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Britain’s Collapse Is Coming—How Long Until Canada Joins Them?

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The Audit

David Clinton's avatar David Clinton

The UK is said to be in some trouble these days. Assessing the extent of the trouble might depend on who you ask. The pessimists insist that the country’s on the very brink of economic and social collapse.

The scent of chaos is strong and I’m sure having Keir Starmer in charge isn’t helping. Watching his face as he speaks leaves me with the distinct impression that the poor fellow is convinced that if he doesn’t say just the right words his blackmailers will do unspeakable things to his wife and children. At least that would explain the complete disconnect between his words and policies vs reality.

Personally, I’m not following developments that closely. I haven’t actually set foot in the UK for more than 40 years – and even then I don’t remember feeling all that welcome. But I am curious to know whether Canada’s own economic and social policies are driving us towards a similar dark fate.

This article by someone calling himself Mr. Star does a good job defining the pessimists’ perspective on the UK. Here’s a brief summary:

Fiscal & Economic Issues

  • Triple-lock pensions drive unsustainable spending.
  • Expensive welfare schemes (free cars for the disabled, disability benefits, social housing for foreign-born).
  • NHS labeled inefficient and costly.
  • ~$202B budget deficit projected for FY 2025.
  • Wealthy individuals and companies leaving due to high taxes and uncertainty.
  • Court rulings on “equal pay” destabilizing service sectors and bankrupting councils.
  • Heavy debt burden; 25% inflation-linked, high interest costs from COVID-era QE.
  • Economic stagnation; immigration used as a substitute for investment/productivity.

Immigration & Social Cohesion

  • Large-scale legal and illegal immigration (small boat crisis).
  • Grooming gang scandals and alleged cover-ups.
  • Violent gang culture tied to migrant demographics.
  • Frequent protests, riots, and rising racial/political polarization.
  • Left-wing populist and Green-Islamist coalitions emerging in urban areas.

Social Inequality

  • Severe North–South economic divide.
  • Rising wealth inequality and eroded upward mobility.
  • Housing affordability crisis.

Political & Institutional Dysfunction

  • Weak governance and corruption in Westminster and Whitehall.
  • Watchdogs (OBR) accused of misleading reporting.
  • Bureaucracy focused on political cover-ups.
  • No effective leadership or clear national vision; parties seen as inept.

I can’t confirm all of those claims, but they do give us a starting point for a conversation. Let’s see how Canada is currently holding up against such threats.

Canada certainly faces growing budget deficits, plenty of debt maintenance costs, and significant entitlement spending commitments. But those are nothing like the “triple-lock” pension payments and “quantitative easement” fallout that are hitting the UK. And our CPP is still actuarially sound.

It’s certainly true that recent second quarter GDP numbers here in Canada paint a grim picture of a contracting economy. But the UK’s general stagnation and evidence of an exodus of high-wealth citizens are in a league of their own. And so far at least, Canadian courts haven’t given us anything like the heavy handed wage controls that are so crippling for UK employers – both public and private.

The social pressures created by Britain’s high immigration rates (one percent per year) are scary. But Canada’s rate is probably even higher – although nearly all of that immigration is legal. The real tension in both countries is caused by the inexplicable fact that while public sentiment clearly prefers reductions in immigration rates, governments – the odd empty promise notwithstanding – seem determined to open the valves as wide as they’ll go.

For whatever it’s worth, institutional trust feels marginally higher here compared to what I’m hearing from the UK. But we’re still ruled by a federal party that was apparently preferred by only 29 percent of eligible voters. That’s hardly a ringing endorsement. Although it’s also hardly unique in the historical scheme of things.

Regional inequality (compare London vs the rest of the country to Ontario and Quebec vs Alberta) and urban housing affordability are pretty much equally destabilizing in both countries.

One area where things clearly haven’t deteriorated so badly here as in the UK is free speech. Last April, the Times of London reported that British police were arresting more than 30 people a day (that’s 12,000 a year) for “offensive” social media posts. There may be political forces in Canada pushing for this kind of totalitarian overreach, but they thankfully haven’t yet succeeded to that extent.

All that adds up to my tentative conclusion that Canada isn’t necessarily circling the same drain as the UK. We’re still in a position where turning things around is possible even in the absence of miraculous intervention.

Perhaps there’s hope.


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BC Ferries: Emails Change Everything- Committee to Haul In Freeland & Co.

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The Opposition with Dan Knight

Dan Knight's avatar Dan Knight

Freeland, Public Safety, Seaspan, Irving, Ontario yards and unions to appear as MPs probe what Ottawa knew and when.

In Ottawa they call it “arm’s-length.” Out in the real world, people call it duck-and-cover. At Meeting No. 6 of the House of Commons transport committee, MPs confronted a simple, damning timeline: Transport Canada’s top non-partisan official was warned six weeks before the public announcement that BC Ferries would award a four-ship contract to a Chinese state-owned yard. Yet the former transport minister, Chrystia Freeland, told Parliament she was “shocked.” Those two facts do not coexist in nature. One is true, or the other is not.

There’s an even bigger betrayal hiding in plain sight. In the last election, this Liberal government campaigned on a Canada-first message—jobs here, supply chains here, steel here. And then, when it actually mattered, they watched a billion-dollar ferry order sail to a PRC state yard with no Canadian-content requirement attached to the federal financing. So much for “Canada first.” Turns out it was “Canada… eventually,” after the press release.

Conservatives put the revelation on the record and asked the only question that matters in a democracy: what did the minister know and when did she know it? The documents they cite don’t suggest confusion; they suggest choreography—ministerial staff emailing the Prime Minister’s Office on how to manage the announcement rather than stop the deal that offshored Canadian work to a Chinese state firm.

Follow the money and it gets worse. A federal Crown lender—the Canada Infrastructure Bank—underwrote $1 billion for BC Ferries and attached no Canadian-content requirement to the financing. In plain English: taxpayers took the risk, Beijing got the jobs. The paper trail presented to MPs is smothered in black ink—hundreds of pages of redactions—with one stray breadcrumb: a partially visible BC Hydro analysis suggesting roughly half a billion dollars in B.C. terminal upgrades to make the “green” ferry plan work. You’re not supposed to see that. You almost didn’t.

How did the government side respond? With a jurisdictional shrug. We’re told, over and over, that BC Ferries is a provincial, arm’s-length corporation; the feds didn’t pick the yard, don’t run the procurement, and therefore shouldn’t be blamed. That line is convenient, and in a technical sense it’s tidy. But it wilts under heat. The federal lender is still federal. The money is still public. If “arm’s-length” means “no accountability,” it’s not a governance model—it’s a get-out-of-jail-free card.

The fallback argument is economic fatalism: no Canadian shipyards bid, we’re told; building here would have taken longer and cost “billions” more. Maybe that’s true, maybe it isn’t—but it’s the sort of claim that demands evidence, not condescension. Because the last time Canadians heard this script, the same political class promised that global supply chains were efficient, cheap and safe. Then reality happened. If domestic capacity is too weak to compete, that’s not an argument for outsourcing permanently; it’s an indictment of the people who let that capacity atrophy. And if you swear “Canada first” on the campaign trail, you don’t bankroll “China first” from the Treasury bench.

Even the process looked like a master class in delay. The committee repeatedly suspended to “circulate” and “review” lengthy motions, while edits ricocheted across the witness list. There were pushes to pare back which ministers would appear at all, and counter-moves to tuck sensitive testimony behind closed doors. In the end, members nudged toward a compromise—Public Safety in open session, other national-security witnesses in camera—but the pattern was unmistakable: every procedural minute spent on choreography was a minute not spent on the timeline.

And after all that stalling, here’s who they’re hauling in—because even Ottawa’s fog machine couldn’t hide the paper trail forever.

They moved to recall Chrystia Freeland herself—the minister who claimed to be “shocked” after her own department had a six-week head start. She’s the centerpiece witness, and rightly so.

On the security front, the Public Safety Minister is slated for an hour in public, followed by an hour with officials, while the national-security reviewers will give their evidence in camera—translation: the part you most want to hear will happen behind closed doors.

Industry voices are on deck too: Seaspan (the transcript garbles it as “C-Span”), Irving Shipbuilding, plus labour and trade heavyweights—the BC Ferries & Marine Workers’ Union, BC Building Trades, the BC Federation of Labour, the Shipyard General Workers Federation, and the Canadian steel producers—the people who can say, under oath, exactly what Ottawa knew and when the alarm bells rang.

They even tacked on Ontario shipyards via a “friendly amendment”—because apparently no one thought to ask central Canada’s yards until the story blew up.

And then the hedge: Liberals worked the amendments to pare back which ministers would face the lights—especially Revenue and Labour—prompting Conservatives to call the move “intolerable.” In other words, invite the easy witnesses, bury the consequential ones. The fight over those two remained live at that point.

So yes, the committee will finally hear from the people who matter—Freeland, Public Safety, shipyards, unions, steel. But notice the choreography: showcase the safe bits in public, tuck the sensitive parts out of view, and keep chipping away at the ministerial witness list. That’s not transparency; that’s stage management with a security badge.

Strip away the talking points and what remains are questions no serious government would duck. When did the minister learn the contract was going to China? What did her office tell the PMO and when? Why did a federal loan—the leverage Ottawa actually controls—carry zero requirement to build any of it here? And why are the documents that might answer those questions buried under redactions thick enough to pave a road?

Canadians are not children. They understand that ferries are essential and that delays are costly. They also understand something else: when a government runs on Canada first and then cheers from the dock as the jobs steam away, that’s not “arm’s-length.” That’s arm’s-length accountability—which is to say, none. Until the emails are unredacted and Chrystia Freeland answers the timeline under oath, the government’s position amounts to this: trust us, the money’s independent, the decisions were someone else’s, and the facts you’re not allowed to see fully vindicate us. Sure. And the check is in the mail.


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Canada’s Future May Lie In Continental Integration

Published on

From the Frontier Centre for Public Policy

By William Brooks

Only bold economic, regulatory and security integration with the U.S. can rescue Canada from decline and counter China’s influence

A unified market with the U.S. could deliver opportunity, stability and security that Canada can’t achieve alone

With the Canadian middle class shrinking, trade tensions rising, and young Canadians eyeing the exits, Kevin O’Leary’s call for a European-style economic union between Canada and the U.S. might be the bold move Canada needs.

Late last December, the Canadian businessman affectionately known as Mr. Wonderful, reignited a long-simmering debate over “continentalism,” the idea that Canada and the United States should pursue deeper economic, political and social integration—perhaps even a full union.

Unluckily for O’Leary, his pitch landed with the grace of a lead balloon. Incoming president Donald Trump promptly declared that Canada should just become the 51st state. So much for subtle diplomacy.

Trump’s blunt response deflated any serious talk of continentalism—and the idea was soon buried under growing political friction between Ottawa and Washington.

Continentalism has a long and surprisingly respectable pedigree in Canada. After Confederation in 1867, British-born Canadian intellectual Goldwin Smith—then one of the country’s most prominent thinkers—emerged as a champion of North American integration. His 1891 book Canada and the Canadian Question laid out a detailed case for union with the U.S. Opposing camps favoured clinging to the British Empire or forging total Canadian independence, neither of which answered the structural weaknesses of a relatively small, export-dependent economy trying to compete on a global scale.

Today, the rationale for a Can-Am union is arguably stronger than ever. A truly unified North American market—underpinned by shared rules, a common currency and harmonized supply chains—would reduce transaction costs, attract capital and boost investor confidence. Regulatory coherence would also drive trade and secure access to critical materials without relying on unstable suppliers or hostile regimes.

Beyond the economics, labour mobility could ease shortages, fill demographic gaps and open new doors for ambitious workers. For many young Canadians, continental freedom of movement might not just be appealing—it may be essential. The ability to live and work seamlessly across a vast, integrated market could create a new generation of mobile, prosperous professionals less bound by national economic stagnation.

Critics often frame continentalism as capitulation. But in truth, it would require careful negotiation, robust constitutional safeguards and strong protections for Canadian identity. It’s not about assimilation—it’s about adaptation in a changing world. If the European Union can coordinate 27 nations with different languages, histories and political systems, surely two long-time allies sharing a common border and a common language can devise an arrangement that respects sovereignty while fostering opportunity.

Together, Canada and the U.S. represent nearly 389 million people across 19.8 million square kilometres, producing close to $32 trillion in GDP. That’s not a bad bloc to belong to.

A continental order would also strengthen the geopolitical clout and security of both nations. A unified democratic bloc based on free enterprise could rival China, Russia and other authoritarian players. With a southern border wall already up, North American security could be reinforced with joint enforcement against illegal migration and drug smuggling. Shared intelligence and military coordination would enhance defence in a volatile multipolar world. This kind of integration could also counter rising cyber threats, energy insecurity and supply chain instability that neither country can fully address alone.

An EU-style North American council or commission could allow for cooperative decision-making without erasing national sovereignty. Unlike outright federation, this approach would preserve Canada’s independent institutions while offering a forum for joint policy development, dispute resolution and regional economic planning. If Germany, France, Italy, Spain and Portugal can make it work—despite centuries of war and deep cultural divisions—surely we can too.

Of course, resistance is alive and well.

Powerful interest groups recoil at anything that threatens their turf. Big Labour warns of wage erosion in a common job market. Canadian politicians fear cultural absorption. American lawmakers don’t like sharing the steering wheel. Even among the public, knee-jerk nationalism often drowns out sober economic analysis.

Still, reality is making continentalism harder to ignore. Ambitious Canadians trapped in a declining middle class are looking for exits—and for some, continental mobility may be the only way out. Many are already voting with their feet. In 2024 alone, roughly 106,000 Canadians left the country, one of the biggest outbound waves in recent memory.

Despite Ottawa’s steady stream of anti-American messaging, the U.S. remains destination No. 1. More than a million Canadians now call it home. And that number is likely to grow as Canadian living costs rise and public services strain under demographic and fiscal pressure.

As Harold Wilson once said: “He who rejects change is the architect of decay. The only human institution which rejects progress is the cemetery.”

Continentalism may not be the only answer—but refusing to even ask the question is a luxury we can no longer afford.

William Brooks is a senior fellow at the Frontier Centre for Public Policy. He writes on cultural identity, democracy and Canadian institutions.

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