Business
Sobering reality check – Trump is right: Canada’s economy can’t survive a fair trade agreement with the US

From LifeSiteNews
Canada’s economy has evolved to completely depend upon the good graces of the USA. If President Trump targets China with punitive tariffs, the Canadian economy will be collaterally damaged.
The current Canadian prime minister is genuinely a walking meme of a Canadian prime minister parody.
During his remarks to Parliament last Thursday, Prime Minister Carney waxed gleefully about the U.S. federal trade court ruling against President Trump’s tariffs, just moments before the federal appeals court stayed the opinion of the lower court. It’s a little funny.
Carney doesn’t seem to recognize the reality of the economic landscape before him. He complains about blocked access to the U.S. consumer base with a level of entitlement that’s genuinely humorous. Meanwhile, the Canadian economy around him is collapsing:
Background
Following the 2024 presidential election, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau traveled to Mar-a-Lago and said if President Trump were to make the Canadian government face reciprocal tariffs, open the USMCA trade agreements to force reciprocity, and/or balance economic relations on non-tariff issues, then Canada would collapse upon itself economically and cease to exist. In essence, in addition to the NATO defense shortfall, Canada cannot survive as a free and independent North American nation, without receiving all the one-way benefits from the U.S. economy.
To wit, President Trump then said, if Canada cannot survive in a balanced rules environment, including putting together its own military and defenses and meeting its NATO obligations, then Canada should become the 51st U.S state.
It was following this meeting that Trump started emphasizing this point and shocking everyone in the process. However, in the emotional reaction to Trump’s statements, no-one looked at the core issues outlined by Trudeau that framed Trump’s opinion.
Representing Canada, Trudeau was not expressing an unwillingness to comply with fairness and reciprocity in trade with the U.S., what Trudeau was expressing was an inability to comply.
Quite simply, after decades of shifting priorities, Canada no longer has the internal economic capability to comply with a fair-trade agreement (FTA). Trudeau was not lying, and Trump understood the argument, hence his 51st state remarks.
This is where it becomes important to understand the core reason why Trump, Ross, and Lighthizer (2017) did not structurally want to replace the NAFTA agreement with another trilateral trade deal. Mexico and Canada are completely different as it pertains to trade with the U.S. President Trump would rather have two separate bilateral agreements; one for Mexico and one for Canada.
Firstly, Canada is a NATO partner, Mexico is not. As Trump affirmed to Trudeau during the meeting, it would be unfair of Trump to discuss NATO funding with the European Union, while Canada is one of the worst offenders. Trump is leveraging favorable trade terms and tariff relief with the EU member states, as a carrot to get them into compliance with the 2.0 percent to 2.5 percent spending requirement for their military.
If NATO member states contribute more to their own defense, the U.S. can pull back spending and save Americans money. However, Canada is currently 26th in NATO funding, spending only 1.37 percent of its GDP on defense.
Canada would have to spend at least another $15 billion/yr on its defense programs in order to reach 2.0 percent. Trudeau told Trump that was an impossible goal given the nature of the Canadian political system, and the current size of its economy ($2.25 trillion).
Secondly, over the last 40 years Canada has deindustrialized its economy, Mexico has not. As the progressive political ideology of its politicians took control of Canada policy, the “climate change” agenda and “green” economy became the focus. The dirty industrialized systems were not compliant with the goals of the Canadian policy makers.
The dirty mining sector (coal, coking coal, ore) no longer exists at scale to support self-sufficient manufacturing. The dirty oil refineries do not exist to refine the crude oil they extract. Large industrial heavy industry no longer exists at a scale needed to be self-sufficient.
Instead, Canada purchases forged and rolled steel component parts from overseas (mostly China). Making the issue more challenging, Canada doesn’t even have enough people skilled to do the dirty jobs within the heavy manufacturing; they would need a national apprenticeship program. Again, all points raised by Trudeau to explain why bilateral trade compliance was impossible.
Thirdly, the trade between Canada/U.S. and Mexico/U.S. is entirely different. The main imports from Canada are energy, lumber, and raw materials. The main imports from Mexico are agriculture, cars, and finished industrial goods. Mexico refines its own oil; Canada ships its oil to the U.S. for refining. There are obviously some similar products from Mexico and Canada, but for the most part there is a big difference.
Fourth, U.S. banks are allowed to operate in Mexico, but U.S. banks are not allowed to operate in Canada. U.S. media organizations are allowed to broadcast in Mexico, but U.S. media organizations are regulated and not permitted to broadcast in Canada. The Canadian government has strong regulations and restrictions on information and intellectual property.
All of these points of difference highlight why a trilateral trade agreement like NAFTA and the USMCA just don’t work out for the U.S.
Additionally, if President Trump levies a tariff on Chinese imports, it hits Canada much harder than Mexico because Canada has deindustrialized and now imports from China to assemble into finished goods destined to the U.S. In a very direct way Canada is a passthrough for Chinese products. Canada is now more of an assembly economy, not a dirty job manufacturing economy.
When Trudeau outlines the inability of Canada to agree to trade terms, simply because his country no longer has the capability of adhering to those trade terms, a frustrated President Trump says, “then become a state.”
There is no option to remain taking advantage of the U.S. on this level, and things are only getting worse. Thus, the point of irreconcilable conflict is identified.
Because the Canadian government became so dependent on its role as an assembly economy, they enmeshed with China in a way that made them dependent. The political issues of Chinese influence within Canada are a direct result of this dynamic. In fact, China was the big winner from the outcome of the recent election because all of their investments into Canada are grounded on retaining Liberal government dependency.
If Trump targets China with punitive tariffs, the Canadian economy will be collaterally damaged. Canada will end up paying a tariff rate because they use cheap Chinese component parts in their finished goods. Canada has structurally designed its economy to do this over multiple years.
Understanding the unique nature of the Canadian economic conundrum, the only way to address the issue is to break out the USMCA into two separate bilateral trade agreements. One set of trade terms for Mexico that leverages border security, and one set of trade terms for Canada that leverages NATO security and border security. The only substantive similarity between them will be in the auto and agriculture sector.
If you think the multinational corporations, political leftists, and UniParty Republicans in the U.S. are strongly opposing Trump now, just wait until later this year when the Trump administration proposes the elimination of the trilateral North American trade agreement, USMCA.
According to the World Bank, the U.S. economy is $27.3 trillion. Canada is $2.1 trillion. Do the math!
From Politico:
The expectation, according to two people close to the White House, is that negotiations to permanently remove the threat of painful 25 percent tariffs on Canada – which Trump mostly rolled back earlier [in April] – and other sector-specific tariffs are likely to be folded into the upcoming review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. That review is due in 2026, but the Trump administration wants to accelerate to this calendar year.
“It makes sense to separate out Canada and Mexico from the rest because they are going to want to redo the USMCA,” said one of the people close to the White House, who were granted anonymity to discuss ongoing deliberations. “They’re going to have separate tariffs that focus specifically on Mexico and Canada, and they’re going to take some actions to squeeze them a little bit.”
Reprinted with permission from Conservative Treehouse.
Business
Carney’s Energy Mirage: Why the Prospects of Economic Recovery Remain Bleak

By Gwyn Morgan
Gwyn Morgan argues that Mark Carney, despite his polished image and rhetorical shift on energy, remains ideologically aligned with the Trudeau-era net-zero agenda that stifled Canada’s energy sector and economic growth. Morgan contends that without removing emissions caps and embracing real infrastructure investment, Canada’s recovery will remain a mirage — not a reality.
Pete Townshend’s famous lyrics, “Meet the new boss / Same as the old boss,” aptly describe Canada’s new prime minister. Touted as a fresh start after the Justin Trudeau years, Mark Carney has promised to turn Canada into a “clean and conventional energy superpower.” But despite the lovey-dovey atmosphere at Carney’s recent meeting with Canada’s premiers, Canadians should not be fooled. His sudden apparent openness to new energy pipelines masks a deeper continuity, in my opinion: Carney remains just as ideologically committed to net-zero emissions.
Carney’s carefully choreographed scrapping of the consumer carbon tax before April’s election helped reduce gasoline prices and burnished his centrist image. In fact, he simply moved Canada’s carbon taxes “upstream”, onto manufacturers and producers, where they can’t be seen by voters. Those taxes will, of course, be largely passed back onto consumers in the form of higher prices for virtually everything. Many consumers will blame “greedy” businesses rather than the real villain, even as more and more Canadian companies and projects are rendered uncompetitive, leading to further reductions in capital investment, closing of beleaguered factories and facilities, and lost jobs.
This sleight-of-hand is hardly surprising. Carney spent years abroad in a career combining finance and eco-zealotry, co-founding the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ) and serving as the UN’s Special Envoy for Climate Action and Finance. Both roles centred on pressuring institutions to stop investing in carbon-intensive industries – foremost among them oil and natural gas. Now, he speaks vaguely of boosting energy production while pledging to maintain Trudeau’s oil and natural gas emissions cap – a contradiction that renders new pipeline capacity moot.
Canada doesn’t need a rhetorical energy superpower. It needs real growth. Our economy has just endured a lost decade of sluggish overall growth sustained mainly by a surging population, declining per-capita GDP and a doubling of the national debt. A genuine recovery requires the kind of private-sector capital investment and energy infrastructure that Trudeau suppressed. That means lifting the emissions cap, clearing regulatory bottlenecks and building pipelines that connect our resources to global markets.
We can’t afford not to do this. The oil and natural gas industry’s “extraction” activities contribute $70 billion annually to Canada’s GDP; surrounding value-added activities add tens of billions more. The industry generates $35 billion in annual royalties and supports 900,000 direct and indirect jobs. Oil and natural gas also form the backbone of Canada’s export economy, representing nearly $140 billion per year, or about 20 percent of our balance of trade.
Yet Quebec still imports oil from Algeria, Saudi Arabia and Nigeria because Ottawa won’t push for a pipeline connecting western Canada’s producing fields to Quebec and the Maritimes. Reviving the cancelled Energy East pipeline would overcome this absurdity and give Canadian crude access to European consuming markets.
Carney has hinted at supporting such a project but refuses to address the elephant in the room: without scrapping the emissions cap, there won’t be enough production growth to justify new infrastructure. So pipeline CEOs shouldn’t start ordering steel pipe or lining up construction crews just yet.
I continue to believe that Carney remains beholden to the same global green orthodoxy that inspired Trudeau’s decade of economic sabotage. While the United States shifts course on climate policy, pulling out of the Paris Accord, abandoning EV mandates and even investigating GFANZ itself, Canada is led by a man at the centre of those systems. Carney’s internationalist career and personal life – complete with multiple citizenships and a spouse known for environmental activism – underscore how far removed he is from ordinary Canadians.
Carney’s version of “clean energy” also reveals his bias. Despite the fact that 82 percent of Canada’s electricity already comes from non-greenhouse-gas-emitting sources like hydro and nuclear, Carney seems fixated on wind and solar-generated power. These options are less reliable and more expensive – though more ideologically fashionable. To climate zealots, not all zero-emission energy is created equal.
Even now, after all the damage that’s been done, Canada has the potential to resume a path to prosperity. We are blessed with vast natural resources and skilled workers. But no economy can thrive under perpetual policy uncertainty, regulatory obstruction and ideological hostility to its core industries. Energy projects worth an estimated $500 billion were blocked during the Trudeau years. That capital won’t return unless there is clarity and confidence in the government’s direction.
Some optimists argue that Carney is ultimately a political opportunist who may shift pragmatically to boost the economy. But those of us who have seen this movie before are sceptical. During my time as a CEO in the oil and natural gas sector, I witnessed Justin’s father Pierre Trudeau try to dismantle our industry under the guise of progress. Carney, despite or perhaps because of his polish, may be the most dangerous of the three.
The original, full-length version of this article was recently published in C2C Journal.
Gwyn Morgan is a retired business leader who was a director of five global corporations.
Business
Meta inks 20 year deal for nuclear power

MxM News
Quick Hit:
Meta has signed a 20-year agreement to purchase nuclear energy from Constellation Energy’s Clinton Clean Energy Center in Illinois. The deal not only saves a struggling nuclear facility from potential shutdown but also signals Meta’s entry into the nuclear space—a direction long championed by President Donald Trump as part of his ambitious pro-American energy strategy. While big tech often aligns itself with global climate pledges, Meta’s move reveals a rare alignment with a policy rooted in national energy security and self-sufficiency.
Key Details:
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Meta will purchase 1.1 gigawatts of nuclear energy annually starting in 2027, enough to power a mid-sized city.
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The Clinton Clean Energy Center’s future was in jeopardy until this deal; Meta’s backing enables continued operation and potential expansion.
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President Trump has signed executive orders aiming to quadruple U.S. nuclear output by 2050, a vision that aligns with Meta’s pivot to nuclear energy.
Diving Deeper:
In a major shift, Meta has inked a two-decade-long deal to buy all the nuclear energy output from Constellation Energy’s Clinton Clean Energy Center. This move secures approximately 1.1 gigawatts of carbon-free power starting in 2027—effectively salvaging a plant that had been teetering on the brink of early closure due to the expiration of state-backed subsidies.
Without Meta’s commitment, the Clinton facility, which has relied on zero-emission credits since 2017, would likely have shut down. Instead, the plant now faces a renewed lease on life and even a proposed expansion of its output by 30 megawatts. While the energy will feed into the regional grid and not directly power Meta’s servers, the tech firm says this still furthers its broader goal of sourcing 100% clean electricity.
Meta’s head of global energy, Urvi Parekh, acknowledged the broader significance of the decision. “We are proud to help keep the Clinton plant operating for years to come and demonstrate that this plant is an important piece to strengthening American leadership in energy,” she said.
That sentiment aligns closely with the vision President Donald Trump outlined in a recent series of executive orders aimed at resurrecting U.S. nuclear dominance. Trump’s directives target a sweeping overhaul of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, investment in small modular reactors (SMRs), and domestic sourcing of nuclear fuel—policies designed to reverse decades of regulatory stagnation and reliance on foreign energy.
The Meta-Constellation agreement is part of a broader trend among tech titans leaning into nuclear energy. Google has pledged to fund three new nuclear sites and partnered with SMR developer Kairos Power. Amazon, for its part, has invested more than $500 million into SMR projects and bought a nuclear-powered data center campus in March.
However, Meta’s deal with Constellation is its first concrete nuclear investment, representing not just a bet on energy security but also a nod to the Trump administration’s approach. President Trump has repeatedly emphasized the role nuclear must play if America is to achieve true energy independence and withstand the geopolitical threats posed by nations like China, Russia, and Iran.
Constellation CEO Joe Dominguez noted that “supporting the relicensing and expansion of existing plants is just as impactful as finding new sources of energy.” That philosophy mirrors the Trump energy doctrine—pragmatic, forward-looking, and unapologetically pro-American.
Notably, Constellation is also weighing a proposal to build an SMR at the Clinton site, pending regulatory approval. It’s a bold prospect that could align seamlessly with President Trump’s executive mandates to cut red tape and accelerate innovation in the nuclear space.
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