Business
Carney’s spending makes Trudeau look like a cheapskate

This article supplied by Troy Media.
By Gwyn Morgan
The Carney government’s spending plans will push Canada’s debt higher, balloon the deficit, and drive us straight toward a credit downgrade
Prime Minister Mark Carney was sold to Canadians as the grown-up in the room, the one who’d restore order after Justin Trudeau’s reckless deficits. Instead, he’s spending even more and steering Canada deeper into trouble. His newly unveiled fiscal plan will balloon the deficit, drive up
interest costs and put Canada’s credit rating and economic future in jeopardy.
When Trudeau first ran for office, he promised “modest short-term deficits” of under $10 billion annually and a balanced budget by 2019. Instead, he ran nine consecutive deficits, peaking at $62 billion in 2023–24, and nearly doubled the national debt, from $650 billion to $1.236 trillion. That
reckless spending should have been a warning.
Yet Carney, presented for years as a safe, globally respected economic steward, is proving to be anything but. The recently released Main Estimates (the federal government’s official spending blueprint) project program spending will rise 8.4 per cent in 2025–26 to $488 billion. Add in at least $50 billion to service the national debt, and the federal tab balloons to $538 billion.
Even assuming tax revenues stay flat, we’re looking at a $40-billion deficit. But that’s optimistic. The ongoing tariff war with the United States, now hitting everything from autos to metals to consumer goods, is cutting deep into economic output. That means weaker revenues and a much larger shortfall. Carney’s response? Spend even more.
And the Canadian dollar is already paying the price. Since 2015, the loonie has slipped from 78 cents U.S. to 73. Carney’s spending spree is likely
to drive it even lower, eroding the value of Canadians’ wages, savings and retirement funds. Inflation? Buckle up.
Franco Terrazzano of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation nailed it in a recent Financial Post column: “Mark Carney was right: He’s not like Justin Trudeau, he spends more,” Terrazzano argues. “The government will spend $49 billion on interest this year and the Parliamentary Budget Officer projects interest charges will be blowing a $70-billion hole in the budget by 2029. That means our kids and grandkids will be making payments on Ottawa’s debt for the rest of their lives.”
Meanwhile, Canada’s credit rating is under real threat. An April 29 report by Fitch Ratings warned that “Canada has experienced rapid and steep fiscal deterioration, driven by a sharply weaker economic outlook and increased government spending during the electoral cycle. If the Liberal program is implemented, higher deficits are likely to increase federal, provincial and local debt to above 90 per cent of GDP.”
That’s not just a red flag; it’s a fire alarm. A downgraded credit rating means Ottawa will pay more to borrow, which trickles down to higher interest rates on everything from provincial debt to mortgages and business loans.
But this decline didn’t start with tariffs. The rot runs deeper. One of the clearest signs of a faltering economy is falling business investment per worker. According to the C.D. Howe Institute, investment has been shrinking since 2015. Canadian businesses now invest just 66 cents of new capital for every dollar invested by their OECD counterparts; only 55 cents compared to U.S. firms. That means less productivity, fewer wage gains and stagnating living standards.
Why is investment collapsing? Policy. Regulation. Taxes. Uncertainty.
The C.D. Howe report laid out a straightforward to-do list, one the federal government continues to ignore:
Reform corporate taxes to attract capital investment.
Introduce early-stage investment incentives.
Tear down regulatory barriers delaying resource and infrastructure projects, especially in energy (maybe then Alberta won’t feel like seceding).
Promote IP investment with targeted tax credits.
Bring stability and predictability back to the regulatory process.
Instead, what Canadians get is policy chaos and endless virtue-signalling. That’s no substitute for economic growth. And let’s talk about Carney’s much-touted past. Voters were bombarded with reminders that he led the Bank of Canada during the 2008–09 financial crisis. But it was Jim Flaherty, Stephen Harper’s finance minister, who made the hard fiscal decisions that got the country through it. Carney’s tenure at the Bank of England? A different story. As former U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss put it: “Mark Carney did a terrible job” at the Bank of England. “He printed money to a huge extent, creating inflation.”
Fast-forward to today, and Canada’s performance is nothing short of dismal. Our GDP per capita sits at just $53,431, compared to America’s $82,769. That’s not just a bragging-rights statistic. It reflects real differences in productivity, competitiveness and national prosperity. Worse, over the past 10 years, Canada’s per capita GDP has grown just 1.1 per cent, second worst in the OECD, ahead of only Luxembourg.
We remain a great country filled with capable people, but our most significant fault may be how easily we fall for image over substance. First with Trudeau’s sunny ways. Now with Carney’s global banker persona. The reality? His plan risks stripping Canadians of their prosperity, downgrading our creditworthiness and deepening long-term decline.
It pains me to say it, but unless something changes fast, Canadians face continued erosion in their standard of living and inflation-driven losses in their savings. The numbers are grim. The direction is wrong. And the consequences are generational.
Trudeau fooled voters with promises of restraint. Carney’s now asking for the same trust, with an even bigger bill attached. Canadians can’t afford to make the same mistake twice.
Gwyn Morgan is a retired business leader who has been a director of five global corporations
Business
Trump targets billions in foreign aid with first pocket rescission in nearly 50 years

Quick Hit:
President Trump has initiated a rarely used budget tactic to cancel almost $5 billion in foreign aid and peacekeeping funds. The move, known as a “pocket rescission,” hasn’t been attempted since 1977 and comes after a federal appeals court cleared the way for the administration to act Thursday.
Key Details:
- Trump’s request targets $3.2 billion in USAID development assistance, $322 million from the Democracy Fund, $521 million in State Department contributions to international organizations, and more than $800 million tied to international peacekeeping.
- Spending flagged by the administration includes $24.6 million for “climate resilience” in Honduras, $2.7 million for a South African group accused of publishing anti-white content, and $3.9 million to promote LGBT initiatives in the Balkans.
- The legality of pocket rescissions is contested. The Government Accountability Office considers them unlawful, while Trump’s OMB cites precedents from the Ford and Carter administrations.
Diving Deeper:
President Donald Trump is moving to strike down nearly $5 billion in foreign aid and peacekeeping spending making use of a controversial budget tactic not exercised in nearly half a century. On Thursday night, Trump formally notified Congress of his intention to cancel the funding—hours after a D.C. appeals court lifted an injunction that had kept the money frozen.
The mechanism Trump is invoking is called a “pocket rescission,” a maneuver where a rescission request is sent so late in the fiscal year—ending September 30—that the money effectively expires regardless of congressional action. The last time a president attempted such a move was 1977 under Jimmy Carter.
The spending Trump is clawing back includes $3.2 billion in U.S. Agency for International Development development programs, $322 million from the USAID-State Department Democracy Fund, $521 million in contributions to international organizations, and $838 million in peacekeeping programs. These funds had been earmarked for foreign governments, NGOs, and U.N. peacekeeping missions but were stalled earlier this year by a lawsuit from the Global Health Council. With the injunction lifted Thursday, Trump seized the opening.
The White House has spotlighted a number of allocations it deems wasteful, pointing to $24.6 million for climate projects in Honduras, $2.7 million for South Africa’s Democracy Works Foundation—known for publishing racially charged content such as “The Problem with White People”—and $3.9 million earmarked for promoting LGBT political activity in the Balkans. Other projects include $1.5 million to promote the artwork of Ukrainian women.
The $838 million in canceled peacekeeping funds had supported operations such as U.N. missions in the Democratic Republic of Congo—where Trump officials recently helped negotiate a peace agreement with Rwanda—and in the Central African Republic, where peacekeeping efforts have been criticized for aligning with Russian-linked interests. Specific items cut include $11 million for armored personnel carriers for Uruguay’s peacekeepers, $4 million for a training center in Zambia, and $3 million for housing Kazakhstani peacekeepers. U.S. funding for the Multinational Force and Observers mission on the Egyptian-Israeli border remains untouched.
The legality of pocket rescissions remains disputed. The Impoundment Control Act of 1974 restricts presidential authority to block congressionally approved spending and requires Congress to act on rescission requests within 45 days. Trump has previously followed that route, recently signing off on rescissions that cut $1 billion from NPR and PBS and $8 billion from USAID.
But OMB Director Russ Vought and General Counsel Mark Paoletta argue that precedent exists for pocket rescissions, citing Carter and Ford-era actions. Paoletta has noted that in 1977, Carter submitted rescission requests that expired when fiscal deadlines lapsed, with the GAO “noting the lapse without objection.” He has since accused GAO of reversing its interpretation during Trump’s first term out of “Trump Derangement Syndrome.”
GAO could potentially challenge the maneuver in court, though questions remain about the agency’s constitutional footing, as some argue the comptroller general position itself could be vulnerable to a legal challenge. For now, Trump has revived a budgetary weapon not used in nearly five decades, setting the stage for another clash with Washington’s entrenched bureaucracy.
Business
Canadians can’t afford another Ottawa budget failure

This article supplied by Troy Media.
A $92 billion budget deficit looms. Canadians need more than promises this time
As Ottawa prepares its fall budget, Canadians should demand a clean break from the status quo. After a decade of unrestrained deficit spending, we are fiscally adrift: burdened by costly new programs and a bloated bureaucracy, and with little to show for it.
That’s why the Carney government must do more than tinker and finally deliver the kind of budget Canadians haven’t seen in years.
The previous Liberal government left office with a national debt nearing $1.4 trillion, having failed to balance the budget in its nine years in power. A growing share of tax dollars is now going just to service that debt.
While the government has pledged to reduce program spending by 15 per cent in the 2028-29 fiscal year through shrinking departments and cutting waste (after smaller reductions the previous two years), it is still on track to post a sizeable deficit of $92 billion for 2025-26, according to projections published by the C.D. Howe Institute. That should be a warning sign. Ottawa cannot rely on vague promises of restraint years down the road—it needs to act now.
Here is what the Carney government must do to get its finances in order:
1. It needs to roll back costly programs and reduce the size of government.
Under Justin Trudeau, the federal bureaucracy grew by nearly 100,000 people, a 38 per cent increase. Yet despite a considerable hike in personnel costs, Canadians would be hard pressed to point to noticeable improvements in service delivery.
Real reform would look like the Chrétien model from the 1990s. Faced with persistent deficits, the Chrétien government acted decisively, cutting over 42,000 public sector jobs. A comparable 17.4 per cent reduction today could eliminate 64,000 jobs and save almost $10 billion annually.
The review should also cover new programs that depend on deficit spending and often overlap with provincial responsibilities.
For example, the federal dental plan is projected to cost taxpayers $13 billion over five years, while the proposed pharmacare plan will cost $13.4 billion per year by 2027-28. Rolling back such initiatives could yield substantial savings.
2. The government must remove excessive regulation that is strangling Canadian business.
Between 2006 and 2021, federal regulations increased by 37 per cent, reaching 320,000 in total. Statistics Canada estimates that this reduced real GDP growth by 1.7 percentage points, employment growth by 1.3 percentage points, and labour productivity growth by 0.4 percentage points over the same time period. Those numbers may seem abstract, but the effect is concrete: less growth, fewer jobs, lower productivity.
Canadian businesses spend about 768 million hours a year on compliance—the equivalent of 394,000 full-time jobs. In 2024 alone, red tape cost businesses nearly $51.5 billion—a hidden tax on productivity.
Is anyone surprised that entrepreneurship in Canada is on the decline? In the year 2000, three out of every 1,000 Canadians had started a business. By 2022, that rate had fallen to just 1.3 per 1,000, representing a nearly 57 per cent drop.
Had Ottawa maintained 2006 regulation levels, Canada would have seen a 10 per cent higher rate of new businesses entering the market in 2021.
3. The Carney government must scrap harmful policies that undermine our energy sector.
Regulations aimed squarely at Canada’s oil and gas sector are setting the country up for a rude awakening.
Take Ottawa’s oil and gas emissions cap, set to take effect next year. It aims to reduce emissions from this sector to 35 per cent below 2019 levels, but reports from Deloitte and the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) confirm that it is effectively a production cap.
Oil and gas accounts for 3.3 per cent of national GDP in 2024, but the emissions cap would change that. Deloitte estimates that by 2040, this regulation would lower Canada’s GDP by one per cent, representing a $34.5-billion loss in constant 2017 dollars.
The cap would also cost 112,900 Canadian jobs by 2040. The numbers all point in the same direction: the policy is an economic self-inflicted wound.
Similarly, the PBO projects that to meet Ottawa’s emissions goal, oil and gas production would need to be 4.9 per cent lower than current forecasts over 2030-32.
For a country with the world’s fourth-largest natural gas reserves and as the third-largest exporter, such policies are reckless. This fall, Canadians should not be presented with a budget that doubles down on the same policies that have already strangled business creation, driven away investment and suppressed living standards.
Canadians are long overdue for something we haven’t seen in years—a responsible budget.
Samantha Dagres is Communications Manager at the Montreal Economic Institute, an independent think tank with offices in Montreal, Ottawa, and Calgary.
Troy Media empowers Canadian community news outlets by providing independent, insightful analysis and commentary. Our mission is to support local media in helping Canadians stay informed and engaged by delivering reliable content that strengthens community connections and deepens understanding across the country
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