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National dental program likely more costly than advertised

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From the Fraser Institute

By Matthew Lau

At the beginning of June, the Canadian Dental Care Plan expanded to include all eligible adults. To be eligible, you must: not have access to dental insurance, have filed your 2024 tax return in Canada, have an adjusted family net income under $90,000, and be a Canadian resident for tax purposes.

As a result, millions more Canadians will be able to access certain dental services at reduced—or no—out-of-pocket costs, as government shoves the costs onto the backs of taxpayers. The first half of the proposition, accessing services at reduced or no out-of-pocket costs, is always popular; the second half, paying higher taxes, is less so.

A Leger poll conducted in 2022 found 72 per cent of Canadians supported a national dental program for Canadians with family incomes up to $90,000—but when asked whether they would support the program if it’s paid for by an increase in the sales tax, support fell to 42 per cent. The taxpayer burden is considerable; when first announced two years ago, the estimated price tag was $13 billion over five years, and then $4.4 billion ongoing.

Already, there are signs the final cost to taxpayers will far exceed these estimates. Dr. Maneesh Jain, the immediate past-president of the Ontario Dental Association, has pointed out that according to Health Canada the average patient saved more than $850 in out-of-pocket costs in the program’s first year. However, the Trudeau government’s initial projections in the 2023 federal budget amounted to $280 per eligible Canadian per year.

Not all eligible Canadians will necessarily access dental services every year, but the massive gap between $850 and $280 suggests the initial price tag may well have understated taxpayer costs—a habit of the federal government, which over the past decade has routinely spent above its initial projections and consistently revises its spending estimates higher with each fiscal update.

To make matters worse there are also significant administrative costs. According to a story in Canadian Affairs, “Dental associations across Canada are flagging concerns with the plan’s structure and sustainability. They say the Canadian Dental Care Plan imposes significant administrative burdens on dentists, and that the majority of eligible patients are being denied care for complex dental treatments.”

Determining eligibility and coverage is a huge burden. Canadians must first apply through the government portal, then wait weeks for Sun Life (the insurer selected by the federal government) to confirm their eligibility and coverage. Unless dentists refuse to provide treatment until they have that confirmation, they or their staff must sometimes chase down patients after the fact for any co-pay or fees not covered.

Moreover, family income determines coverage eligibility, but even if patients are enrolled in the government program, dentists may not be able to access this information quickly. This leaves dentists in what Dr. Hans Herchen, president of the Alberta Dental Association, describes as the “very awkward spot” of having to verify their patients’ family income.

Dentists must also try to explain the program, which features high rejection rates, to patients. According to Dr. Anita Gartner, president of the British Columbia Dental Association, more than half of applications for complex treatment are rejected without explanation. This reduces trust in the government program.

Finally, the program creates “moral hazard” where people are encouraged to take riskier behaviour because they do not bear the full costs. For example, while we can significantly curtail tooth decay by diligent toothbrushing and flossing, people might be encouraged to neglect these activities if their dental services are paid by taxpayers instead of out-of-pocket. It’s a principle of basic economics that socializing costs will encourage people to incur higher costs than is really appropriate (see Canada’s health-care system).

At a projected ongoing cost of $4.4 billion to taxpayers, the newly expanded national dental program is already not cheap. Alas, not only may the true taxpayer cost be much higher than this initial projection, but like many other government initiatives, the dental program already seems to be more costly than initially advertised.

Matthew Lau

Adjunct Scholar, Fraser Institute

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Is dirty Chinese money undermining Canada’s Arctic?

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Macdonald-Laurier Institute

By Pauline Springer for Inside Policy

Pauline Springer warns that Canada’s lax rules on foreign investment are doing the dirty work for our geopolitical adversaries.

China’s interest in the Canadian Arctic is growing. The People’s Republic evidently views the Arctic as a strategic frontier rich in untapped resources and geopolitical leverage. China’s attempt to acquire stakes in mining operations such as the Izok Corridor and the Doris North gold mine in Nunavut indicate a broader strategy. China’s Arctic activity is a calculated bid to lock in influence under the friendly sounding banners of the Polar Silk Road and the Belt and Road Initiative, using investment and infrastructure to secure long-term influence.

Admittedly most Chinese investments in the Canadian Arctic to date have failed, are yet to be realized, or are relatively insignificant, but this should not lead Canadians to underestimate the threat or ignore the broader strategy behind China’s significant engagement across the Arctic. Some Canadian stakeholders view Chinese capital as a benign path to regional development and self-sufficiency but this is naïve and dangerous. The limited scale of successful, traceable Chinese investment to date should not be used as a justification for inaction against the clear threat to regional sovereignty.

National security threats arising from foreign investment led to the creation of the Investment Canada Act in early 2024, which requires disclosure of foreign investors and mandates transparency in the submission of investment information. With the passage of Bill C-34 in 2009, the Act was further strengthened to include specific timelines for security reviews and mechanisms for information-sharing with investigative bodies. These reforms were a late and incomplete admission that foreign capital is not just risky – it’s already rewriting the rules in sectors critical to national security.

Chinese state-linked and private entities have not only engaged in opaque investment practices but have also been implicated in large-scale money laundering operations across CanadaThe money laundering schemes typically involve underground banking networks, convoluted ownership structures, and unregistered money service businesses, which funnel illicit capital into high-value assets such as real estate, infrastructure, and mining ventures. According to FINTRAC’s Laundering the Proceeds of Crime through Underground Banking Schemes, much of this money is moved through informal and untraceable financial channels, often linked to Chinese sources.

Money laundering typically unfolds in three stages: placement (introducing illicit funds into the financial system), layering (concealing the origin through complex transactions), and integration (reintroducing the money as seemingly legitimate income).

A particularly relevant mechanism in this context is trade-based money laundering (TBML) which enables illicit funds to be disguised as legitimate commerce through the manipulation of trade transactions.

In northern Canada, where oversight of mineral exports and industrial equipment imports is limited, the mining sector provides opportunities for trade based laundering of proceeds from transnational crime under the pretext of resource development. The Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project (OCCRP) reported that Chinese Triads and other transnational criminal organizations have laundered billions of dollars through Canadian financial and corporate systems, particularly in British Columbia.

This laundering activity is not a parallel issue to foreign investment – it is embedded within it. The same corporate tools used to facilitate transnational investments are often used to conceal the source of funds, mask ownership, and bypass national scrutiny. Shell companies and foreign actors can disguise themselves as Canadian or Indigenous-owned companies, while the actual control remains offshore.

One of the key enablers of this opacity is the phenomenon known as snow-washing: a term that refers to the use of Canada’s pristine international reputation to launder money through anonymous corporations. Canada’s corporate registration system still allows individuals to form companies without disclosing the true beneficial owner. As of late 2023, Canada ranked 70th in terms of ability to access information on companies, below Sri Lanka, El Salvador and Bahrain. Foreign actors can register companies, list local nominees as front directors, and then use these entities to invest in sensitive sectors with virtually no public oversight. Canada’s lax rules are doing the dirty work for our adversaries.

In early 2024, Canada introduced a requirement under the Canada Business Corporations Act (CBCA) to collect information on “individuals with significant control,” marking a step toward greater transparency. A federal public registry is in development. Crucially, publicly listed corporations are exempt from these disclosure requirements, and the system’s effectiveness hinges on alignment with provincial registries. Without full national coverage and seamless integration between federal and provincial systems, Canada’s transparency framework risks remaining fragmented, with loopholes that continue to benefit bad actors.

What might this look like operationally? The formation of such a shell company in Canada’s Arctic is relatively straightforward. A local entrepreneur registers a mining company in the High North, listing themselves as the owner. However, the actual financial backing originates from Chinese private or state-linked actors, who remain in the background. Due to the scale of their investment and the influence it affords, these individuals become de-facto beneficial owners. Yet, in the absence of effective monitoring mechanisms and a central, publicly accessible registry for beneficial ownership, the company continues to appear Canadian-owned. This poses a significant governance challenge: it is impossible to assess how many ostensibly local companies are, in fact, under foreign control and to what extent.

Bill C-34 aims to mitigate this risk by imposing minimum reporting requirements for foreign investment. Nonetheless, the challenge becomes even more acute when examined through the lens of money laundering. As previously discussed, there is substantial evidence that Chinese (including state-linked) entities have used Canada’s economy as a vehicle for laundering illicit funds. When those funds pass through complex corporate layers, where even identifying foreign ownership is already difficult, they can be easily embedded in the local economy. The profits, now “clean,” carry the appearance of legitimate origin, completing the cycle and reinforcing a system that is fundamentally opaque and unaccountable.

Crucially, the use of shell companies for money laundering in the Arctic is extraordinarily difficult to prove, as both the existence of shell structures and the laundering activities themselves are inherently opaque and challenging to detect. Canadian oversight bodies are playing catch-up while foreign actors exploit the shadows.

As a result, there is a serious lack of reliable data in the public domain on the actual extent of the problem. Investigative bodies face structural and legal obstacles in tracing ownership or financial flows, especially when they intersect with international jurisdictions or nominal Indigenous ownership structures that shield the real beneficiaries.

This lack of hard evidence makes it easy for policymakers to downplay or disregard the threat. However, the absence of precise numbers should not be misread as an absence of risk. On the contrary, the reasonable deduction that such structures are ripe for abuse – especially given China’s documented use of opaque financial networks and strategic investments – provides sufficient grounds to act. The deep concealment and the below-threshold tactics are precisely what make it dangerous.

The risks posed by unmonitored foreign investment stem, in part, from deeper domestic shortcomings. Chronic underfunding and a top-down governance model where decisions about the North are made in Ottawa, have left northern regions exposed. Canada’s northern provinces and territories, despite covering over 40 per cent of the national landmass, remain economically marginalized and structurally underdeveloped. This vacuum may invite external actors like China to step in where the federal government has long neglected to act. This further underscores the need for any policy response, whether from the RCMP, FINTRAC, or CSIS, to be coordinated with territorial and Indigenous governments, ensuring their meaningful involvement in the policymaking process and law enforcement actions.

Canada must act decisively on two fronts:

First, it must adopt robust transparency measures in corporate law and foreign investment screening, including following through with establishing a publicly accessible beneficial ownership registry on a national level, and closing loopholes that allow nominee directors or shell entities to hide foreign control.

Second, domestic investment must be scaled up dramatically. Canada needs to close the infrastructure and development gap in the Arctic by directly funding northern communities. Rather than simply increasing spending, policy should focus on making capital more accessible to northern and Indigenous-led projects through transparent, well-regulated mechanisms. This includes expanding grant and loan programs tailored to regional development, enhancing Indigenous financial institutions, and embedding anti-money laundering safeguards into all funding streams. These efforts would not only support reconciliation but also defend against covert financial influence.

Only strong domestic foundations and clear regulations can protect Canada from the corrosive threats of dirty foreign money. A threat exists where both intent and opportunity align; and the opportunity to launder money through shadow companies and foreign investment is undeniably present. The Canadian government must stop treating Arctic security as a seasonal concern, starting with the laws and loopholes that allow foreign money to buy silence, access, and influence in the Arctic.


Pauline Springer is a graduate researcher in International Relations specializing in Arctic security and Chinese influence.

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Upgrades at Port of Churchill spark ambitions for nation-building Arctic exports

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In August 2024, a shipment of zinc concentrate departed from the Port of Churchill — marking the port’s first export of critical minerals in over two decades. Photo courtesy Arctic Gateway Group

From the Canadian Energy Centre

By Will Gibson

‘Churchill presents huge opportunities when it comes to mining, agriculture and energy’

When flooding in northern Manitoba washed out the rail line connecting the Town of Churchill to the rest of the country in May 2017, it cast serious questions about the future of the community of 900 people on the shores of Hudson Bay.

Eight years later, the provincial and federal governments have invested in Churchill as a crucial nation-building corridor opportunity to get resources from the Prairies to markets in Europe, Africa and South America.

Direct links to ocean and rail

Aerial view of the Hudson Bay Railway that connects to the Port of Churchill. Photo courtesy Arctic Gateway Group

The Port of Churchill is unique in North America.

Built in the 1920s for summer shipments of grain, it’s the continent’s only deepwater seaport with direct access to the Arctic Ocean and a direct link to the continental rail network, through the Hudson Bay Railway.

The port has four berths and is capable of handling large vessels. Having spent the past seven years upgrading both the rail line and the port, its owners are ready to expand shipping.

“After investing a lot to improve infrastructure that was neglected for decades, we see the possibilities and opportunities for commodities to come through Churchill whether that is critical minerals, grain, potash or energy,” said Chris Avery, CEO of the Arctic Gateway Group (AGG), a partnership of 29 First Nations and 12 remote northern Manitoba communities that owns the port and rail line.

“We are pleased to be in the conversation for these nation-building projects.”

In May, Canada’s Western premiers called for the Prime Minister’s full support for the development of an economic corridor connecting ports on the northwest coast and Hudson’s Bay, ultimately reaching Grays Bay, Nunavut.

Investments in Port of Churchill upgrades

Workers at the Port of Churchill. Photo courtesy Arctic Gateway Group

AGG, which purchased the rail line and port from an American company in 2017, is not alone in the bullish view of Churchill’s future.

In February, Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew announced an investment of $36.4 million over two years in infrastructure projects at the port aimed at growing international trade.

“Churchill presents huge opportunities when it comes to mining, agriculture and energy,” Kinew said in a release.

“These new investments will build up Manitoba’s economic strength and open our province to new trading opportunities.”

In March, the federal government committed $175 million over five years to the project including $125 million to support the rail line and $50 million to develop the port.

“It’s important to point out that investing in Churchill was something that both the Liberal and Conservative parties agreed on during the federal election campaign,” said Avery, a British Columbian who worked in the airline industry for more than two decades before joining AGG.

Reduced travel time

Freight safety check at the Port of Churchill. Photo courtesy Arctic Gateway Group

The federal financial support helped AGG upgrade the rail line, repairing the 20 different locations where it was washed out by flooding in 2017.

Improvements included laying more than 1,600 rail cars worth of ballast rock for stabilization and drainage, installing almost 120,000 new railway ties and undertaking major bridge crossing rehabilitations and switch upgrades.

The result has seen travel time by rail reduced by three hours — or about 10 per cent — between The Pas and Churchill.

AGG also built a dedicated storage facility for critical minerals and other commodities at the port, the first new building in several decades.

Those improvements led to a milestone in August 2024, when a shipment of zinc concentrate was shipped from the port to Belgium. It was the first critical minerals shipment from Churchill in more than two decades.

The zinc concentrate was mined at Snow Lake, Manitoba, loaded on rail cars at The Pas and moved to Churchill. It’s a scenario Avery hopes to see repeated with other commodities from the Prairies.

Addressing Arctic challenges

The Port of Churchill. Photo courtesy Arctic Gateway Group

The emergence of new technologies has helped AGG work around the challenges of melting permafrost under the rail line and ice in Hudson Bay, he said.

Real-time ground-penetrating radar and LiDAR data from sensors attached to locomotives can identify potential problems, while regular drone flights scan the track, artificial intelligence mines the data for issues, and GPS provides exact locations for maintenance.

The group has worked with permafrost researchers from the University of Calgary, Université Laval and Royal Military College to better manage the challenge. “Some of these technologies, such as artificial intelligence and LiDAR, weren’t readily available five years ago, let alone two decades,” Avery said.

On the open water, AGG is working with researchers from the University of Manitoba to study sea ice and the change in sea lanes.

“Icebreakers would be a game-changer for our shipping operations and would allow year-round shipping in the short-term,” he said.

“Without icebreakers, the shipping season is currently about four and a half months of the year, from April to early November, but that is going to continue to increase in the coming decades.”

Interest from potential shippers, including energy producers, has grown since last year’s election in the United States, Avery said.

“We’re going to continue to work closely with all levels of government to get Canada’s products to markets around the world. That’s building our nation. That’s why we are excited for the future.”

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