Connect with us

Energy

Is the Carney Government Prepared to Negotiate a Fair Deal for the Oil, Gas and Pipeline Sectors

Published

8 minute read

Canadian Energy News, Top Headlines, Commentaries, Features & Events – EnergyNow

By Jim Warren

Call me a cockeyed optimist but before giving up entirely on the country or selling our energy shares we might want to wait a while to see what a Carney led government actually does.

That being said, lowering the collective blood pressure on the prairies will require answers to some key questions.

Is Mark Carney serious about getting more oil and gas to Canadian tidewater? Does Carney really think this can be done without altering Bill C-69 and ditching the tanker ban, Bill C-48? Is he actually going to leave the emissions cap on oil production, the industrial carbon tax and the clean electricity standard in place, or is he planning to pleasantly surprise us?

Notwithstanding Carney’s penchant for resumé inflation he appears to be a reasonably intelligent guy and a shrewd investor, who understands how national economies work. Assuming this is the case, Carney’s pledge to get more oil and gas exported to customers besides the US may not have been an insincere sop to voters in the West. If so, is he still naïve enough to think pipelines can be built without dismantling the barriers put up by the Trudeau Liberals to block development and stifle growth in the oil and gas sector?

Were his platitudes about zealously protecting the environment and drastically cutting emissions simply an effort to appease the left wing of the Liberals’ electoral base?  Will he accept that the radical green agenda outlined in his 600 hundred page door stopper book needs to be put on the back burner during these economically challenging times?

It seems reasonable to imagine Carney was loathe to make too nice with the oil and gas industry prior to the election lest he alienate the Liberal caucus members whose support he needed to win the party’s leadership. Similarly, keeping some of the Liberals’ most radical environmentalists such as Steven Guilbeault out of cabinet could have caused unnecessary embarrassment and friction within the party during the actual election campaign.

Now that he has produced an election win that was nowhere in sight before he became the front runner for the Liberal leadership, Carney is relatively unassailable. True, he can’t be so exceedingly arrogant and dictatorial that he inspires caucus members to cross the floor of the Commons. What is more likely is that those members of the Liberal caucus with the capacity to face reality understand they were headed for political oblivion before Carney came to the rescue. It was he, not them, who secured the victory. They owe him their political lives. This provides Carney with considerable freedom of action when it comes to setting the policy agenda.

He can do some of the things he said he wouldn’t do and refrain from doing others he said he would do. For the Liberals’ communications professionals, explaining why Carney changed his positions from the wrong side of the oil, gas and pipeline debates to the right side should be nowhere near as challenging as the 24/7 turd polishing they had to do for Justin Trudeau.

Yes, the Carney government is currently enjoying its honeymoon period. For a brief while the Liberals get to feel like they are ten feet tall and politically bullet-proof. While his caucus is guzzling champagne and dividing the spoils Carney has the opportunity to plot the policy trajectory of his government.

If Mark Carney really is even half as smart as advertised he knows how important a thriving oil and gas sector (provided with new export pipelines) is to Canada during this time of geopolitical uncertainty and international economic turmoil. Our new prime minister might also appreciate now is not the time to impose inflationary environmental protection and green transition initiatives on the country.

This is not to say Carney ‘deserves a chance’ to show us what he can do. He’s not some sad little fellow whose been warming the bench on a kiddies soccer team hoping for a chance to play. When Mr. Carney entered the game his campaign assured us he is an internationally acclaimed economic wizard capable of running large and important organizations. Now he needs to walk the talk—it’s his job after all.

The point is, there needs to be a long enough pause in East-West political hostilities to see if meaningful cooperation is possible. Should they choose to do so, the producing provinces have the ability to make governing the country much more challenging than it is already. But the prudent approach at the moment is to see what the new prime mister is prepared to negotiate before sending the convoys East. We can still hold the prime minister’s feet to the fire without torching the bargaining table.

This doesn’t mean the country can spend a lot of time making key decisions. The producing provinces and their conventional energy industries have endured a nine year Liberal assault on their ability to generate economic growth. The Trudeau government trampled the rights of the provinces to develop and market their resources. Much has been made of the investment stifling effects of the uncertainty created by the Trump administration’s tariff policies. Nine plus years of uncertainty about the future of Canada’s conventional energy sector has similarly discouraged investment.

There is a wide open policy window available to Canada’s oil, gas and pipeline industries just now. The stars are aligned as well as they’ll ever be for repairing the damage done by the Trudeau Liberals. The strategic importance of being able to market our gas and oil into countries besides the US has never been clearer to Canadians. A majority of people from across the country (74%), including 60% of Quebecers currently favour the building of new oil and gas pipelines extending from the prairies to the east and west coasts.

Yes, at this point in time, the glass is actually more than half full when it comes to making public policy beneficial to the conventional energy sector and the producing provinces. Admittedly, it took a couple of days cooling off after the election results came in for me to say this.

Unfortunately, policy windows don’t stay open forever and the West is urgently seeking change. Federal-provincial negotiations on the conventional energy and pipeline files need to start now. And if the parties are truly concerned about optimizing Canada’s economic prospects and fostering national unity we have every right to expect positive results by mid-summer.

Todayville is a digital media and technology company. We profile unique stories and events in our community. Register and promote your community event for free.

Follow Author

Business

Potential For Abuse Embedded In Bill C-5

Published on

From the National Citizens Coalition

By Peter Coleman

“The Liberal government’s latest economic bill could cut red tape — or entrench central planning and ideological pet projects.”

On the final day of Parliament’s session before its September return, and with Conservative support, the Liberal government rushed through Bill C-5, ambitiously titled “One Canadian Economy: An Act to enact the Free Trade and Labour Mobility in Canada Act and the Building Canada Act.”

Beneath the lofty rhetoric, the bill aims to dismantle interprovincial trade barriers, enhance labour mobility, and streamline infrastructure projects. In principle, these are worthy goals. In a functional economy, free trade between provinces and the ability of workers to move without bureaucratic roadblocks would be standard practice. Yet, in Canada, decades of entrenched Liberal and Liberal-lite interests, along with red tape, have made such basics a pipe dream.

If Bill C-5 is indeed wielded for good, and delivers by cutting through this morass, it could unlock vast, wasted economic potential. For instance, enabling pipelines to bypass endless environmental challenges and the usual hand-out seeking gatekeepers — who often demand their cut to greenlight projects — would be a win. But here’s where optimism wanes, this bill does nothing to fix the deeper rot of Canada’s Laurentian economy: a failing system propped up by central and upper Canadian elitism and cronyism. Rather than addressing these structural flaws of non-competitiveness, Bill C-5 risks becoming a tool for the Liberal government to pick more winners and losers, funneling benefits to pet progressive projects while sidelining the needs of most Canadians, and in particular Canada’s ever-expanding missing middle-class.

Worse, the bill’s broad powers raise alarms about government overreach. Coming from a Liberal government that recently fear-mongered an “elbows up” emergency to conveniently secure an electoral advantage, this is no small concern. The lingering influence of eco-radicals like former Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault, still at the cabinet table, only heightens suspicion. Guilbeault and his allies, who cling to fantasies like eliminating gas-powered cars in a decade, could steer Bill C-5’s powers toward ideological crusades rather than pragmatic economic gains. The potential for emergency powers embedded in this legislation to be misused is chilling, especially from a government with a track record of exploiting crises for political gain – as they also did during Covid.

For Bill C-5 to succeed, it requires more than good intentions. It demands a seismic shift in mindset, and a government willing to grow a spine, confront far-left, de-growth special-interest groups, and prioritize Canada’s resource-driven economy and its future over progressive pipe dreams. The Liberals’ history under former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, marked by economic mismanagement and job-killing policies, offers little reassurance. The National Citizens Coalition views this bill with caution, and encourages the public to remain vigilant. Any hint of overreach, of again kowtowing to hand-out obsessed interests, or abuse of these emergency-like powers must be met with fierce scrutiny.

Canadians deserve a government that delivers results, not one that manipulates crises or picks favourites. Bill C-5 could be a step toward a freer, stronger economy, but only if it’s wielded with accountability and restraint, something the Liberals have failed at time and time again. We’ll be watching closely. The time for empty promises is over; concrete action is what Canadians demand.

Let’s hope the Liberals don’t squander this chance. And let’s hope that we’re wrong about the potential for disaster.

Peter Coleman is the President of the National Citizens Coalition, Canada’s longest-serving conservative non-profit advocacy group.

Continue Reading

Bjorn Lomborg

The Physics Behind The Spanish Blackout

Published on

From the Frontier Centre for Public Policy

By Bjorn Lomborg

Madrid knew solar and wind power were unreliable but pressed ahead anyway

When a grid failure plunged 55 million people in Spain and Portugal into darkness at the end of April, it should have been a wake-up call on green energy. Climate activists promised that solar and wind power were the future of cheap, dependable electricity. The massive half-day blackout shows otherwise. The nature of solar and wind generation makes grids that rely on them more prone to collapse—an issue that’s particularly expensive to ameliorate.

As I wrote in these pages in January, the data have long shown that environmentalists’ vision of cheap, reliable solar and wind energy was a mirage. The International Energy Agency’s latest cost data continue to underscore this: Consumers and businesses in countries with almost no solar and wind on average paid 11 U.S. cents for a kilowatt hour of electricity in 2023, but costs rise by more than 4 cents for every 10% increase in the portion of a nation’s power generation that’s covered by solar and wind. Green countries such as Germany pay 34 cents, more than 2.5 times the average U.S. rate and nearly four times China’s.

Prices are high in no small part because solar and wind require a duplicate backup energy system, often fossil-fuel driven, for when the sun doesn’t shine or the wind doesn’t blow. The Iberian blackout shows that the reliability issues and costs of solar and wind are worse than even this sort of data indicates.

Grids need to stay on a very stable frequency—generally 50 Hertz in Europe—or else you get blackouts. Fossil-fuel, hydro and nuclear generation all solve this problem naturally because they generate energy by powering massive spinning turbines. The inertia of these heavy rotating masses resists changes in speed and hence frequency, so that when sudden demand swings would otherwise drop or hike grid frequency, the turbines work as immense buffers. But wind and solar don’t power such heavy turbines to generate energy. It’s possible to make up for this with cutting-edge technology such as advanced inverters or synthetic inertia. But many solar and wind farms haven’t undergone these expensive upgrades. If a grid dominated by those two power sources gets off frequency, a blackout is more likely than in a system that relies on other energy sources.

Spain has been forcing its grid to rely more on unstable renewables. The country has pursued an aggressive green policy, including a commitment it adopted in 2021 to achieve “net zero” emissions by 2050. The share of solar and wind as a source of Spain’s electricity production went from less than 23% in 2015 to more than 43% last year. The government wants its total share of renewables to hit 81% in the next five years—even as it’s phasing out nuclear generation.

Just a week prior to the blackout, Spain bragged that for the first time, renewables delivered 100% of its electricity, though only for a period of minutes around 11:15 a.m. When it collapsed, the Iberian grid was powered by 74% renewable energy, with 55% coming from solar. It went down under the bright noon sun. When the Iberian grid frequency started faltering on April 28, the grid’s high proportion of solar and wind generation couldn’t stabilize it. This isn’t speculation; it’s physics. As the electricity supply across Spain collapsed, Portugal was pulled along, because the two countries are tightly interconnected through the Iberian electricity network.

Madrid had been warned. The parent company of Spain’s grid operator admitted in February: “The high penetration of renewable generation without the necessary technical capabilities in place to keep them operating properly in the event of a disturbance . . . can cause power generation outages, which could be severe.”

Yet the Spanish government is still in denial. Even while admitting that he didn’t know the April blackout’s cause, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez insisted that there was “no empirical evidence” that renewables were to blame and that Spain is “not going to deviate a single millimeter” from its green energy ambitions.

Unless the country—and its neighbors—are comfortable with an increased risk of blackouts, this will require expensive upgrades. A new Reuters report written with an eye to the Iberian blackout finds that for Europe as a whole this would cost trillions of dollars in infrastructure updates. It’s possible that European politicians can talk voters into eating that cost. It’ll be impossible for India or nations in Africa to follow suit.

That may be unwelcome news to Mr. Sánchez, but even a prime minister can’t overcome physics. Spain’s commitment to solar and wind is forcing the country onto an unreliable, costly, more black-out-prone system. A common-sense approach would hold off on a sprint for carbon reductions and instead put money toward research into actually reliable, affordable green energy.

Unfortunately for Spain and those countries unlucky enough to be nearby, the Spanish energy system—as one Spanish politician put it—“is being managed with an enormous ideological bias.”

Bjorn Lomborg is president of the Copenhagen Consensus, a visiting fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution and author of “Best Things First.”

Continue Reading

Trending

X