Business
A tale of two countries – Drill, Baby, Drill vs Cap, Baby, Cap

From EnergyNow.ca
By Deidra Garyk
Analysis of the U.S. Election and the Canadian Oil and Gas Emissions Cap
Monday, November 4, the Canadian federal government announced the long-awaited draft emissions cap for the oil and gas industry.
The next day, the world’s largest economy held an election that resulted in a decisive victory for the position of 47th President of the USA.
With the GOP (Republicans) taking a commanding lead with 53 out of 100 possible Senate seats, and two more still to be confirmed, they have a majority that can help move along their plans for at least the next two years. Rumoured expectations are that they’ll take the House too, which will further solidify President-elect Trump’s mandate.
As part of Trump’s campaign platform, Agenda47, he promised “to bring Americans the lowest-cost energy and electricity on Earth.” The agenda pledged that “to keep pace with the world economy that depends on fossil fuels for more than 80% of its energy, President Trump will DRILL, BABY, DRILL.”
The platform also states that under his leadership, the US will once again leave the Paris Climate Accords, and he will oppose all Green New Deal policies that impact energy development. He also plans to roll back the Biden administration’s EV mandates and emissions targets, while advocating for low emissions nuclear energy.
It isn’t a guarantee that he will do anything that he says; however, if the past is any indication, we can expect Trump to follow through on his energy and climate promises.
Even though Canada and the USA are on a contiguous land mass, they could not be farther apart in energy and climate ideology.
On the northern side of the border, a day before, Canada’s green avengers of the Liberal cabinet congregated for a press conference to jubilantly announce their emissions cap, which has been studied and determined to be a defacto production cap. CAP, BABY, CAP!
Claims that the new rules go after pollution, not production, should be met with scepticism. If pollution is the problem, there would be blanket emissions caps on all heavy emitting industries and imported oil and gas would be subject to the same requirements, but it is not. I’m not sure how else to read it other than a willful slight with a sledgehammer against the Canadian oil and gas industry.
Especially since Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson said that this is a backstop to ensure the Pathways Alliance does what they say they will. I wonder if the Pathways folks feel like they have a giant target on their backs… and fronts?
The hour-long press conference was a lesson in how to deceive with a straight face. Most of the Liberals’ claims have either been discredited or are unsubstantiated as to be meaningless.
Wilkinson, a Rhodes Scholar, calls this cap an “economic opportunity” because he believes that for Canadian oil and gas, climate change is a competitive issue, for both combusted and non-combusted products. Square that circle when no other country on the planet has an emissions cap on its oil and gas industry.
Nonetheless, the Liberals expect production to increase, which is counter to what they say out of the other side of their mouths – that oil and gas demand will peak this year, and we are not going to be using it much longer so we should just shut it all down.
Wilkinson excitedly announced the need for thousands and thousands of workers to build the decarbonization infrastructure of the new energy future. However, the Department of Environment’s Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary contradicts this claim, citing thousands of job losses.
The Study also identifies that the costs from the plan will be borne by Canadians. The Conference Board of Canada expressed similar concerns, but they were dismissed by the politicians on stage.
Edmonton MP and Minister of Employment, Workforce Development, and Official Languages Randy Boissonnault, also known as “The Other Randy” for his ethical mis-steps, put on one of the best shows of the press conference. He speaks so convincingly that you almost believe him. Almost.
He claimed that when he was campaigning last election during the Covid pandemic, the number one topic at the doors was climate change. Edmontonians wanted to talk about climate change over the global pandemic that was disrupting their lives? Yeah, right.
The Other Randy praised Ministers Guilbeault and Wilkinson for working with industry on the regulations and promised that Canadian workers will be part of the consultation and final rules. Forgive me for being sceptical.
The Spiderman-like Steven Guilbeault, Minister of Environment and Climate Change, said that oil companies have seen record profits, going from $6.6 billion pre-pandemic to $66 billion post-pandemic, and the Liberals want that extra money used on projects they approve of, namely ones that are climate-related.
Guilbault believes this cap is necessary for prosperity and energy security, along with being good for workers and “for good union jobs”. It’s not often talked about, but within the feds’ climate plans is a push for unionizing jobs. It was top-of-mind for the Deputy Minister of Labour when I was part of a delegation to Ottawa last year. She was most interested in learning about how many oil and gas jobs are unionized and showed visible displeasure at finding out that most are not.
The press conference seemed to be more of a one-sided political bun fight, with a disproportionate amount of time spent talking smack about Pierre Poilievre, Premier Danielle Smith, and Premier Scott Moe. Perhaps demonstrating the Liberals’ trepidation about the future since the final regulations will come out late next year and go into effect January 1, 2026, when it’s likely they will be out of office.
With the climate zealots out of power, enforcement may be a challenge. What if companies don’t meet the arbitrary targets and deadlines imposed by the rules? What if companies don’t buy the required credits? A reporter asked, but Guilbeault didn’t give an answer in his response. I guess we will have to wait to see what changes are made to the Canadian Environmental Protection Act (CEPA), the enforcement regulations.
Wilkinson said climate change is a “collective action problem” that must be addressed as it is the “existential threat to the human race.” This gives you a sense of how they see things – there is a problem and government is the solution.
Meanwhile, energy policy is a “Day 1 priority” for Trump. As a businessperson, he understands that demand is growing, and limited regulations are the way to develop all forms of energy.
Even if industry can meet the emissions reduction targets – there are a variety of opinions on the proposed rules – it does not mean the regulations should be implemented. Canada’s real per capita GDP is 73 per cent of America’s, so as Canada goes hard on emissions reduction regulations, if investment moves south, that number is not going to improve. Don’t let them tell you otherwise.
Deidra Garyk is the Founder and President of Equipois:ability Advisory, a consulting firm specializing in sustainability solutions. Over 20 years in the Canadian energy sector, Deidra held key roles, where she focused on a broad range of initiatives, from sustainability reporting to fostering collaboration among industry stakeholders through her work in joint venture contracts.
Outside of her professional commitments, Deidra is an energy advocate and a recognized thought leader. She is passionate about promoting balanced, fact-based discussions on energy policy and sustainability. Through her research, writing, and public speaking, Deidra seeks to advance a more informed and pragmatic dialogue on the future of energy.
Business
Trump targets billions in foreign aid with first pocket rescission in nearly 50 years

Quick Hit:
President Trump has initiated a rarely used budget tactic to cancel almost $5 billion in foreign aid and peacekeeping funds. The move, known as a “pocket rescission,” hasn’t been attempted since 1977 and comes after a federal appeals court cleared the way for the administration to act Thursday.
Key Details:
- Trump’s request targets $3.2 billion in USAID development assistance, $322 million from the Democracy Fund, $521 million in State Department contributions to international organizations, and more than $800 million tied to international peacekeeping.
- Spending flagged by the administration includes $24.6 million for “climate resilience” in Honduras, $2.7 million for a South African group accused of publishing anti-white content, and $3.9 million to promote LGBT initiatives in the Balkans.
- The legality of pocket rescissions is contested. The Government Accountability Office considers them unlawful, while Trump’s OMB cites precedents from the Ford and Carter administrations.
Diving Deeper:
President Donald Trump is moving to strike down nearly $5 billion in foreign aid and peacekeeping spending making use of a controversial budget tactic not exercised in nearly half a century. On Thursday night, Trump formally notified Congress of his intention to cancel the funding—hours after a D.C. appeals court lifted an injunction that had kept the money frozen.
The mechanism Trump is invoking is called a “pocket rescission,” a maneuver where a rescission request is sent so late in the fiscal year—ending September 30—that the money effectively expires regardless of congressional action. The last time a president attempted such a move was 1977 under Jimmy Carter.
The spending Trump is clawing back includes $3.2 billion in U.S. Agency for International Development development programs, $322 million from the USAID-State Department Democracy Fund, $521 million in contributions to international organizations, and $838 million in peacekeeping programs. These funds had been earmarked for foreign governments, NGOs, and U.N. peacekeeping missions but were stalled earlier this year by a lawsuit from the Global Health Council. With the injunction lifted Thursday, Trump seized the opening.
The White House has spotlighted a number of allocations it deems wasteful, pointing to $24.6 million for climate projects in Honduras, $2.7 million for South Africa’s Democracy Works Foundation—known for publishing racially charged content such as “The Problem with White People”—and $3.9 million earmarked for promoting LGBT political activity in the Balkans. Other projects include $1.5 million to promote the artwork of Ukrainian women.
The $838 million in canceled peacekeeping funds had supported operations such as U.N. missions in the Democratic Republic of Congo—where Trump officials recently helped negotiate a peace agreement with Rwanda—and in the Central African Republic, where peacekeeping efforts have been criticized for aligning with Russian-linked interests. Specific items cut include $11 million for armored personnel carriers for Uruguay’s peacekeepers, $4 million for a training center in Zambia, and $3 million for housing Kazakhstani peacekeepers. U.S. funding for the Multinational Force and Observers mission on the Egyptian-Israeli border remains untouched.
The legality of pocket rescissions remains disputed. The Impoundment Control Act of 1974 restricts presidential authority to block congressionally approved spending and requires Congress to act on rescission requests within 45 days. Trump has previously followed that route, recently signing off on rescissions that cut $1 billion from NPR and PBS and $8 billion from USAID.
But OMB Director Russ Vought and General Counsel Mark Paoletta argue that precedent exists for pocket rescissions, citing Carter and Ford-era actions. Paoletta has noted that in 1977, Carter submitted rescission requests that expired when fiscal deadlines lapsed, with the GAO “noting the lapse without objection.” He has since accused GAO of reversing its interpretation during Trump’s first term out of “Trump Derangement Syndrome.”
GAO could potentially challenge the maneuver in court, though questions remain about the agency’s constitutional footing, as some argue the comptroller general position itself could be vulnerable to a legal challenge. For now, Trump has revived a budgetary weapon not used in nearly five decades, setting the stage for another clash with Washington’s entrenched bureaucracy.
Business
Canadians can’t afford another Ottawa budget failure

This article supplied by Troy Media.
A $92 billion budget deficit looms. Canadians need more than promises this time
As Ottawa prepares its fall budget, Canadians should demand a clean break from the status quo. After a decade of unrestrained deficit spending, we are fiscally adrift: burdened by costly new programs and a bloated bureaucracy, and with little to show for it.
That’s why the Carney government must do more than tinker and finally deliver the kind of budget Canadians haven’t seen in years.
The previous Liberal government left office with a national debt nearing $1.4 trillion, having failed to balance the budget in its nine years in power. A growing share of tax dollars is now going just to service that debt.
While the government has pledged to reduce program spending by 15 per cent in the 2028-29 fiscal year through shrinking departments and cutting waste (after smaller reductions the previous two years), it is still on track to post a sizeable deficit of $92 billion for 2025-26, according to projections published by the C.D. Howe Institute. That should be a warning sign. Ottawa cannot rely on vague promises of restraint years down the road—it needs to act now.
Here is what the Carney government must do to get its finances in order:
1. It needs to roll back costly programs and reduce the size of government.
Under Justin Trudeau, the federal bureaucracy grew by nearly 100,000 people, a 38 per cent increase. Yet despite a considerable hike in personnel costs, Canadians would be hard pressed to point to noticeable improvements in service delivery.
Real reform would look like the Chrétien model from the 1990s. Faced with persistent deficits, the Chrétien government acted decisively, cutting over 42,000 public sector jobs. A comparable 17.4 per cent reduction today could eliminate 64,000 jobs and save almost $10 billion annually.
The review should also cover new programs that depend on deficit spending and often overlap with provincial responsibilities.
For example, the federal dental plan is projected to cost taxpayers $13 billion over five years, while the proposed pharmacare plan will cost $13.4 billion per year by 2027-28. Rolling back such initiatives could yield substantial savings.
2. The government must remove excessive regulation that is strangling Canadian business.
Between 2006 and 2021, federal regulations increased by 37 per cent, reaching 320,000 in total. Statistics Canada estimates that this reduced real GDP growth by 1.7 percentage points, employment growth by 1.3 percentage points, and labour productivity growth by 0.4 percentage points over the same time period. Those numbers may seem abstract, but the effect is concrete: less growth, fewer jobs, lower productivity.
Canadian businesses spend about 768 million hours a year on compliance—the equivalent of 394,000 full-time jobs. In 2024 alone, red tape cost businesses nearly $51.5 billion—a hidden tax on productivity.
Is anyone surprised that entrepreneurship in Canada is on the decline? In the year 2000, three out of every 1,000 Canadians had started a business. By 2022, that rate had fallen to just 1.3 per 1,000, representing a nearly 57 per cent drop.
Had Ottawa maintained 2006 regulation levels, Canada would have seen a 10 per cent higher rate of new businesses entering the market in 2021.
3. The Carney government must scrap harmful policies that undermine our energy sector.
Regulations aimed squarely at Canada’s oil and gas sector are setting the country up for a rude awakening.
Take Ottawa’s oil and gas emissions cap, set to take effect next year. It aims to reduce emissions from this sector to 35 per cent below 2019 levels, but reports from Deloitte and the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) confirm that it is effectively a production cap.
Oil and gas accounts for 3.3 per cent of national GDP in 2024, but the emissions cap would change that. Deloitte estimates that by 2040, this regulation would lower Canada’s GDP by one per cent, representing a $34.5-billion loss in constant 2017 dollars.
The cap would also cost 112,900 Canadian jobs by 2040. The numbers all point in the same direction: the policy is an economic self-inflicted wound.
Similarly, the PBO projects that to meet Ottawa’s emissions goal, oil and gas production would need to be 4.9 per cent lower than current forecasts over 2030-32.
For a country with the world’s fourth-largest natural gas reserves and as the third-largest exporter, such policies are reckless. This fall, Canadians should not be presented with a budget that doubles down on the same policies that have already strangled business creation, driven away investment and suppressed living standards.
Canadians are long overdue for something we haven’t seen in years—a responsible budget.
Samantha Dagres is Communications Manager at the Montreal Economic Institute, an independent think tank with offices in Montreal, Ottawa, and Calgary.
Troy Media empowers Canadian community news outlets by providing independent, insightful analysis and commentary. Our mission is to support local media in helping Canadians stay informed and engaged by delivering reliable content that strengthens community connections and deepens understanding across the country
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