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Canada can’t allow so many people to say ‘no’ to energy projects

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From the Fraser Institute

By Alex Whalen and Matthew D. Mitchell

In a nod to the importance of the energy industry, both the Liberals and Conservatives made promises in the recent election to cut red tape and speed the approval of major energy projects. To that end, the Carney government recently enacted Bill C-5, which gives the prime minister sweeping powers to override existing laws and regulations that might stand in the way of new projects.

While Prime Minister Carney, who continues to say he wants Canada to become an “energy superpower,” has properly diagnosed the problem (i.e. red tape in the approval process), but Bill C-5 is not the solution.

Let’s begin with the problem. In terms of living standards, despite its abundant natural resources and well-educated workforce, Canada has failed to keep up with its peer countries, in part because business investment has collapsed over the past decade due to bad policy including high regulatory burdens in the energy sector.

These regulatory burdens are steep because too many entities have the power to say no to new projects. It’s a tragedy of the anticommons. (The more familiar “tragedy of the commons” arises when too many people can access a commonly owned resource such as a fishery or a forest. Too much access to common resources can lead to overexploitation.)

In contrast, a tragedy of the anticommons arises when too many people can stop others from accessing a resource such as a market. With too many people wielding veto power, resources may be underutilized.

Across Canada, a long list of natural resource projects remain stalled or cancelled. They include pipelines headed west and east, natural gas developments, export terminals and mining opportunities. Again, the problem is that too many groups can say no and scuttle any one project.

For example, the Energy East pipeline. The idea of a west-east pipeline rose to prominence in the early 2010s after the U.S. government put the Keystone XL pipeline on hold. Rather than selling oil at a discount to the Americans, the thought was that oil-producing western provinces could ship oil across the country by pipeline to refineries on the east coast, which are currently forced to import most of their oil from foreign countries due to a lack of pipeline and rail capacity in that part of Canada. But while a west-east pipeline seemed like a no-brainer, several opponents including First Nations and environmental groups urged the federal government and several provincial governments to kill the project. In the midst of this uncertainty, the TransCanada Corporation cancelled the project in 2017.

Fast-forward to today. As Trump’s trade war threatens Canada’s ability to rely on U.S. energy products including oil, the idea of reviving Energy East may be gaining steam. But proponents must first eliminate the tragedy of the anticommons that killed the project eight years ago.

Here’s how the tragedy unfolds. For starters, the project’s proponents must satisfy conditions of the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada, the federal government’s energy regulator, unless the government uses Bill C-5 to override those conditions. The last time around (under the former National Energy Board), the process was fraught with setbacks.

Second, assuming the project gets past the federal review, it may or may not need the approval of many Indigenous groups. While the Supreme Court has repeatedly said the “duty to consult” these groups does not give them a veto, leading scholars such as Tom Flanagan argue that the power conferred on these groups to delay and create uncertainty creates an effective veto. With Energy East set to cross the traditional territories of approximately 180 different Indigenous groups, any approval process requiring unanimity will kill the project. The Trudeau government’s decision to enshrine the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP) into Canadian law in 2021 (and a later federal court decision to apply UNDRIP to the interpretation of Indigenous rights vis-a-vis the Charter of Rights and Freedoms) further complicate the matter.

Third, in addition to the official federal regulatory process and Indigenous consultation, provinces, municipalities and vocal environmental groups can each apply their own brakes.

Writing in the industry publication Energy Regulation Quarterly, researcher Ron Wallace summarized the situation: “When a federation dissolves into narrow definitions of federal, provincial and local government interests, the number of hands in the pot increases the complexity of issues for everyone… The result is a complex, often contradictory and competing web of legislative and regulatory tools whose resolution cannot reasonably be achieved by continuous references to federal courts.”

In a free and democratic society, each of these stakeholders has the right to voice their concerns. But to the extent that these voices become vetoes, they represent an impossible burden for any project to overcome.

Unfortunately, Bill C-5 doesn’t address this problem. Instead of eliminating all veto points, it allows the prime minister to pick and choose which veto points to override and which to enforce. This level of unilateral power courts favouritism and corruption.

If Canada is to truly become an energy superpower it must solve the tragedy of the anticommons. And to do that, it must eliminate all overlapping veto points for all projects. This will be a massive task requiring stern political will. But Canada’s future relies on its ability to produce and transport its own energy.

Alex Whalen

Director, Atlantic Canada Prosperity, Fraser Institute
matthew-mitchell.jpg

Matthew D. Mitchell

Senior Fellow in the Centre for Human Freedom, Fraser Institute

Automotive

Elon Musk Poised To Become World’s First Trillionaire After Shareholder Vote

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From the Daily Caller News Foundation

By Mariane Angela

Tesla shareholders voted Thursday to approve an enormous compensation package that could make Elon Musk the world’s first trillionaire.

At Tesla’s Austin headquarters, investors backed Musk’s 12-step plan that ties his potential trillion-dollar payout to a series of aggressive financial and operational milestones, including raising the company’s valuation from roughly $1.4 trillion to $8.5 trillion and selling one million humanoid robots within a decade. Musk hailed the outcome as a turning point for Tesla’s future.

“What we’re about to embark upon is not merely a new chapter of the future of Tesla but a whole new book,” Musk said, as The New York Times reported.

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The decision cements investor confidence in Musk’s “moonshot” management style and reinforces the belief that Tesla’s success depends heavily on its founder and his leadership.

“Those who claim the plan is ‘too large’ ignore the scale of ambition that has historically defined Tesla’s trajectory,” the Florida State Board of Administration said in a securities filing describing why it voted for Mr. Musk’s pay plan. “A company that went from near bankruptcy to global leadership in E.V.s and clean energy under similar frameworks has earned the right to use incentive models that reward moonshot performance.”

Investors like Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood defended Tesla’s decision, saying the plan aligns shareholder rewards with company performance.

“I do not understand why investors are voting against Elon’s pay package when they and their clients would benefit enormously if he and his incredible team meet such high goals,” Wood wrote on X.

Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, Norges Bank Investment Management — one of Tesla’s largest shareholders — broke ranks, however, and voted against the pay plan, saying that the package was excessive.

“While we appreciate the significant value created under Mr. Musk’s visionary role, we are concerned about the total size of the award, dilution, and lack of mitigation of key person risk,” the firm said.

The vote comes months after Musk wrapped up his short-lived government role under President Donald Trump. In February, Musk and his Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) team sparked a firestorm when they announced plans to eliminate the U.S. Agency for International Development, drawing backlash from Democrats and prompting protests targeting Musk and his companies, including Tesla.

Back in May, Musk announced that his “scheduled time” leading DOGE had ended.

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Business

Carney’s Deficit Numbers Deserve Scrutiny After Trudeau’s Forecasting Failures

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From the Frontier Centre for Public Policy

By Conrad Eder

Frontier Centre for Public Policy study reveals a decade of inflated Liberal forecasts—a track record that casts a long shadow over Carney’s first budget

The Frontier Centre for Public Policy has released a major new study revealing that the Trudeau government’s federal budget forecasts from 2016 to 2025 were consistently inaccurate and biased — a record that casts serious doubt on the projections in Prime Minister Mark Carney’s first budget.

Carney’s 2025–26 federal budget forecasts a $78.3-billion deficit — twice the size projected last year and four times what was forecast in Budget 2022. But if recent history is any guide, Canadians have good reason to question whether even this ballooning deficit reflects fiscal reality.

The 4,000-word study, Measuring Federal Budgetary Balance Forecasting Accuracy and Bias, by Frontier Centre policy analyst Conrad Eder, finds that forecast accuracy collapsed after the Trudeau government took office:

  • Current-year forecasts were off by an average of $22.9 billion, or one per cent of GDP.
  • Four-year forecasts missed the mark by an average of $94.4 billion, or four per cent of GDP.
  • Long-term projections consistently overstated Canada’s fiscal health, showing a clear optimism bias.

Eder’s analysis shows that every three- and four-year forecast under Trudeau predicted a stronger financial position than what actually occurred, masking the true scale of deficits and debt accumulation. The study concludes that this reflects a systemic optimism bias, likely rooted in political incentives: short-term optics with no regard to long-term consequences.

“With Prime Minister Carney now setting Canada’s fiscal direction, it’s critical to assess his projections in light of this track record,” said Eder. “The pattern of bias and inaccuracy under previous Liberal governments gives reason to doubt the credibility of claims that deficits will shrink over time. Canadians deserve fiscal forecasts that are credible and transparent — not political messaging disguised as economic planning.”

The study warns that persistent optimism bias erodes fiscal accountability, weakens public trust and limits citizens’ ability to hold government to account — a threat to both economic sustainability and democratic transparency.

Click here to download the full study.

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