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Trump and Carney full of warm compliments but still no trade deal between Canada and U.S.

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From The Center Square

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President Donald Trump hosted Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney at the White House Tuesday for the second time but was reluctant to say the meeting would result in a trade deal.

When asked whether Canada would leave Washington “empty-handed,” Trump suggested they would be pleased with Tuesday’s negotiations without specifically mentioning a deal.

“I think they’re going to walk away very happy. I think so,” the president said.

Though the U.S. has negotiated deals with several other countries, it had not yet reached an agreement with its neighbor to the north heading into Tuesday’s meeting. Carney left the White House in the mid-afternoon without responding to questions from journalists about how the meeting went, according to reports.

Currently, there’s a 35% tariff on most Canadian goods not covered under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, a trade agreement the previous Trump administration had negotiated that preserved free trade (or tariff-free trade) among the three countries on most goods.

In March, Trump imposed broad 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, claiming their lack of border enforcement was contributing to America’s problems with illegal immigration and drug trafficking. He later added imported cars to the items tariffed at 25%. In August, the Republican raised tariffs to 35%, saying that Canada had not done enough to suppress fentanyl trafficking.

On Tuesday, Trump appeared satisfied with Canada’s efforts in that regard.

“Canada’s worked hard, and they’ve done a much better job than in the past. We have very few people coming in through our southern border too. We’ve worked with Canada and we’ve worked with Mexico, so we’ve made it a lot better,” Trump said.

The U.S. also levies a 50% tariff on Canadian steel and aluminum and will charge a 45% customs duty on Canadian lumber starting Oct. 14.

Despite Canada’s progress on the border, there are “natural conflicts” between the two countries simply due to their proximity, according to Trump, that make it harder to reach a sustainable agreement.

“Well, it’s a complicated agreement, more complicated maybe than any other agreement we have on trade, because, you know, we have natural conflict,” Trump said. “The problem we have is that they want a car company, and I want a car company… They want steel, and we want steel.”

Trump added that while other countries were “very far away,” Canada’s geographic closeness to the U.S. means they’re more likely to compete economically – but both want to avoid competing as much as possible.

“We don’t like to compete because we sort of hurt each other when we compete,” the president said.

Trump did indicate that there would be at least some tariffs in the final agreement between the U.S. and Canada, but that the U.S. would treat Canada “fairly” – likely meaning that he won’t allow the U.S. to be “ripped off” by Canadian trade policies but perhaps that America won’t demand exorbitant tariffs.

“We’re going to especially treat Canada fairly,” Trump said. “All we do now is fairness, but fairness leads us to the most successful country there’s ever been.”

Business

Government distorts financial picture with definition of capital

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By Franco Terrazzano

“The government is acting fast and loose with the definition of ‘capital. Handing out corporate welfare shouldn’t be considered ‘capital.’

The Canadian Taxpayers Federation is calling on Prime Minister Mark Carney to focus on reducing debt rather than distorting the financial picture by watering down the definition of “capital” spending, as noted by the Parliamentary Budget Officer.

“The PBO shows the government is inappropriately expanding the definition of ‘capital’ spending,” said Franco Terrazzano, CTF Federal Director. “The reality is taxpayers need to cut through Carney’s budget spin and look at one number: How fast is the debt is going up?”

The Carney government announced it’s separating operating and capital spending in its budget. It also released its criteria for what it would consider capital spending.

The PBO’s analysis found that “Finance Canada’s definition and categories expand the scope of capital investment beyond the current treatment of capital spending in the Public Accounts of Canada.”

The PBO added that “based on our initial assessment, we find that the scope is overly expansive and exceeds international practice such as that adopted by the United Kingdom.”

“The government is acting fast and loose with the definition of ‘capital,’” Terrazzano said. “Handing out corporate welfare shouldn’t be considered ‘capital.’

“Regardless of the spending category, more debt means more interest payments and that’s what taxpayers need to focus on to hold the government accountable.”

The PBO’s Economic and Fiscal Outlook projects this year’s “deficit to increase sharply to $68.5 billion.” Debt interest charges will cost taxpayers $55.3 billion this year. That means that paying interest on the federal debt will cost each Canadian about $1,300 this year.

“The government is trying to muddy the water with its accounting nonsense,” Terrazzano said. “The government should stop focusing on cutting the numbers and instead focus on cutting the debt.

“Taxpayers will need to cut through all the accounting noise from the government and focus on one question: Is the debt going up or down?”

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Business

Canada Post is failing Canadians—time to privatize it

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From the Fraser Institute

By Jake Fuss and Alex Whalen

In the latest chapter of a seemingly never-ending saga, Canada Post workers are on strike again for the second time in less than a year, after the federal government allowed the Crown corporation to close some rural offices and end door-to-door deliveries. These postal strikes are highly disruptive given Canada Post’s near monopoly on letter mail across the country. It’s well past time to privatize the organization.

From 2018 to the mid-point of 2025, Canada Post has lost more than $5.0 billion, and it ran a shortfall of $407 million in the latest quarter alone. Earlier this year, the federal government loaned Canada Post $1.034 billion—a substantial sum of taxpayer money—to help keep the organization afloat.

As a Crown corporation, Canada Post operates at the behest of the federal government and faces little competition in the postal market. Canadians have nowhere to turn if they’re unhappy with service quality, prices or delivery times, particularly when it comes to “snail mail.”

Consequently, given its near-monopoly over the postal market, Canada Post has few incentives to keep costs down or become profitable because the government (i.e. taxpayers) is there to bail it out. The lack of competition also means Canada Post lacks incentives to innovate and improve service quality for customers, and the near-monopoly prohibits other potential service providers from entering the letter-delivery market including in remote areas. It’s clearly a failing business that’s unresponsive to customer needs, lacks creativity and continuously fails to generate profit.

But there’s good news. Companies such as Amazon, UPS, FedEx and others deliver more than two-thirds of parcels in the country. They compete for individuals and businesses on price, service quality and delivery time. There’s simply no justification for allowing Canada Post to monopolize any segment of the market. The government should privatize Canada Post and end its near-monopoly status on letter mail.

What would happen if Ottawa privatized Canada Post?

Well, peer countries including the Netherlands, Austria and Germany privatized their postal services two decades ago. Prices for consumers (adjusted for inflation) fell by 11 per cent in Austria, 15 per cent in the Netherlands and 17 per cent in Germany.

Denmark has taken it a step further and plans to end letter deliveries altogether. The country has seen a steep 90 per cent drop in letter volumes since 2000 due to the rise of global e-commerce and online shopping. In other words, the Danes are adapting to the times rather than continuing to operate an archaic business model.

In light of the latest attempt by the Canadian Union of Postal Workers to shakedown Canadian taxpayers, it’s become crystal clear that Canada Post should leave the stone age and step into the twenty-first century. A privately owned and operated Canada Post could follow in the footsteps of its European counterparts. But the status quo will only lead to further financial ruin, and Canadians will be stuck with the bill.

Jake Fuss

Director, Fiscal Studies, Fraser Institute

Alex Whalen

Director, Atlantic Canada Prosperity, Fraser Institute
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