Connect with us
[the_ad id="89560"]

Business

Trans Mountain pipeline’s soaring cost provides more proof of government failure

Published

4 minute read

From the Fraser Institute

By Julio Mejía and Elmira Aliakbari

To recap, since the Trudeau government purchased the project from Kinder Morgan for $4.5 billion in 2018, the cost of the Trans Mountain expansion has ballooned (in nominal terms) to $34 billion.

According to the latest calculations, the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion project, which the Trudeau government purchased from Kinder Morgan in 2018, will cost $3.1 billion more than the $30.9 billion projected last May, bringing the total cost to about $34 billion—more than six times the original estimate.

This is yet another setback for a project facing rising costs and delays. To understand how we arrived at this point, let’s trace the project’s history.

In 2013, Kinder Morgan applied to the National Energy Board (NEB) to essentially twin the existing pipeline built in 1953, which runs for 1,150 kilometres between Strathcona County, Alberta and Burnaby, British Columbia, with the goal to have oil flow through the expansion by December 2019.

In 2016, after three years of deliberations, the NEB approved the pipeline, subject to 157 conditions. By that time, according to Kinder Morgan, costs had risen by $2 billion, bringing the total cost to $7.4 billion.

And yet, despite Kinder Morgan following the legal and regulatory process to get the necessary approvals, the B.C. NDP and Green Party vowed to “immediately employ every tool available” to stop the project. At the same time, the Trudeau government was planning regulations that would increase the cost and uncertainty of infrastructure projects across the country.

Faced with mounting uncertainty and potential setbacks, Kinder Morgan planned to withdraw from the project in 2018. In response, the Trudeau government intervened, nationalizing the project by purchasing it from Kinder Morgan with taxpayer dollars for $4.5 billion. Once under government control, costs skyrocketed to $12.6 billion by 2020 and $21.4 billion by 2022 reportedly due to project safety requirements, financing costs, permitting costs, and crucially, more agreements with Indigenous communities. One year later, in 2023, the Trudeau government said the cost has risen to $30.9 billion.

To recap, since the Trudeau government purchased the project from Kinder Morgan for $4.5 billion in 2018, the cost of the Trans Mountain expansion has ballooned (in nominal terms) to $34 billion.

Surprised? You shouldn’t be.

When government attempts to build infrastructure projects, it often incurs cost overruns and delays due to a lack of incentives to build in an efficient and resourceful way. According to a study by Bent Flyvbjerg, an expert in this field, a staggering 90 per cent of 258 public transportation projects (in 20 countries) exceeded their budgets. The reason behind this phenomenon is clear—unlike private enterprises, government officials can shift cost overruns onto the public without bearing any personal financial consequences.

And the Trudeau government continues to make a bad situation even worse by introducing uncertainty and erecting barriers to private-sector investment in vital infrastructure projects including pipelines. Federal Bill C-69, for instance, overhauled the entire environmental assessment process and imposed complex and subjective review requirements on major energy projects, casting doubt on the viability of future endeavours.

What’s the solution to this mess?

Clearly, if policymakers want to help develop Canada’s natural resource potential—and the jobs, economic opportunity and government revenue that comes with it—they must enact regulatory reform and incentivize private investment. Rather than assuming the role of construction companies, governments should create an environment conducive to private-sector participation, thereby mitigating risk to taxpayers.

By implementing reasonable and competitive regulations that enhance investment incentives, policymakers—including in the Trudeau government—can encourage the private sector to build large-scale infrastructure projects that benefit the Canadian economy.

Before Post

Todayville is a digital media and technology company. We profile unique stories and events in our community. Register and promote your community event for free.

Follow Author

Business

Carney government risks fiscal crisis of its own making

Published on

From the Fraser Institute

By Jake Fuss and Grady Munro

In his recent pre-budget speech in Ottawa, Prime Minister Mark Carney repeated his pledge to make “generational investments” in his government’s first budget on Nov. 4. Of course, “investments” means spending, and the government is poised to run a large deficit and add to the mountain of federal debt. Also in his speech, the prime minister said he “will always be straight about the challenges we have to face and the choices that we must make.” Yet he makes no mention of the risks associated with continued deficit-spending and a ballooning federal debt.

Meanwhile, according to a recent article co-authored by Kevin Page, former Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO), the Carney government should continue to run budget deficits to benefit “current and future generations” of Canadians. And Page (and co-authors) push back against warnings from the current PBO that the government’s finances are unsustainable—noting that “there is no fiscal crisis.”

And he’s right. Canada does not currently face a fiscal crisis. But the Carney government seems determined to create one.

First, some quick fiscal history. The federal government has run a deficit (i.e. spent more money than it collects in revenue) every year since 2007/08, spanning both Conservative and Liberal governments, meaning it’s been nearly two decades since the government balanced its budget. And over the last 10 years (i.e. the Trudeau era) there’s been no meaningful effort to work towards budget balance.

Of course, deficits produce debt. From 2014/15 to 2024/25, total federal debt has doubled from $1.1 trillion to a projected $2.2 trillion, and as a share of the economy, increased from 53.0 per cent to a projected 70.0 per cent.

Simply put, when government debt grows faster than the economy, government finances are on an unsustainable path that may lead to a fiscal crisis. The last time Canada faced a fiscal crisis was the early 1990s when total federal debt represented more than 80 per cent of the economy and the federal government spent roughly one in every three dollars of revenue collected each year on debt interest. In response to Ottawa’s inability to control its finances, lenders increased interest rates because lending money to Ottawa became a riskier proposition. Things became so dire that the Wall Street Journal penned an editorial arguing Canada had become “an honorary member of the Third World in the unmanageability of its debt problem.”

While Ottawa’s finances today aren’t as precarious as they were back then, a decade of record-breaking spending and debt accumulation has brought us closer to a fiscal crisis.

The Carney government faces significant challenges including the spectre of more U.S. tariffs, a stagnant economy and the need to significantly ramp up Canada’s military spending. Again, despite promising a “very different approach” to fiscal policy than the previous government, the prime minister’s recent speech reinforced expectations that the government will significantly increase spending and borrowing this year and in years to come. Indeed, the PBO recently projected that total government debt will rise to 79.2 per cent of the economy by 2028/29.

When defending this status quo approach, the government and its defenders essentially argue that we can keep running larger deficits because Ottawa’s finances are not in bad shape compared to the past or compared to other developed countries (which is actually not true), and that Canada enjoys a strong credit rating that helps keep borrowing costs down.

But in reality, they also effectively argue that we should continue down a path to a fiscal crisis simply because we haven’t reached the end yet. This is reckless, to say the least. The closer we get to a fiscal crisis the harder (and costlier to Canadians) it will be to avoid it.

To get Ottawa’s finances back in order before it’s too late, the government should reduce spending, shrink the deficit and slow the amount of debt accumulation. Unfortunately, the Carney government appears to be running in the opposite direction.

Jake Fuss

Director, Fiscal Studies, Fraser Institute

Grady Munro

Policy Analyst, Fraser Institute
Continue Reading

Business

Trump Admin Establishing Council To Make Buildings Beautiful Again

Published on

 

From the Daily Caller News Foundation

By Jason Hopkins

The Trump administration is creating a first-of-its-kind task force aimed at ushering in a new “Golden Age” of beautiful infrastructure across the U.S.

The Department of Transportation (DOT) will announce the establishment of the Beautifying Transportation Infrastructure Council (BTIC) on Thursday, the Daily Caller News Foundation exclusively learned. The BTIC seeks to advise Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy on design and policy ideas for key infrastructure projects, including highways, bridges and transit hubs.

“What happened to our country’s proud tradition of building great, big, beautiful things?” Duffy said in a statement shared with the DCNF. “It’s time the design for America’s latest infrastructure projects reflects our nation’s strength, pride, and promise.”

“We’re engaging the best and brightest minds in architectural design and engineering to make beautiful structures that move you and bring about a new Golden Age of Transportation,” Duffy continued.

The DOT is encouraging nominations of the country’s best architects, urban planners, artists and others to serve on the council, according to the department. While ensuring that efficiency and safety remain a top priority, the BTIC will provide guidance on projects that “enhance” public areas and develop aesthetic performance metrics.

The new council aligns with an executive order signed by President Donald Trump in August 2025 regarding infrastructure. The “Making Federal Architecture Beautiful Again” order calls for federal public buildings in the country to “respect regional architectural heritage” and aims to prevent federal construction projects from using modernist and brutalist architecture styles, instead returning to a classical style.

“The Founders, in line with great societies before them, attached great importance to Federal civic architecture,” Trump’s order stated. “They wanted America’s public buildings to inspire the American people and encourage civic virtue.”

“President George Washington and Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson consciously modeled the most important buildings in Washington, D.C., on the classical architecture of ancient Athens and Rome,” the order continued. “Because of their proven ability to meet these requirements, classical and traditional architecture are preferred modes of architectural design.”

The DOT invested millions in major infrastructure projects since Trump’s return to the White House. Duffy announced in August a $43 million transformation initiative of the New York Penn Station in New York City and in September unveiledmajor progress in the rehabilitation and modernization of Washington Union Station in Washington, D.C.

The BTIC will comprise up to 11 members who will serve two-year terms, with the chance to be reappointed, according to the DOT. The task force will meet biannually. The deadline for nominations will end Nov. 21.

Continue Reading

Trending

X