a $2.5-billion increase from February’s thin forecast surplus of $367 million.
The provincial debt is forecasted to hit $86.1 billion by the end of this fiscal year, up $4.2 billion from the last fiscal year.
Interest on the debt continues to be a challenge, with the government estimated to spend about $3.2 billion on interest charges this fiscal year.
Government revenue is expected to reach $76.2 billion, which is $2.7 billion higher than estimated in Budget 2024. Income tax revenue is expected to be $513 million higher than estimated in Budget 2024.
The government is spending $73.2 billion, which is $101 million higher than estimated in Budget 2024.
Finance Minister Nate Horner raised the issue of government union contract negotiations this happening fall.
“Collective bargaining negotiations are underway with thousands of public sector workers, including teachers and nurses and we’ve promised to cut personal income taxes to save Albertans $1.4 billion each year,” Horner said in a news conference.
“Even though this is an improved surplus, the government doesn’t have cash to spare, so it can’t be blowing the budget on big pay hikes for government unions this fall,” Sims said. “The Alberta government needs to deliver on its promise to cut income taxes.”
Alberta
Alberta Next: Taxation

A new video from the Alberta Next panel looks at whether Alberta should stop relying on Ottawa to collect our provincial income taxes. Quebec already does it, and Alberta already collects corporate taxes directly. Doing the same for personal income taxes could mean better tax policy, thousands of new jobs, and less federal interference. But it would take time, cost money, and require building new systems from the ground up.
Alberta
Cross-Canada NGL corridor will stretch from B.C. to Ontario

Keyera Corp.’s natural gas liquids facilities in Fort Saskatchewan. Photo courtesy Keyera Corp.
From the Canadian Energy Centre
By Will Gibson
Keyera ‘Canadianizes’ natural gas liquids with $5.15 billion acquisition
Sarnia, Ont., which sits on the southern tip of Lake Huron and peers across the St. Clair River to Michigan, is a crucial energy hub for much of the eastern half of Canada and parts of the United States.
With more than 60 industrial facilities including refineries and chemical plants that produce everything from petroleum, resins, synthetic rubber, plastics, lubricants, paint, cosmetics and food additives in the southwestern Ontario city, Mayor Mike Bradley admits the ongoing dialogue about tariffs with Canada’s southern neighbour hits close to home.
So Bradley welcomed the announcement that Calgary-based Keyera Corp. will acquire the majority of Plains American Pipelines LLP’s Canadian natural gas liquids (NGL) business, creating a cross-Canada NGL corridor that includes a storage hub in Sarnia.
“As a border city, we’ve been on the frontline of the tariff wars, so we support anything that helps enhance Canadian sovereignty and jobs,” says the long-time mayor, who was first elected in 1988.
The assets in Sarnia are a key piece of the $5.15 billion transaction, which will connect natural gas liquids from the growing Montney and Duvernay plays in B.C. and Alberta to markets in central Canada and the eastern U.S. seaboard.
NGLs are hydrocarbons found within natural gas streams including ethane, propane and pentanes. They are important energy sources and used to produce a wide range of everyday items, from plastics and clothing to fuels.
Keyera CEO Dean Setoguchi cast the proposed acquisition as an act of repatriation.
“This transaction brings key NGL infrastructure under Canadian ownership, enhancing domestic energy capabilities and reinforcing Canada’s economic resilience by keeping value and decision-making closer to home,” Setoguchi told analysts in a June 17 call.
“Plains’ portfolio forms a fully integrated cross Canada NGL system connecting Western Canada supply to key demand centres across the Prairie provinces, Ontario and eastern U.S.,” he said.
“The system includes strategic hubs like Empress, Fort Saskatchewan and Sarnia – which provide a reliable source of Canadian NGL supply to extensive fractionation, storage, pipeline and logistics infrastructure.”
Martin King, RBN Energy’s managing director of North America Energy Market Analysis, sees Keyera’s ability to “Canadianize” its NGL infrastructure as improving the company’s growth prospects.
“It allows them to tap into the Duvernay and Montney, which are the fastest growing NGL plays in North America and gives them some key assets throughout the country,” said the Calgary-based analyst.
“The crown assets are probably the straddle plants in Empress, which help strip out the butane, ethane and other liquids for condensate. It also positions them well to serve the eastern half of the country.”
And that’s something welcomed in Sarnia.
“Having a Canadian source for natural gas would be our preference so we see Keyera’s acquisition as strengthening our region as an energy hub,” Bradley said.
“We are optimistic this will be good for our region in the long run.”
The acquisition is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, pending regulatory approvals.
Meanwhile, the governments of Ontario and Alberta are joining forces to strengthen the economies of both regions, and the country, by advancing major infrastructure projects including pipelines, ports and rail.
A joint feasibility study is expected this year on how to move major private sector-led investments forward.
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