Opinion
Nova Scotia’s forest access ban goes too far
This article supplied by Troy Media.
Want to take a walk in the woods in Nova Scotia? It will cost you $25,000
It’s been a hot summer in Canada this year. Several provinces have struggled with the extreme heat wave and high-pressure buildup during July and August. This has opened the door to warnings of extreme fire danger, and more specifically, wildfires.
This has certainly been the case for Atlantic Canada. “Hot temperatures and a relative lack of precipitation may allow any blazes that spark to quickly grow out of control,” The Weather Network noted on Aug. 9. “Province-wide fire bans are in effect for New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, as well as
Newfoundland and Labrador. A regional state of emergency has also been declared for a portion of the Bay de Verde peninsula, from Bristol’s Hope to Whiteway, due to out-of-control wildfires.” That’s why Atlantic Canadians are being understandably cautious during this high level of fire
danger. Alas, one provincial government in the region has gone completely overboard in its response to wildfire season. It will be penalizing individuals for deciding to take—wait for it—a walk in the woods.
As crazy as that may sound, it’s completely true.
Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston and his Progressive Conservative government announced on Aug. 5 that there would be several restrictions related to “travel and activities in the woods because continued hot, dry conditions have greatly increased the risk of wildfires.” (This would fall under the purview of the provincial Forests Act.) No one would be allowed to hike, camp, fish or use vehicles in the woods, for instance. Trail systems through the woods would be “off limits.” As for camping, it would only be allowed “in campgrounds.”
Here’s the kicker. “These and other measures are in place on provincial Crown and private land until Oct. 15 or until conditions allow them to be lifted. The fine for violating the restrictions is $25,000.”
Yes, you read this correctly. There could be a massive fine for taking a walk in the woods, among other things.
Terry Newman, one of my colleagues at the National Post, correctly suggested the Houston government’s decision was “obsessive” in an Aug. 6 post on X. She was born and raised in Nova Scotia, and her point of view obviously has credence.
Here’s what I wrote in response that day: “Agreed. Being cautious due to dry conditions and possible wildfires makes sense. Banning walking in the woods, and threatening penalties of $25,000 per incident, is beyond the pale.”
My X post went viral for a few days and elicited various responses on the left and right. The fact that some people got triggered over a straightforward comparison between common sense and strong opposition to government interference tells you something. Based on what we all just experienced a short number of years ago, it’s clear that some Canadians haven’t learned any lessons.
Others perceived the same thing that I did. “The justification for this COVID-esque forest quarantine is the threat of fire,” wrote another National Post colleague, Jamie Sarkonak. “Nova Scotia’s forest bans predate the COVID years, but the similarities are clear, and that’s probably why so many onlookers have their hackles up. During the pandemic, the public was put under extreme restrictions on movement to control the spread of what turned out to be a not very dangerous virus. Authorities erred on the side of control and risk reduction, likely because they lacked the competency to properly assess risk, and because the health care system was on thin ice.”
I completely agree. Although the two events are obviously different, Houston and the PCs are replicating the ill-advised strategy used during COVID-19 that gradually frustrated many residents in their province, and in all provinces. The Nova Scotia government will argue that its wildfire strategy and ban are being done out of a pressing need for safety and caution in their communities. They’ll suggest it has plenty of support across the province. In reality, it’s a massive overreach that puts each individual’s freedoms and liberties at serious risk. Following the lead of a political pied piper is never the right strategy to take.
The $25,000 fine is rather obscene, too.
The premier’s supporters will argue that it’ll serve as a significant deterrent to people from acting foolishly and irrationally during the extreme fire weather warning. If the province resembles a “tinderbox” (a word that has been used by talking heads over and over again), then they believe it should be protected at all costs. Besides the fact that it’s really not the government’s role to protect citizens from themselves in this fashion, it also doesn’t need to resemble an ATM or collections agency. As Sarkonak pointed out, the province’s Forests Act “was triggered previously in 1997, 2001, 2016 (back then, the fine was $180) and 2023. In 2025, they’ve done it again, this time with a fine as expensive as a Hyundai Elantra.”
How is this amount justified, exactly? It’s not. The type of government interference we’re witnessing in Nova Scotia is foolish, unprincipled and potentially dangerous. Unfortunately, I don’t believe the province fully sees, agrees with and recognizes the potential political and economic damage they’ve set themselves up for.
Maybe we need to light a fire under them to bring back some level of sanity and rational thinking on this issue before summer’s out.
Michael Taube is a political commentator, Troy Media syndicated columnist and former speechwriter for Prime Minister Stephen Harper. He holds a master’s degree in comparative politics from the London School of Economics, lending academic rigour to his political insights.
Troy Media empowers Canadian community news outlets by providing independent, insightful analysis and commentary. Our mission is to support local media in helping Canadians stay informed and engaged by delivering reliable content that strengthens community connections and deepens understanding across the country.
International
Kazakhstan joins Abraham Accords, Trump says more nations lining up for peace
Kazakhstan is officially joining the Abraham Accords, becoming the first nation to do so during President Trump’s second term — and signaling a renewed push for peace and stability across the Middle East and Central Asia. Trump made the announcement Thursday on Truth Social, writing, “I just held a great call between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, of Israel, and President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, of Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan is the first Country of my Second Term to join the Abraham Accords, the first of many.” He continued, “This is a major step forward in building bridges across the World. Today, more Nations are lining up to embrace Peace and Prosperity through my Abraham Accords. We will soon announce a Signing Ceremony to make it official, and there are many more Countries trying to join this club of STRENGTH. So much more to come in uniting Countries for Stability and Growth — Real progress, real results. BLESSED ARE THE PEACEMAKERS!”
Secretary of State Marco Rubio echoed the announcement, calling Trump “the world’s ultimate negotiator.” Rubio said in a post that “the American people have the ultimate advocate and champion for peace in @realDonaldTrump,” adding that Kazakhstan’s entry “builds on President Trump’s unmatched record of delivering results.” The move represents a significant diplomatic step for Kazakhstan, a Muslim-majority nation that has long sought to balance relations between Russia, China, and the West while maintaining economic ties with Israel and the United States.
According to senior adviser Steve Witkoff, the agreement could be just the start of another wave of normalization. Witkoff told Breitbart News there is “big energy” behind four to six additional countries joining “in the next couple of months,” pointing to Lebanon, Syria, Libya, Armenia, and Azerbaijan as likely candidates. Former Arkansas Governor and U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee similarly suggested during a Breitbart Founders Club Roundtable that Saudi Arabia remains the most consequential prospective addition. Huckabee highlighted the United Arab Emirates’ economic transformation since joining the Accords as an example of the tangible benefits for participating nations.
Rubio has also met with Syrian interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa, who expressed interest in lifting sanctions to attract foreign investment. While al-Sharaa acknowledged that joining the Abraham Accords may not yet be realistic for Syria given tensions with Israel, he signaled openness to long-term normalization under the right conditions.
Trump, who returned to office in January, vowed throughout his campaign and transition to expand the Abraham Accords beyond their original signatories — Israel, the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan — and hinted earlier this year at progress with Saudi Arabia. “They’ll join in their own time,” he told business leaders at the 2025 Saudi-U.S. Investment Forum. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is scheduled to visit Washington on November 18, while al-Sharaa is expected to arrive next week for meetings at the White House.
The original Abraham Accords, signed in September 2020, reshaped diplomatic relations in the Middle East under Trump’s first term. With Kazakhstan now on board and more nations signaling interest, Trump’s second-term foreign policy is again centering on a message of peace through strength — and a vision of an American-led era of regional cooperation grounded in security, prosperity, and faith.
Business
Carney’s Deficit Numbers Deserve Scrutiny After Trudeau’s Forecasting Failures
From the Frontier Centre for Public Policy
By Conrad Eder
Frontier Centre for Public Policy study reveals a decade of inflated Liberal forecasts—a track record that casts a long shadow over Carney’s first budget
The Frontier Centre for Public Policy has released a major new study revealing that the Trudeau government’s federal budget forecasts from 2016 to 2025 were consistently inaccurate and biased — a record that casts serious doubt on the projections in Prime Minister Mark Carney’s first budget.
Carney’s 2025–26 federal budget forecasts a $78.3-billion deficit — twice the size projected last year and four times what was forecast in Budget 2022. But if recent history is any guide, Canadians have good reason to question whether even this ballooning deficit reflects fiscal reality.
The 4,000-word study, Measuring Federal Budgetary Balance Forecasting Accuracy and Bias, by Frontier Centre policy analyst Conrad Eder, finds that forecast accuracy collapsed after the Trudeau government took office:
- Current-year forecasts were off by an average of $22.9 billion, or one per cent of GDP.
- Four-year forecasts missed the mark by an average of $94.4 billion, or four per cent of GDP.
- Long-term projections consistently overstated Canada’s fiscal health, showing a clear optimism bias.
Eder’s analysis shows that every three- and four-year forecast under Trudeau predicted a stronger financial position than what actually occurred, masking the true scale of deficits and debt accumulation. The study concludes that this reflects a systemic optimism bias, likely rooted in political incentives: short-term optics with no regard to long-term consequences.
“With Prime Minister Carney now setting Canada’s fiscal direction, it’s critical to assess his projections in light of this track record,” said Eder. “The pattern of bias and inaccuracy under previous Liberal governments gives reason to doubt the credibility of claims that deficits will shrink over time. Canadians deserve fiscal forecasts that are credible and transparent — not political messaging disguised as economic planning.”
The study warns that persistent optimism bias erodes fiscal accountability, weakens public trust and limits citizens’ ability to hold government to account — a threat to both economic sustainability and democratic transparency.
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