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Canadians don’t just feel worse off—they actually are

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From the Fraser Institute

By Tegan Hill and Grady Munro

A recent survey indicates that the majority of Canadians feel worse off now than in 2020. New data from Statistics Canada show these feelings aren’t unfounded, and that Canadians indeed suffer a worse standard of living than they had in recent years.

According to the survey, 61 per cent of respondents said they are financially worse off than they were before the pandemic, while 89 per cent find it harder to manage expenses on everyday items such as food and shelter. In other words, most Canadians feel they have a lower standard of living than they did in recent years.

The new numbers from Statistics Canada show that inflation-adjusted (GDP)—the final value of all goods and services produced in the economy—shrank by 0.4 per cent during the second quarter of 2025 (i.e. from the beginning of April to the end of June). Population growth was essentially flat during those same three months, meaning inflation-adjusted per-person GDP—a broad measure of individual living standards— declined to $58,855 as of July 2025.

The decline in per-person GDP this quarter may be in part driven by U.S. tariffs, which began taking effect in March. And while Canada previously enjoyed two consecutive quarters of growing per-person GDP at the end of 2024 and beginning of 2025, it’s likely that Canadian businesses and consumers alike shifted spending forwards in order to avoid threatened tariffs. Put simply, per-person GDP growth in previous two quarters may have been fuelled by a shift in spending, which also helped to set up the observed slowdown in economic activity once tariffs began to take effect.

However, Canadian living standards have been stagnant since long before President Trump retook office—indeed, the current standard of living is below the level it was in the middle of 2019 ($59,905) before the pandemic. Moreover, stagnant living standards aren’t a universal problem. For perspective, per-person GDP (adjusted for inflation) in the United States grew by 11.0 per cent from mid-2019 to mid-2025.

Simply put, not only do Canadians feel that they are worse off than in recent years, the data shows they actually are. As such, governments across the country must implement policies that promote economic growth.

Policymakers at all levels of government have discussed the importance of strengthening the economy through various policies, including through removing interprovincial trade barriers and calls for additional tax relief for Canadians. Interprovincial trade barriers inhibit the free flow of goods and services between provinces, and uncompetitively high taxes make Canada less attractive to top talent while also discouraging productive economic behaviour like work, savings, investment and entrepreneurship. Both of these effects act as a drag on the economy, and as such policymakers are correct to highlight these areas.

However, one area that falls under the radar is the growing mountain of government debt in Canada. The persistence of annual budget deficits—where government spends more than it collects in revenues, and must borrow money to make up the difference—in recent years has pushed combined federal and provincial net debt (total debt minus financial assets) to a projected $2.30 trillion as of 2024/25. Despite a growing body of evidence that links higher government debt to slower economic growth (this can happen for many reasons), the federal government along with many provinces plan to continue running deficits and grow the mountain of debt. For perspective, one study found that reducing Canada’s debt to GDP ratio—the size of Canada’s debt relative to the economy—to pre-pandemic levels could boost annual incomes for an average employee by approximately $2,100 (inflation-adjusted). Put simply, governments across the country need to lower spending, balance their budgets, and begin paying down their respective debt burdens.

Not only do Canadians feel they are worse off than they were in recent years, new data shows that living standards actually are worse off. To help turn things around, governments across the country must pursue policies that promote economic growth.

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To increase competition in Canadian banking, mandate and mindset of bank regulators must change

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From the Fraser Institute

By Lawrence L. Schembri and Andrew Spence

Canada’s weak productivity performance is directly related to the lack of competition across many concentrated industries. The high cost of financial services is a key contributor to our lagging living standards because services, such as payments, are essential input to the rest of our economy.

It’s well known that Canada’s banks are expensive and the services that they provide are outdated, especially compared to the banking systems of the United Kingdom and Australia that have better balanced the objectives of stability, competition and efficiency.

Canada’s banks are increasingly being called out by senior federal officials for not embracing new technology that would lower costs and improve productivity and living standards. Peter Rutledge, the Superintendent of Financial Institutions and senior officials at the Bank of Canada, notably Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers and Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent, have called for measures to increase competition in the banking system to promote innovation, efficiency and lower prices for financial services.

The recent federal budget proposed several new measures to increase competition in the Canadian banking sector, which are long overdue. As a marker of how uncompetitive the market for financial services has become, the budget proposed direct interventions to reduce and even eliminate some bank service fees. In addition, the budget outlined a requirement to improve price and fee transparency for many transactions so consumers can make informed choices.

In an effort to reduce barriers to new entrants and to growth by smaller banks, the budget also proposed to ease the requirement that small banks include more public ownership in their capital structure.

At long last, the federal government signalled a commitment to (finally) introduce open banking by enacting the long-delayed Consumer Driven Banking Act. Open banking gives consumers full control over who they want to provide them with their financial services needs efficiently and safely. Consumers can then move beyond banks, utilizing technology to access cheaper and more efficient alternative financial service providers.

Open banking has been up and running in many countries around the world to great success. Canada lags far behind the U.K., Australia and Brazil where the presence of open banking has introduced lower prices, better service quality and faster transactions. It has also brought financing to small and medium-sized business who are often shut out of bank lending.

Realizing open banking and its gains requires a new payment mechanism called real time rail. This payment system delivers low-cost and immediate access to nonbank as well as bank financial service providers. Real time rail has been in the works in Canada for over a decade, but progress has been glacial and lags far behind the world’s leaders.

Despite the budget’s welcome backing for open banking, Canada should address the legislative mandates of its most important regulators, requiring them to weigh equally the twin objectives of financial system stability as well as competition and efficiency.

To better balance these objectives, Canada needs to reform its institutional framework to enhance the resilience of the overall banking system so it can absorb an individual bank failure at acceptable cost. This would encourage bank regulators to move away from a rigid “fear of failure” cultural mindset that suppresses competition and efficiency and has held back innovation and progress.

Canada should also reduce the compliance burden imposed on banks by the many and varied regulators to reduce barriers to entry and expansion by domestic and foreign banks. These agencies, including the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, Financial Consumer Agency of Canada, Financial Transactions and Reports Analysis Centre of Canada, the Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation plus several others, act in largely uncoordinated manner and their duplicative effort greatly increases compliance and reporting costs. While Canada’s large banks are able, because of their market power, to pass those costs through to their customers via higher prices and fees, they also benefit because the heavy compliance burden represents a significant barrier to entry that shelters them from competition.

More fundamental reforms are needed, beyond the measures included in the federal budget, to strengthen the institutional framework and change the regulatory mindset. Such reforms would meaningfully increase competition, efficiency and innovation in the Canadian banking system, simultaneously improving the quality and lowering the cost of financial services, and thus raising productivity and the living standards of Canadians.

Lawrence L. Schembri

Senior Fellow, Fraser Institute

Andrew Spence

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