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The world needs energy. Canada has the supply. Other nations eagerly fill the demand.

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From the Fraser Institute

By Jock Finlayson

Spend time on the websites of Canada’s leading environmental non-governmental organizations (ENGOs) and you will see repeated references to the “energy transition”—the shift away from fossil-fuel energy sources to no- and low-carbon alternatives, to help lower the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that lie behind concerns over climate change.

While most countries—albeit not Donald Trump’s America—notionally support the 2015 Paris Agreement goal to limit global temperature increases to between 1.5 and 2.0 degrees centigrade, few are on track to slash their emissions sufficiently to reach that target. Indeed, emissions are still climbing, mainly due to the ravenous appetite for energy in many emerging economies.

Notwithstanding decades of climate change conferences, humanity remains firmly wedded to fossil fuels, which currently supply about four-fifths of global primary energy demand—a share that has fallen only slightly since the late-1990s. Moreover, as Canadian energy scholar Vaclav Smil recently noted, the absolute quantity of fossil fuels consumed by the world has risen by more than half since 1997.

Stupendous amounts of energy are needed to provide electrical power, for heating and cooling, transportation and agriculture, and to support many industrial processes. Today, fossil fuels are ubiquitous in all these areas. Only in the case of electricity have we observed a quantitatively significant move away from fossil fuel energy.

A glance at recent energy supply/demand projections highlights the dominant role of fossil fuels in the world’s energy system. The latest global outlook from multinational giant Shell is a good example.

According to Shell’s 2025 baseline forecast, worldwide demand for energy “will continue to increase as the global population grows and living standards rise.” By 2050, energy demand “could be nearly a quarter higher than in 2024 depending on economic growth rates, energy efficiency gains and the pace of electrification.”

Global oil demand is expected by grow by another 3-5 million barrels per day into the mid-2030s, confounding earlier forecasts of imminent “peak oil” consumption. Shell notes that “petroleum fuels remain affordable and convenient in transport, particularly in long-distance haulage, aviation and marine.” Oil also remains crucial to the petrochemicals sector.

Meanwhile, natural gas use is set to increase into the 2040s at least, with liquefied natural gas (LNG) representing a steadily rising share of the total natural gas market. Natural gas is a principal source of “industrial heat, fuel for power generation and heat for buildings.” It’s also critical to “helping the world move away from coal.”

Significant investments in oil and gas exploration, production, infrastructure and downstream processing “will be required for decades to come.” So much for the argument of Canadian environmental activists that it’s time to starve the oil and gas business of capital.

What are the implications of all of this for Canada?

We are endowed with an almost unmatched abundance of energy riches, notably the world’s third-largest oil reserves and vast amounts of natural gas. Canada is also a global leader in producing electricity from carbon-free sources. And energy plays an outsized role in our economy, directly accounting for one-tenth of GDP and supplying roughly a quarter of the country’s merchandise exports.

As a major energy producer, Canada has well-respected environmental standards and rigorous project approval and permitting processes. These are a long-term competitive advantage.

Even as efforts continue to reduce the carbon intensity of energy use and expand renewable power capacity, a growing world will need prodigious quantities of energy including oil and gas. Canada is well-placed to help meet it.

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What Do Loyalty Rewards Programs Cost Us?

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You’ve certainly been asked (begged!) to join up for at least one loyalty “points” program – like PC Optimum, Aeroplan, or Hilton Honors – over the years. And the odds are that you’re currently signed up for at least one of them. In fact, the average person apparently belongs to at no less than 14 programs. Although, ironically, you’ll need to sign up to an online equivalent of a loyalty program to read the source for that number.

Well all that warm, fuzzy “belonging” comes with some serious down sides. Let’s see how much they might cost us.

To be sure, there’s real money involved here. Canadians redeem at least two billion dollars in program rewards each year, and payouts will often represent between one and ten percent of the original purchase value.

At the same time, it’s estimated that there could be tens of billions of unredeemed dollars due to expirations, shifting program terms, and simple neglect. So getting your goodies isn’t automatic.

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Just why do consumer-facing corporations agree to give away so much money in the fist place?

As you probably already know, it’s about your data. Businesses are willing to pay cold, hard cash in exchange for detailed descriptions of your age, sex, ethnicity, wealth, location, employment status, hobbies, preferences, medical conditions, political leanings, and, of course, shopping habits.

Don’t believe it works? So then why, after all these years, are points programs still giving away billions of dollars?

Every time you participate in such a program, the data associated with that activity will be collected and aggregated along with everything else known about you. It’s more than likely that points-based data is being combined with everything connected to your mobile phone account, email addresses, credit cards, provincial health card, and – possibly – your Social Insurance number. The depth and accuracy of your digital profile improves daily.

What happens to all that data? A lot of it is shared with – or sold to – partners or affiliates for marketing purposes. Some of it is accidentally (or intentionally) leaked to organized criminal gangs driving call center-related scams. But it’s all about getting to know you better in ways that maximize someone’s profits.

One truly scary way this data is used involves surveillance pricing (also known as price discrimination) – particularly as it’s described in a recent post by Professor Sylvain Charlebois.

The idea is that retailers will use your digital profile to adjust the prices you pay at the cash register or when you’re shopping online. The more loyal you are as a customer, the more you’ll pay. That’s because regular (“loyal”) customers are already reliable revenue sources. Companies don’t need to spend anything to build a relationship with you. But they’re more than willing to give up a few percentage points to gain new friends.

I’m not talking about the kind of price discrimination that might lead to higher prices for sales in, say, urban locations to account for higher real estate and transportation costs. Those are just normal business decisions.

What Professor Charlebois described is two customers paying different prices for the same items in the same stores. In fact, a recent Consumer Reports experiment in the U.S. involving 437 shoppers in four cities found the practice to be quite common.

But the nasty bit here is that there’s growing evidence that retailers are using surveillance pricing in grocery stores for basic food items. Extrapolating from the Consumer Reports study, such pricing could be adding $1,200 annually to a typical family’s spending on basic groceries.

I’m not sure what the solution is. It’s way too late to “unenroll” from our loyalty accounts. And government intervention would probably just end up making things worse.

But perhaps getting the word out about what’s happening could spark justified mistrust in the big retailers. No retailer enjoys dealing with grumpy customers.

Be grumpy.

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Largest fraud in US history? Independent Journalist visits numerous daycare centres with no children, revealing massive scam

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A young journalist has uncovered perhaps the largest fraud scheme in US history. 

He certainly isn’t a polished reporter with many years of experience, but 23 year old independent journalist Nick Shirley seems to be getting the job done. Shirley has released an incredible video which appears to outline fraud after fraud after fraud in what appears to be a massive taxpayer funded scheme involving up to $9 Billion Dollars.

In one day of traveling around Minneapolis-St. Paul, Shirley appears to uncover over $100 million in fraudulent operations.

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