Business
Oil producers brace for market share battle

This article supplied by Troy Media.
By Rashid Husain Syed
OPEC+ launches a crude oil price war, and everyone will feel the pain
The gloves are off. OPEC+—the alliance of major oil producing countries led by Saudi Arabia and Russia —has abandoned its price-support strategy. Instead, it’s flooding the market to punish overproducers and claw back market share, regardless of the consequences.
For three consecutive months, despite falling prices, OPEC+ has ramped up output, bringing back 1.37 million barrels per day to the market. Until recently, it had withheld 5.3 million barrels per day—about five per cent of global supply—to stabilize prices. But that restraint is vanishing fast. The group is now rolling back voluntary cuts at high speed, opening the taps just as global markets are showing signs of oversupply.
Geopolitical developments are adding fuel to the fire. A possible breakthrough between Iran and the United States could put even more crude back into circulation. Meanwhile, Russia continues to find ways to move oil despite sanctions.
On top of that, U.S. production hit an all-time high in March at 13.499 million barrels per day, surpassing the previous record set just months earlier. Shale producers in the Permian and Gulf Coast regions continue to churn out oil, even as drilling slows elsewhere.
This rising tide of supply spells trouble for all producers, but it presents a unique challenge for jurisdictions like Canada, where oil sands production is a major driver of jobs, investment and government revenue.
Oil sands projects require massive upfront capital and long lead times, making new investments harder to justify in a weak price environment. Yet once built, these operations are remarkably resilient, with low ongoing costs and long production lifespans.
Major Canadian producers like Canadian Natural Resources can remain profitable even when West Texas Intermediate—a key oil price benchmark—falls into the low-to-mid US$40s. That long-term efficiency offers a structural advantage over U.S. shale, which depends on constant reinvestment. Still, prolonged low prices can stall future oil sands development and weigh on government budgets.
Meanwhile, demand is faltering. U.S. consumption dropped to its lowest level in a year, with total petroleum products supplied falling to 19.95 million barrels per day, a red ag for refiners heading into the crucial summer driving season.
Hopes that India might offset global demand weakness are fading. While its economy is growing, “India’s volumes aren’t anywhere near the Chinese boom in consumption that began in the early 2000s,” wrote Tsvetana Paraskova in Oilprice.com. Those who expected India to be the “next China” are in for disappointment. Between 2000 and 2025, Chinese crude demand growth averaged 485,000 barrels per day, noted Bloomberg opinion columnist Javier Blas. In contrast, India’s crude demand growth is just around 200,000 barrels per day annually, less than half of China’s booming growth during the 2000s and 2010s.
This growing mismatch between surging supply and tepid demand is already taking its toll. Brent price forecasts have been revised downward for the third straight month. Analysts now expect it to average just US$66.98 in 2025. U.S. crude is forecast to average US$63.35. These are bleak numbers for producers across the board.
As Rystad Energy’s Jorge Leon puts it, “Three strikes from OPEC+, and none were softballs. May warned, June confirmed, and July fires a shot across the bow.” The message is clear: OPEC+ is done playing nice.
This is a direct challenge to North American shale and high-cost producers like Canada. With the market saturated and demand falling short, the price pressure is mounting. Unless producers adapt quickly, they’re in for a punishing stretch.
The global oil market is being reshaped in real time, and the consequences will be felt in boardrooms and across national economies.
Toronto-based Rashid Husain Syed is a highly regarded analyst specializing in energy and politics, particularly in the Middle East. In addition to his contributions to local and international newspapers, Rashid frequently lends his expertise as a speaker at global conferences. Organizations such as the Department of Energy in Washington and the International Energy Agency in Paris have sought his insights on global energy matters.
Troy Media empowers Canadian community news outlets by providing independent, insightful analysis and commentary. Our mission is to support local media in helping Canadians stay informed and engaged by delivering reliable content that strengthens community connections and deepens understanding across the country.
Business
Meta inks 20 year deal for nuclear power

MxM News
Quick Hit:
Meta has signed a 20-year agreement to purchase nuclear energy from Constellation Energy’s Clinton Clean Energy Center in Illinois. The deal not only saves a struggling nuclear facility from potential shutdown but also signals Meta’s entry into the nuclear space—a direction long championed by President Donald Trump as part of his ambitious pro-American energy strategy. While big tech often aligns itself with global climate pledges, Meta’s move reveals a rare alignment with a policy rooted in national energy security and self-sufficiency.
Key Details:
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Meta will purchase 1.1 gigawatts of nuclear energy annually starting in 2027, enough to power a mid-sized city.
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The Clinton Clean Energy Center’s future was in jeopardy until this deal; Meta’s backing enables continued operation and potential expansion.
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President Trump has signed executive orders aiming to quadruple U.S. nuclear output by 2050, a vision that aligns with Meta’s pivot to nuclear energy.
Diving Deeper:
In a major shift, Meta has inked a two-decade-long deal to buy all the nuclear energy output from Constellation Energy’s Clinton Clean Energy Center. This move secures approximately 1.1 gigawatts of carbon-free power starting in 2027—effectively salvaging a plant that had been teetering on the brink of early closure due to the expiration of state-backed subsidies.
Without Meta’s commitment, the Clinton facility, which has relied on zero-emission credits since 2017, would likely have shut down. Instead, the plant now faces a renewed lease on life and even a proposed expansion of its output by 30 megawatts. While the energy will feed into the regional grid and not directly power Meta’s servers, the tech firm says this still furthers its broader goal of sourcing 100% clean electricity.
Meta’s head of global energy, Urvi Parekh, acknowledged the broader significance of the decision. “We are proud to help keep the Clinton plant operating for years to come and demonstrate that this plant is an important piece to strengthening American leadership in energy,” she said.
That sentiment aligns closely with the vision President Donald Trump outlined in a recent series of executive orders aimed at resurrecting U.S. nuclear dominance. Trump’s directives target a sweeping overhaul of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, investment in small modular reactors (SMRs), and domestic sourcing of nuclear fuel—policies designed to reverse decades of regulatory stagnation and reliance on foreign energy.
The Meta-Constellation agreement is part of a broader trend among tech titans leaning into nuclear energy. Google has pledged to fund three new nuclear sites and partnered with SMR developer Kairos Power. Amazon, for its part, has invested more than $500 million into SMR projects and bought a nuclear-powered data center campus in March.
However, Meta’s deal with Constellation is its first concrete nuclear investment, representing not just a bet on energy security but also a nod to the Trump administration’s approach. President Trump has repeatedly emphasized the role nuclear must play if America is to achieve true energy independence and withstand the geopolitical threats posed by nations like China, Russia, and Iran.
Constellation CEO Joe Dominguez noted that “supporting the relicensing and expansion of existing plants is just as impactful as finding new sources of energy.” That philosophy mirrors the Trump energy doctrine—pragmatic, forward-looking, and unapologetically pro-American.
Notably, Constellation is also weighing a proposal to build an SMR at the Clinton site, pending regulatory approval. It’s a bold prospect that could align seamlessly with President Trump’s executive mandates to cut red tape and accelerate innovation in the nuclear space.
Business
To Build BIG THINGS Canada Needs to Rid Itself of BIG BARRIERS

From Energy Now
By Deidra Garyk
We find ourselves at the intersection of energy reality and sustainability. The convergence means the way we do business globally is morphing. Some see opportunity in the most unlikely of places, while others only see obstacles.
A new report by the Public Policy Forum entitled Build Big Things: A playbook to turbocharge investment in major energy, critical minerals and infrastructure projects makes a case for why Canada should find the opportunities and how we can do that.
Analysis done by Calgary’s own economist and professor Trevor Tombe identified that Canada’s real GDP per capita growth from 2015 to 2024 was 1.4 percent. This puts us in second-last position among OECD countries.
Canada also took the penultimate spot among OECD countries for the time it takes to get a construction permit. As the graph shows, this isn’t a partisan problem; therefore, it can’t be corrected with a partisan solution. Although, noticeably, we have slipped further over the last few years. For multinational corporations that can invest anywhere, Canada’s ease of doing business appeal is not attractive, and that hampers our ability to build big things.
Fortunately, some jurisdictions are doing something about unnecessarily burdensome regulations. Alberta’s Red Tape Reduction initiative has removed over 200,000 regulations for net savings of $3 billion, a number tallied by the businesses impacted, not government. These are duplicative or archaic rules that added limited to no protections and removing them has not exacerbated risks. Work is still ongoing to ensure the balance is right.
BC is also fast-tracking projects, recognizing the need to build to remain a modern society. By shifting energy development permitting to the BC Energy Regulator, project timelines have improved.
The regulatory barriers affect more than traditional energy development. A new mining project in Canada can take anywhere from 15 to 25 years from application to operation. Energy, mining and infrastructure projects go through three to six years of federal regulatory review processes, in addition to provincial reviews. This is unacceptable if Canada is to meet the resource demands of the future.
The Report makes the case that, “[p]rioritizing nation-building projects such as ports, rail and roads is essential to strengthening internal economic linkages, enhancing export competitiveness and ensuring supply chains remain resilient and globally competitive.”
It goes on to cite, “barriers to success that include: burdensome regulatory processes and permitting procedures; insufficient financial supports and difficulty accessing capital, particularly in the crucial, high-risk development stages before getting to FID; inadequate infrastructure such as roads, bridges and ports; and a persistent lack of capacity and capital among Indigenous groups to participate fully as partners in new projects.”
There’s waning interest from the public in shrill anti-resource activism that puts their current lives and livelihoods at risk. Average weekly earnings in Alberta haven’t changed over the last ten years. Canada is one of the most indebted countries in the world, including subnational and consumer debt. This means that we are not as easily able to strategically act to deal with issues or embrace opportunities.
The report offers four strategic pillars for action:
- Co-ordinated financing: Align public and private funding sources to support priority projects and close investment gaps. Governments should not always aim to be the first or primary source of funding. The most effective role for public financing is often in de-risking projects,
- Efficient and effective regulations: Reconfigure regulatory and permitting processes to get to “yes” much more quickly, providing clearer timelines, improved efficiency and effectiveness, greater certainty, enhanced environmental performance, and a more strategic role for economic regulators across jurisdictions.
- Enabling critical infrastructure: Take a systems-level approach to planning to ensure that foundational infrastructure and skilled labour are in place to support future growth.
- Increasing Indigenous economic participation: Strengthen partnerships between project proponents, government institutions and Indigenous rights-holders to support meaningful Indigenous involvement in major projects, including through improved access to capital, stronger ownership opportunities and continuous capacity building.
Canadians must define who we are and who we want to be, on our own terms. We must change the mindset from fear to opportunity and be proud to be producers of primary materials. We need a kick in the pants to move towards taking calculated risks rather than running away, hoping for security because of our fears. We must build big things.
Deidra Garyk is the Founder and President of Equipois:ability Advisory, a consulting firm specializing in sustainability solutions. Over 20 years in the Canadian energy sector, Deidra held key roles, where she focused on a broad range of initiatives, from sustainability reporting to fostering collaboration among industry stakeholders through her work in joint venture contracts.
Outside of her professional commitments, Deidra is an energy advocate and a recognized thought leader. She is passionate about promoting balanced, fact-based discussions on energy policy, and sustainability. Through her research, writing, and public speaking, Deidra seeks to advance a more informed and pragmatic dialogue on the future of energy.
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