Connect with us
[the_ad id="89560"]

Alberta

Moving to single 8% provincial personal income tax rate would help restore the Alberta Advantage

Published

4 minute read

From the Fraser Institute

By Ergete Ferede

Moving to a single eight per cent personal income tax rate for all working Albertans would dramatically improve the province’s competitiveness among
energy-producing jurisdictions, according to a new study published by the Fraser Institute, an independent, non-partisan Canadian public policy think-tank.

“It’s crucial to restore Alberta’s historic tax advantage and understanding how changes to personal income tax rates affect provincial revenues is critical for informed policy decisions,” said Ergete Ferede, Fraser Institute senior fellow and author of Revenue Effects of Tax Rate Changes in Alberta.

The report examines two potential tax reform scenarios and their impact on provincial revenue: an immediate adoption of an eight per cent single tax rate starting in 2025; and a gradual move to that same rate over three years.

An immediate switch to an eight per cent single personal income tax (PIT) rate would decrease PIT revenue by about $6.1 billion (a 35.6 per cent reduction) in the first year.

A gradual transition over three years would start with a smaller loss of $264 million (a 1.5 per cent reduction) in 2025 increasing to $6.9 billion (37.0 per cent reduction) by 2027. However, these estimates may overstate provincial revenue losses as they do not account for the potential positive economic effect of personal income tax reductions on other revenue sources.

Alberta’s current combined federal and provincial personal income tax rate stands at 48 per cent—ranking 10th highest out of 61 jurisdictions in North America—and is significantly higher than other energy-producing regions such as Texas or Wyoming. Implementing a single 8 per cent tax rate would help re-establish Alberta as a low-tax jurisdiction, lowering its rank to the 16th lowest among the 61.

“The potential to strengthen Alberta’s economic position through tax cuts must be considered along with the revenue implications for the government,” Ferede said.

Revenue Effects of Tax Rate Changes in Alberta

  • As recently as 2014, Alberta enjoyed a significant tax advantage, which included a single 10% personal income tax (PIT) rate, the lowest in Canada. However, in 2015, the newly elected NDP government introduced a progressive five-bracket PIT system with a top rate of 15%, eroding Alberta’s tax advantage.
  • Alberta’s top combined provincial and federal PIT rate is 48%, ranking it the tenth highest in North America. As well, its tax competitiveness is lower, compared with other energy-producing regions.
  • The main objective of this study is to examine the revenue implications of replacing Alberta’s current five-bracket PIT system with a single rate of 8%. The study analyzed three alternative reform scenarios: Immediate transition to an 8% single rate starting in 2025, gradual transition to 8% over three years, ending in 2027, and an immediate 20% across-the-board tax reduction in the current five-bracket system in 2025.
  • After accounting for the positive behavioural effects of reduced taxes, this study finds that if Alberta immediately switches to a single 8% PIT rate, PIT revenue would drop by $6.1 billion (a 35.6% reduction) in the first year. Gradual transition to a single 8% rate would initially reduce revenue by $264 million (1.5%), rising to $6.9 billion (a 37.0% decline) by 2027. In contrast, an immediate 20% across-the-board cut in the current PIT system would reduce provincial revenue by $5.1 billion (a 29.5% drop) in 2025.

 

Ergete Ferede

Professor of Economics, MacEwan University

Alberta

Jann Arden’s Rant Will Only Fuel Alberta’s Separation Fire

Published on

From the Frontier Centre for Public Policy

By Lee Harding

In a fiery takedown of Alberta sovereigntists, Jann Arden may have poured gas on the sovereignty fire instead of dousing it. Lee Harding argues that her vulgar swipe ignored Alberta’s raw deal in Confederation, from lopsided equalization to federal overreach, and only deepens Western alienation. Rather than shaming Albertans into silence, her outburst might push them closer to the exit.

The singer’s foul-mouthed tirade won’t shame Alberta into silence. It’ll only push the province further toward the door

Jann Arden’s recent tirade against sovereigntist Albertans will probably do more to motivate them than set them back.

In an online rant, the Calgary-born-and-raised singer lowered public discourse a few notches.

“Hey, Alberta. Hey, you bunch of fu-king separatist wackos. How you doing? Feeling good about yourselves? You’re an embarrassment to this country. Everything you have, everything that you have enjoyed, cherished and benefited from, comes from being part of one of the greatest countries on the planet.”

Ha! Arden only embarrassed herself with her rudeness and ignorance.

Canada has been milking Alberta for a long time. In a 2024 study, the Fraser Institute showed that from 2007 to 2022, Albertans contributed $244.6 billion more in taxes and other payments to the federal government than they received in federal spending, more than five times as much as British Columbians or Ontarians. The other seven provinces were net takers.

Alberta is carrying Canada’s load by doing many things right, only to get zero respect and little benefit in return. For the past 10 years, Ottawa has done everything it can to undermine the energy sector through regulation and taxation, and encroach on provincial jurisdiction through legislation. Rather than feeding and protecting the goose that lays the golden eggs, it would rather pluck out its feathers.

The imbalance is nothing new. Since Confederation, most Canadian provinces have enjoyed jurisdiction over their natural resources. However, Alberta and Saskatchewan didn’t get that until 1930. When equalization began in 1957, Alberta received payments for eight years and never again. Quebec has been paid every year.

Ottawa went the route of more taxation, programs and debt, while Alberta took a more conservative approach. Its capacity to spend rose and fell with the price of oil. Just when Alberta hit another good wave, Ottawa launched the National Energy Program in the early 1980s—just to remind them who ruled the country and to whose benefit. Alberta got reduced profits and Eastern Canadians got cheap gas.

Alberta has been stuck in an abusive relationship for a long time and is wondering if it wouldn’t be better to be on her own. In the background is another suitor named Donald Trump, who would relieve Alberta of those pesky equalization payments and onerous regulations. The province would become the “cherished 51st state” instead of some western challenger to Central Canadian dominance that always needs to be put in its place.

Arden can’t see any of this. And her vitriol does nothing to make Albertans want to stay.

“You guys have your head so far up your as-es that you obviously can’t see what pri-ks you are,” Arden ranted. “The way you are treating your fellow citizens, your fellow Canadians, you guys are a bunch of creepy little pri-ks…

“Alberta will never separate from Canada. It’s never going to happen because people like me are going to stand up, throw their shoulders back, and keep fu-king yelling and keep standing up for what I know is right.”

Oh? Should Albertans stay because an insulting singer inspires a screaming mob? Will they suddenly find gratitude?

No. Abused Albertans have had enough. Their wants are not only reasonable, they’re good and fair policy. Canadians and their federal government should treat Alberta with proper respect, care about its grievances and feelings, and appreciate how they’d be a whole lot worse without her.

Lee Harding is a research fellow for the Frontier Centre for Public Policy.

Continue Reading

Alberta

How Trump and Alberta might just save Canada

Published on

This article supplied by Troy Media.

Troy Media By Our View

Canada faces a reckoning as Trump and Alberta disrupt long-held national assumptions

It may sound counterintuitive, but U.S. President Donald Trump and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith might be doing more to strengthen Canadian unity and prosperity than anyone in Ottawa.

Both are forcing a broken system long overdue for reform to face its flaws—Trump from the outside, Alberta from within. Trump’s revived protectionism is pushing Canada to confront its economic dependence on the United States, while Alberta’s bold demands are exposing the structural weaknesses of Canadian federalism. This unlikely convergence of pressure could lead to reform that strengthens the nation.

Trump’s renewed imposition of tariffs on Canadian imports, including a 25 per cent levy on most goods and a 10 per cent tariff on energy products, has
reignited trade tensions between the two nations. Trump has done this before: his 2018 tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum sparked a brief but damaging trade war. His new measures are already disrupting industries reliant on crossborder supply chains, particularly in critical minerals.

However, there is a significant caveat: goods that comply with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA)—the trade deal that
replaced NAFTA—are exempt from these tariffs. This exemption, initially set to expire on April 2, 2025, has been extended indefinitely, providing relief to industries that meet the agreement’s rules of origin. For example, auto parts manufactured in Canada that comply with USMCA standards are exempt from the newly announced duties.

Even with these carve-outs, the broader trade friction remains. This tension could be just what Canada needs. An unreliable U.S. trade partner may finally push Canadian policymakers to diversify markets, boost productivity and reduce our long-standing dependence on a single customer. The pain may be temporary, but the lessons could be permanent.

Meanwhile, Alberta is making it clear that business as usual will no longer be tolerated. Smith has issued a wide-ranging list of demands, including a repeal of Bill C-69—often called the “no more pipelines” bill by critics—which imposed stricter federal reviews on major energy projects; freedom to develop oil and gas resources without federal emissions caps; and the ability to opt out of industrial carbon taxes and net-zero vehicle mandates.

Some critics call Alberta’s stance reckless or anti-environment. But behind the rhetoric lies a growing frustration with a system that penalizes the very provinces driving Canada’s economy. Alberta isn’t seeking favours—it’s demanding fairness. If Ottawa fails to respond, the province is prepared to hold an independence referendum. That’s no longer an idle threat.

Canada’s deeper problems go well beyond Alberta. Interprovincial trade barriers fragment our economy. Energy infrastructure is blocked or stalled. And the equalization program sends billions to provinces that refuse to develop their own resources. Equalization is meant to ensure all provinces can deliver comparable public services, but the formula often penalizes growth-oriented provinces like Alberta while rewarding inaction. For decades, we’ve watched opportunity slip through our fingers, often by our own design.

External and internal forces are now creating the urgency we’ve lacked. Canadians are increasingly asking why internal trade isn’t as free as external
trade. Support for pipelines and energy independence is growing, even in provinces that previously opposed them. With global instability rising, secure
access to our own energy and markets is no longer optional—it’s essential.

It’s also hard to justify Quebec receiving $13 billion annually while banning fracking and refusing to develop its shale gas. The equalization formula discourages innovation, investment and self-reliance in recipient provinces. That’s not national solidarity—it’s economic dead weight.

This moment may feel tense, even dangerous. But real progress often begins with discomfort. Much like a labour negotiation or a market correction, shortterm conflict can lead to long-term renewal.

Canada has two choices: continue muddling along, or use this moment to reset and rebuild. That means cutting internal trade barriers. It means modernizing equalization. It means saying yes to energy infrastructure that strengthens national sovereignty. And above all, it means recognizing that the West’s prosperity is Canada’s prosperity.

Trump isn’t acting with Canada’s best interests in mind. Neither is Alberta trying to dismantle the country. But both are forcing us to look in the mirror. If we take this opportunity seriously, we may come out of it with a stronger, more selfreliant and united Canada.

Troy Media empowers Canadian community news outlets by providing independent, insightful analysis and commentary. Our mission is to support local media in helping Canadians stay informed and engaged by delivering reliable content that strengthens community connections and deepens understanding across the country.

Continue Reading

Trending

X