Business
In search for savings, Carney government should shrink—not just cap—the federal bureaucracy
From the Fraser Institute
By Jake Fuss and Grady Munro
The Carney government recently initiated a spending review intended to find “ambitious” internal savings before the 2025 fall budget. As promised in the government’s election platform, this review will likely involve capping the size of the federal public service to find savings. However, rather than simply capping it, the government should shrink the size of the bureaucracy while also revisiting compensation levels.
Specifically, the Carney government’s goal is to find a total of 15 per cent in savings among planned program spending—which in this context refers to less than half of total federal spending—over the next three years. This review has been initiated to offset part of the massive fiscal impact of recent policy announcements (notably, increasing defence spending), which could push this year’s deficit, according to one estimate, as high as $92.2 billion.
As part of the review, the Carney government will need to find savings from the federal public service. At the end of its term the Trudeau government faced considerable pressure to rein in the massive growth in the size of the federal public service that it had overseen, and again, in response to this pressure, the Carney government committed to capping the size of the federal public service in its election platform.
While capping the federal public service would be a step in the right direction, it does not go nearly far enough.
Instead, the federal government should shrink, not cap, the size of the bureaucracy. From 2015 to 2024, the federal government hired 110,738 new bureaucrats—a 43.1 per cent increase during the Trudeau government’s tenure. That’s nearly triple the rate of population growth (15.2 per cent) over the same period. And while the federal government did trim a little over 9,800 jobs in 2025, that represents quite modest improvement compared to the overall growth observed over the last decade.
Research shows that government workers enjoy wages that are approximately 5.5 per cent higher than private sector workers who perform similar work (after controlling for factors like sex, age, education, union status, etc.). Moreover, government workers enjoy more generous pensions and other non-wage benefits than comparable workers in the private sector. As such, there is a considerable fiscal burden attached to this explosion in the size of the federal bureaucracy.
Specifically, using data from the Parliamentary Budgetary Officer (PBO), we see that overall federal spending on employee compensation went from $39.1 billion in the 2014/15 fiscal year to $65.3 billion in 2023/24 (the latest year of available data). Adjusting for the effects of inflation, that’s a 33.3 per cent increase in how much the government spends on compensation. And remember, it’s ultimately Canadian taxpayers who foot the bill for a larger government.
Now, it would be one thing if Canadians were much better off due to this expansion in the size of the government, but it’s not clear that’s the case. For instance, from the start of 2015 to the start of 2025, gross domestic product (GDP) per person in Canada—a broad measure of individual living standards—grew an anemic 2.3 per cent (adjusting for inflation). In comparison, inflation-adjusted GDP per person in the United States grew by 15.6 per cent over that same period. Moreover, recent polling data shows nearly half (44 per cent) of Canadians feel they receive poor or very poor value from government services in exchange for their tax dollars.
The Carney government will need to target the federal public service in its search for “ambitious” savings. This is the right place to look, but to be ambitious the government should shrink—not just cap—the size of the bureaucracy while also revisiting its compensation.
Business
Liberal’s green spending putting Canada on a road to ruin
Once upon a time, Canadians were known for our prudence and good sense to such an extent that even our Liberal Party wore the mantle of fiscal responsibility.
Whatever else you might want to say about the party in the era of Jean Chrétien and Paul Martin, it recognized the country’s dire financial situation — back when The Wall Street Journal was referring to Canada as “an honorary member of the Third World” — as a national crisis.
And we (remember, I proudly served as Member of Parliament in that party for 18 years) made many hard decisions with an eye towards cutting spending, paying down the debt, and getting the country back on its feet.
Thankfully we succeeded.
Unfortunately, since then the party has been hijacked by a group of reckless leftwing fanatics — Justin Trudeau and his lackeys — who have spent the past several years feeding what we built into the woodchipper.
Mark Carney’s finally released budget is the perfect illustration of that.
The budget is a 400 page monument to deficit delusion that raises spending to $644.4 billion over five years — including $141.4 billion in new spending — while revenues limp to $583.3 billion, yielding a record (non-pandemic) $78.3 billion shortfall, an increase of 116% from last year.
This isn’t policy; it’s plunder. Interest payments alone devour $55.6 billion this year, projected to hit $76.1 billion by 2029-30 — more than the entire defence budget and rising faster than healthcare transfers.
We can’t discount the possibility that this will lead to a downgrade of our credit rating, which will significantly increase the cost of borrowing and of doing business more generally.
Numbers this big start to feel very abstract. But think of it this way: that is your money they’re spending. Ottawa’s wealth is made up entirely of our tax dollars. We’ve entrusted that money to them with the understanding that they will use it responsibly. In the decade these Liberals have been in power, they have betrayed that trust.
They’ve pursued policies which have made life in Canada increasingly unaffordable. For example, at the time of writing it takes 141 Canadian pennies (up from 139 a few days ago) to buy one U.S. dollar, in which all of our commodities are priced. Well, that’s .25 cents per litre of gasoline. Imagine what that’s going to do to the price of heating, of groceries, of the various other commodities which we consume.
And this budget demonstrates that the Carney era will be more of the same.
Of course, the Elbows Up crowd are saying the opposite — that this shows how fiscally responsible Mark Carney is, unlike his predecessor. (Never mind that they also publicly supported everything that Trudeau did when he was in government.) They claim that Carney shows that he’s more open to oil and gas than Trudeau was.
Don’t believe it.
The oil and gas sector does get a half-hearted nod in the budget with, for instance, a conditional pathway to repeal the emissions cap. But those conditions are important. Repeal is tied to the effectiveness of Carney’s beloved industrial carbon tax. If that newly super-charged carbon tax, which continues to make our lives more expensive, leads to government-set emissions reductions benchmarks being met, then Ottawa might — might — scrap the emissions.
Meanwhile, the budget doubles down on the Trudeau government’s methane emissions regulations. It merely loosens the provisions of the outrageous Bill C-59, an act which should have been scrapped in its entirety. And it leaves in place the Trudeaupian “green” super structure, which has resource sector investment, and any business that can manage it, fleeing to the U.S.
In these perilous times, with Canada teetering on the brink of recession, a responsible government would be cutting spending and getting out of the way of our most productive sectors, especially oil and gas — the backbone of our economy.
It would be repealing the BC tanker ban and Bill C-69, the “no more pipelines act,” so that our natural resources could better generate revenue on the international market and bring down energy rates at home.
It would quit wasting millions on Electric Vehicle charging stations; mandating that all Canadians buy EVs, even with their elevated cost; and pressuring automakers to manufacture Electric Vehicles, regardless of demand, and even as they keep closing up shop and heading south.
But in this budget the Liberals are going the opposite direction. Spend more. Tax more. Leave the basic Net-Zero framework in place. Rearrange the deck chairs on the Titanic.
They’re gambling tomorrow’s prosperity on yesterday’s green dogma, And every grocery run, every gas fill-up, every mortgage payment will serve as a daily reminder that we are the ones footing the bill.
Once upon a time, the Liberals knew better. We made the hard decisions and got the country back on its feet. Nowadays, not so much.
Business
Carney doubles down on NET ZERO
If you only listened to the mainstream media, you would think Justin Trudeau’s carbon tax is long gone. But the Liberal government’s latest budget actually doubled down on the industrial carbon tax.
While the consumer carbon tax may be paused, the industrial carbon tax punishes industry for “emitting” pollution. It’s only a matter of time before companies either pass the cost of the carbon tax to consumers or move to a country without a carbon tax.
Dan McTeague explains how Prime Minister Carney is doubling down on net zero scams.
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