Connect with us
[the_ad id="89560"]

National

Statscan: Canada is getting Older, Poorer, and Smaller

Published

7 minute read

The Opposition with Dan Knight

Dan Knight's avatar Dan Knight

StatsCan’s own data shows the visa bubble popping, fertility collapsing, and GDP per person shrinking—Canada’s decline is policy-made.

So here’s the truth about Canada right now. The country just got older. The population barely grew. And no, it’s not because Canadians suddenly started having more kids. In fact, it’s the opposite. Birth rates are collapsing.

StatsCan’s own Population Estimates, July 1, 2025 release says Canada added only 47,098 people in the last quarter. That’s the slowest second-quarter growth since 1946. Why? Because the one thing propping up the numbers, non-permanent residents on study and work permits, has started to collapse. In fact, almost 60,000 left in just three months: –32,000 study permits and, 20,000 work permits, the second-largest quarterly drop in NPRs ever recorded. The whole thing was a bubble. And now that it’s bursting, we’re left staring at the reality: an aging population, weak natural increase, and no real growth.

The median age jumped again now over 40 and climbing fast. Seniors make up almost one in five Canadians. In Newfoundland and Labrador it’s even worse one in four people is over 65.

And the fertility numbers? They’re catastrophic. StatsCan’s Fertility and baby names, 2024 release shows Canada’s fertility rate hit a record low of 1.25 children per woman last year. That’s what demographers call “ultra-low fertility”, essentially demographic free fall.

Nine provinces set new records for fewest babies ever — Nova Scotia (1.08), Prince Edward Island (1.10), Ontario (1.21), Quebec (1.34), Northwest Territories (1.39), Alberta (1.41), Manitoba (1.50), Saskatchewan (1.58), and Nunavut (2.34). And in British Columbia, it’s basically extinction-level: just 1.02.

To even maintain a population, you need about 2.1 children per woman. To actually grow, you need more than that, closer to 2.3 or higher. Canada today is barely at half of replacement.

Meanwhile, the average age of mothers reached a record 31.8 years in 2024, up from 26.7 years in 1976. And here’s the part no one in government wants to talk about: biology doesn’t care about your housing market or your taxes. A woman in her late 20s has about an 85% chance of conceiving within a year. By the late 30s, it drops closer to 65%, and by 40 it’s around 40% with a much higher risk of miscarriage. By 45, natural conception is rare. So when government policy makes people delay families into their 30s, it’s not just economics working against them it’s biology. That’s nearly five decades of steady delay, and it isn’t a cultural accident, it’s economics. People wait longer and longer to have kids because they simply can’t afford them.

So what happens when you make it impossible for people to start families? When the average mother is now 32, fertility is half of what’s needed, and biology is closing the door? People stop having kids. And that isn’t just about culture, it’s about economics.

Let’s go to the Labour Force Survey. The numbers are devastating. In August, Canada lost 66,000 jobs. The unemployment rate jumped to 7.1%, the highest in years . Almost all those job losses were part-time work, exactly the kind of entry jobs young people use to get their start.

And it gets worse. Students, the people who should be building toward families just endured the worst summer job market since 2009. Unemployment for returning students averaged 17.9% . That’s an entire generation being sidelined before they even begin.

Even for those with jobs, the paycheques aren’t enough. Nearly 1 in 11 workers says they need more hours just to cover basic expenses. Among part-timers, almost a quarter said outright: I need more work to pay my bills .

So add this up: collapsing job prospects, shrinking hours, higher costs, and delayed families. The result isn’t a mystery. It’s why fertility is tanking, why people are waiting longer, and why the average Canadian is getting older by the day. And the real measure of prosperity—real GDP per person—backs it up: it fell 0.4% in Q2-2025, and for all of 2024 it was down 1.4% after –1.3% in 2023. In other words, your slice of the economy is getting smaller, not bigger.

This is why I hammer the spin, the government, the state media chorus—because when you strip away the talking points and look at the numbers, it’s devastating. The population barely grew once the visa bubble popped. We’re getting older fast. Fertility is at record lows. The labour market is weaker than advertised—fewer jobs, fewer hours, paycheques that don’t reach the end of the month. And the real scoreboard—GDP per person—says Canadians are getting poorer, not richer.

That’s not a narrative problem; it’s a reality problem. Families don’t form in a country where housing is out of reach, taxes and groceries gut your budget, and your share of the economy keeps shrinking. So spare me the press conferences. Build an economy where young people can buy a home, start a business, and have kids without a panic attack. Cut the cost-drivers. Reward work. Make family life possible again.

Until that happens, all the “record population” headlines are just a shell game. The people paid to challenge this BS aren’t doing it, so we will. Because the numbers aren’t partisan; they’re a warning. And if we ignore them, there won’t be much of a country left to argue over.

Subscribe to The Opposition with Dan Knight .

For the full experience, upgrade your subscription.

Business

BC Ferries: Emails Change Everything- Committee to Haul In Freeland & Co.

Published on

The Opposition with Dan Knight

Dan Knight's avatar Dan Knight

Freeland, Public Safety, Seaspan, Irving, Ontario yards and unions to appear as MPs probe what Ottawa knew and when.

In Ottawa they call it “arm’s-length.” Out in the real world, people call it duck-and-cover. At Meeting No. 6 of the House of Commons transport committee, MPs confronted a simple, damning timeline: Transport Canada’s top non-partisan official was warned six weeks before the public announcement that BC Ferries would award a four-ship contract to a Chinese state-owned yard. Yet the former transport minister, Chrystia Freeland, told Parliament she was “shocked.” Those two facts do not coexist in nature. One is true, or the other is not.

There’s an even bigger betrayal hiding in plain sight. In the last election, this Liberal government campaigned on a Canada-first message—jobs here, supply chains here, steel here. And then, when it actually mattered, they watched a billion-dollar ferry order sail to a PRC state yard with no Canadian-content requirement attached to the federal financing. So much for “Canada first.” Turns out it was “Canada… eventually,” after the press release.

Conservatives put the revelation on the record and asked the only question that matters in a democracy: what did the minister know and when did she know it? The documents they cite don’t suggest confusion; they suggest choreography—ministerial staff emailing the Prime Minister’s Office on how to manage the announcement rather than stop the deal that offshored Canadian work to a Chinese state firm.

Follow the money and it gets worse. A federal Crown lender—the Canada Infrastructure Bank—underwrote $1 billion for BC Ferries and attached no Canadian-content requirement to the financing. In plain English: taxpayers took the risk, Beijing got the jobs. The paper trail presented to MPs is smothered in black ink—hundreds of pages of redactions—with one stray breadcrumb: a partially visible BC Hydro analysis suggesting roughly half a billion dollars in B.C. terminal upgrades to make the “green” ferry plan work. You’re not supposed to see that. You almost didn’t.

How did the government side respond? With a jurisdictional shrug. We’re told, over and over, that BC Ferries is a provincial, arm’s-length corporation; the feds didn’t pick the yard, don’t run the procurement, and therefore shouldn’t be blamed. That line is convenient, and in a technical sense it’s tidy. But it wilts under heat. The federal lender is still federal. The money is still public. If “arm’s-length” means “no accountability,” it’s not a governance model—it’s a get-out-of-jail-free card.

The fallback argument is economic fatalism: no Canadian shipyards bid, we’re told; building here would have taken longer and cost “billions” more. Maybe that’s true, maybe it isn’t—but it’s the sort of claim that demands evidence, not condescension. Because the last time Canadians heard this script, the same political class promised that global supply chains were efficient, cheap and safe. Then reality happened. If domestic capacity is too weak to compete, that’s not an argument for outsourcing permanently; it’s an indictment of the people who let that capacity atrophy. And if you swear “Canada first” on the campaign trail, you don’t bankroll “China first” from the Treasury bench.

Even the process looked like a master class in delay. The committee repeatedly suspended to “circulate” and “review” lengthy motions, while edits ricocheted across the witness list. There were pushes to pare back which ministers would appear at all, and counter-moves to tuck sensitive testimony behind closed doors. In the end, members nudged toward a compromise—Public Safety in open session, other national-security witnesses in camera—but the pattern was unmistakable: every procedural minute spent on choreography was a minute not spent on the timeline.

And after all that stalling, here’s who they’re hauling in—because even Ottawa’s fog machine couldn’t hide the paper trail forever.

They moved to recall Chrystia Freeland herself—the minister who claimed to be “shocked” after her own department had a six-week head start. She’s the centerpiece witness, and rightly so.

On the security front, the Public Safety Minister is slated for an hour in public, followed by an hour with officials, while the national-security reviewers will give their evidence in camera—translation: the part you most want to hear will happen behind closed doors.

Industry voices are on deck too: Seaspan (the transcript garbles it as “C-Span”), Irving Shipbuilding, plus labour and trade heavyweights—the BC Ferries & Marine Workers’ Union, BC Building Trades, the BC Federation of Labour, the Shipyard General Workers Federation, and the Canadian steel producers—the people who can say, under oath, exactly what Ottawa knew and when the alarm bells rang.

They even tacked on Ontario shipyards via a “friendly amendment”—because apparently no one thought to ask central Canada’s yards until the story blew up.

And then the hedge: Liberals worked the amendments to pare back which ministers would face the lights—especially Revenue and Labour—prompting Conservatives to call the move “intolerable.” In other words, invite the easy witnesses, bury the consequential ones. The fight over those two remained live at that point.

So yes, the committee will finally hear from the people who matter—Freeland, Public Safety, shipyards, unions, steel. But notice the choreography: showcase the safe bits in public, tuck the sensitive parts out of view, and keep chipping away at the ministerial witness list. That’s not transparency; that’s stage management with a security badge.

Strip away the talking points and what remains are questions no serious government would duck. When did the minister learn the contract was going to China? What did her office tell the PMO and when? Why did a federal loan—the leverage Ottawa actually controls—carry zero requirement to build any of it here? And why are the documents that might answer those questions buried under redactions thick enough to pave a road?

Canadians are not children. They understand that ferries are essential and that delays are costly. They also understand something else: when a government runs on Canada first and then cheers from the dock as the jobs steam away, that’s not “arm’s-length.” That’s arm’s-length accountability—which is to say, none. Until the emails are unredacted and Chrystia Freeland answers the timeline under oath, the government’s position amounts to this: trust us, the money’s independent, the decisions were someone else’s, and the facts you’re not allowed to see fully vindicate us. Sure. And the check is in the mail.


Subscribe to The Opposition with Dan Knight

I’m an independent Canadian journalist exposing corruption, delivering unfiltered truths and untold stories.
Join me on Substack for fearless reporting that goes beyond headlines
Continue Reading

Business

PBO report projects soaring deficit and debt interest charges

Published on

By Franco Terrazzano 

The Canadian Taxpayers Federation is calling on Prime Minister Mark Carney to cut spending following today’s Parliamentary Budget Officer report forecasting the deficit to “increase sharply.”

“The PBO report should be a five-alarm siren to end the government’s debt-fueled spending spree,” said Franco Terrazzano, CTF Federal Director. “Carney must change course and cut spending because taxpayers can’t afford to pay more than $1 billion every week to cover the government’s debt interest charges.”

The PBO’s Economic and Fiscal Outlook projects this year’s “deficit to increase sharply to $68.5 billion.”

Carney’s annual borrowing will add about $255 billion to the debt over four years, according to today’s PBO report. For comparison, former prime minister Justin Trudeau planned on increasing the debt by $131 billion over those years, according to the most recent Fall Economic Statement.

Debt interest charges will cost taxpayers $55.3 billion this year, according to the PBO. That means the federal government will waste more money paying interest on the debt than it sends to the provinces in health-care transfers ($54.7 billion). Debt interest charges will cost taxpayers $82.4 billion in 2030.

“The federal debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to increase from 41.7 per cent in 2024-25, rising above 43 per cent over the medium term,” according to the PBO.

The Carney government’s spending is projected to increase by billions of dollars every year, according to the PBO.

“Carney sold Canadians on the idea he wasn’t like Trudeau and when it comes to the debt here’s the truth: Carney plans to borrow billions of dollars more than Trudeau,” Terrazzano said. “After a decade of out-of-control spending, Carney must make government more affordable and cut spending.”

The Carney government will release its first budget on Nov. 4.

Continue Reading

Trending

X